Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Raiders                Coach  = Jim Nagle               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.3018494    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 213 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 4- 9, 82.0)    15-11   
 220 A Duke                   ACC           (15- 4, 97.0)     8- 9   
 222 A North Carolina         ACC           (12- 6, 94.7)     9-11   
 228 A UMBC                   America East  (12- 4, 95.1)     9-13   
 307 H Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 3-12, 80.5)    22- 9   
 314 A Fairfield              ECAC          ( 7- 6, 88.7)    13-12   
 321 A Navy                   Patriot       (11- 5, 92.6)    10- 9   
 324 H Ohio State             Great Western ( 8- 8, 89.9)     9- 4   
 329 H Army                   Patriot       ( 6-10, 87.6)    10- 9 2o
 404 A Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 4-11, 83.2)    10- 8   
 407 H Binghamton             America East  ( 3-12, 82.6)    11- 9   
 411 A Lafayette              Patriot       ( 6- 7, 85.2)    12-10   
 418 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 9- 7, 92.0)    11-19   
 424 N Navy                   Patriot       (11- 5, 92.6)     8- 9 3o
 502 A Syracuse               Independent   (16- 2, 99.9)     7-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H Canisius               15-11       4    10    ---   -6.00
   220 A Duke                    8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.24
   222 A North Carolina          9-11      -2    -4    +      2.96
   228 A UMBC                    9-13      -4    -5           1.32
   307 H Holy Cross             22- 9      13    12           0.00
   314 A Fairfield              13-12       1     1          -0.04
   321 A Navy                   10- 9       1    -2    +      3.83
   324 H Ohio State              9- 4       5     2    +      2.37
   329 H Army                   10- 9 2o    1     4    -     -3.91
   404 A Lehigh                 10- 8       2     6    --    -4.57
   407 H Binghamton             11- 9       2     9    ---   -7.97
   411 A Lafayette              12-10       2     4    -     -2.51
   418 H Bucknell               11-19      -8     0    ---   -8.55
   424 N Navy                    8- 9 3o   -1    -1           0.43
   502 A Syracuse                7-13      -6   -10    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H Canisius               15-11       4    10    ---   -6.00
   407 H Binghamton             11- 9       2     9    ---   -7.97
   418 H Bucknell               11-19      -8     0    ---   -8.55
   404 A Lehigh                 10- 8       2     6    --    -4.57
   329 H Army                   10- 9 2o    1     4    -     -3.91
   411 A Lafayette              12-10       2     4    -     -2.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Duke                    8- 9      -1    -7    +++    6.24
   502 A Syracuse                7-13      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   222 A North Carolina          9-11      -2    -4    +      2.96
   321 A Navy                   10- 9       1    -2    +      3.83
   324 H Ohio State              9- 4       5     2    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.15 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.52 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/