2008 NCAA Men's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Salisbury Capital 22 0 1 4 1 1 2 1 4 46.00 2 Gettysburg Centennial 17 3 4 1 2 2 1 2 5 9.00 3 Cortland SUNYAC 18 2 3 11 3 3 3 3 9 19.00 4 Washington Colle Centennial 14 4 12 2 5 4 4 5 13 1.00 5 Ithaca Empire 8 17 3 10 8 7 5 11 7 23 0.10 6 Cabrini Pennsylvania 17 3 9 72 4 11 14 4 29 3.00 7 Denison North Coast 14 3 6 44 8 12 9 8 29 0.10 8 Haverford Centennial 11 5 18 7 12 8 6 16 30 0.10 9 Villa Julie Capital 13 4 8 24 9 9 12 13 34 3.00 10 Middlebury NESCAC 13 3 11 3 10 6 20 9 35 2.00 11 St. Lawrence Liberty 11 3 13 26 14 7 17 12 36 2.00 12 Western New Engl Commonwealth 15 5 16 57 15 17 7 14 38 0.10 13 Lynchburg Old Dominion 16 3 5 43 6 16 23 6 45 13.00 14 Bowdoin NESCAC 12 7 24 10 23 13 16 20 49 0.10 15 Williams NESCAC 10 6 19 6 33 14 10 25 49 1.00 16 Clarkson Liberty 9 4 23 13 18 10 24 18 52 0.10 17 Endicott Commonwealth 18 3 14 78 11 15 33 11 59 0.10 18 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 10 7 22 21 24 23 5 34 62 0.10 19 Muhlenberg Centennial 10 5 32 25 17 21 26 17 64 0.10 20 Nazareth Empire 8 10 6 29 14 26 18 18 31 67 0.10 21 Union Liberty 12 5 30 51 22 30 25 15 70 0.10 22 Wesleyan NESCAC 10 5 17 19 32 19 37 21 77 0.10 23 Tufts NESCAC 9 6 26 5 29 22 27 29 78 0.10 24 Rensselaer Liberty 9 6 41 31 43 24 28 27 79 0.10 25 RIT Empire 8 11 8 27 22 56 27 13 40 80 0.10 26 Geneseo SUNYAC 12 3 15 58 13 20 53 10 83 0.10 27 Springfield Pilgrim 11 7 36 39 49 25 21 37 83 0.10 28 Stevens Empire 8 8 6 31 16 31 28 22 35 85 0.10 29 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 8 5 38 20 28 26 45 26 97 0.10 30 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 11 7 40 28 27 38 29 46 113 0.10 31 Widener Middle Atlanti 10 8 49 42 65 29 15 69 113 0.10 32 Kean Skyline 14 6 50 104 41 43 34 38 115 0.10 33 Messiah Middle Atlanti 11 6 48 60 30 32 54 30 116 0.10 34 Kenyon North Coast 10 4 37 61 19 33 63 28 124 0.10 35 Dickinson Centennial 7 7 46 17 53 34 39 55 128 0.10 36 York Capital 10 7 57 56 44 49 32 48 129 0.10 37 Wesley Capital 9 6 62 66 37 51 46 36 133 0.10 38 Ursinus Centennial 7 9 43 15 74 48 19 68 135 0.10 39 Wooster North Coast 11 3 28 92 16 41 77 19 137 0.10 40 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 10 6 35 41 39 50 58 33 141 0.10 41 Swarthmore Centennial 9 8 52 32 73 40 38 64 142 0.10 42 Whittier Independent 7 8 2 12 61 58 8 77 143 0.10 43 Keene State Little East 9 3 33 67 21 31 93 22 146 0.10 44 Montclair State Skyline 12 5 45 88 42 36 71 42 149 0.10 45 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 8 8 63 64 83 55 31 65 151 0.10 46 Amherst NESCAC 8 7 34 30 62 46 52 59 157 0.10 47 St. John Fisher Empire 8 11 5 44 62 25 52 81 24 157 0.10 48 Mount Ida North Atlantic 13 6 79 128 55 42 64 52 158 0.10 49 Skidmore Liberty 7 7 42 37 71 57 47 57 161 0.10 50 Western Connecti Little East 13 7 69 95 72 47 48 66 161 0.10 51 Colorado College Independent 11 6 53 63 38 35 85 43 163 0.10 52 Potsdam SUNYAC 7 7 67 53 63 68 41 54 163 0.10 53 Goucher Landmark 11 5 39 50 45 45 75 44 164 0.10 54 Hampden-Sydney Old Dominion 6 8 64 29 60 59 36 79 174 0.10 55 Oneonta SUNYAC 7 8 72 48 69 67 44 63 174 0.10 56 Scranton Landmark 12 5 56 103 35 65 78 32 175 0.10 57 Eastern Connecti Little East 10 7 55 73 80 37 59 81 177 0.10 58 Trinity NESCAC 6 9 47 9 84 54 35 88 177 0.10 59 Roanoke Old Dominion 8 6 20 27 47 53 67 61 181 0.10 60 St. Mary's Capital 7 8 59 47 64 60 42 80 182 0.10 61 Drew Landmark 11 7 21 40 50 39 97 49 185 0.10 62 Plymouth State Little East 12 7 74 107 76 56 56 74 186 0.10 63 Castleton North Atlantic 13 7 110 138 68 66 60 62 188 0.10 64 Mary Washington Capital 7 7 60 52 52 64 66 58 188 0.10 65 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 9 6 25 38 36 44 107 47 198 1.00 66 Hamilton Liberty 6 8 68 34 91 63 55 82 200 0.10 67 Maritime Skyline 11 5 66 111 46 69 86 45 200 0.10 68 Mass-Dartmouth Little East 10 5 81 126 48 62 91 51 204 0.10 69 Lycoming Middle Atlanti 10 6 51 93 54 70 87 53 210 0.10 70 Eastern Pennsylvania 9 9 95 102 88 78 43 90 211 0.10 71 McDaniel Centennial 5 10 58 35 102 77 40 98 215 0.10 72 Merchant Marine Landmark 8 9 70 65 98 61 51 103 215 0.10 73 Colby NESCAC 6 8 54 36 86 74 61 83 218 0.10 74 Roger Williams Commonwealth 9 8 77 83 90 72 72 85 229 0.10 75 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 7 7 83 69 58 71 76 84 231 0.10 76 Wheaton Pilgrim 8 9 80 68 96 76 62 95 233 0.10 77 Lasell Pilgrim 10 7 76 96 81 73 90 73 236 0.10 78 Bates NESCAC 3 10 65 18 109 81 50 106 237 0.10 79 Gordon Commonwealth 8 7 61 77 59 75 108 60 243 0.10 80 Wittenberg North Coast 6 6 78 71 66 79 94 70 243 0.10 81 Shenandoah Pennsylvania 9 3 87 134 20 84 138 23 245 0.10 82 Marywood Pennsylvania 9 5 102 132 34 90 118 39 247 0.10 83 Marymount Capital 6 10 90 33 89 83 69 96 248 0.10 84 Fairleigh Dickin Middle Atlanti 4 10 93 59 116 80 57 115 252 0.10 85 Elizabethtown Middle Atlanti 6 8 89 86 87 85 80 89 254 0.10 86 Babson Pilgrim 6 10 92 70 112 82 65 111 258 0.10 87 Salve Regina Commonwealth 7 9 91 81 100 86 74 99 259 0.10 88 Hartwick Empire 8 5 8 75 54 93 88 84 91 263 0.10 89 Brockport SUNYAC 6 7 86 90 79 93 98 78 269 0.10 90 Saint Vincent Independent 6 8 7 85 70 91 103 75 269 0.10 91 Stockton Skyline 7 8 103 105 97 87 88 97 272 0.10 92 Keuka Independent 8 5 73 116 51 98 128 50 276 0.10 93 Oswego SUNYAC 3 12 99 49 128 100 49 127 276 0.10 94 Salem State Independent 8 5 106 139 57 92 129 56 277 0.10 95 Adrian Independent 8 6 82 119 67 94 119 67 280 0.10 96 Utica College Empire 8 4 11 94 46 123 96 68 121 285 0.10 97 Alfred Empire 8 7 8 85 94 78 99 116 71 286 0.10 98 Greensboro Independent 5 10 71 45 111 89 82 117 288 0.10 99 Hood Capital 0 17 134 23 148 111 30 148 289 0.10 100 Johnson State North Atlantic 7 4 132 147 40 108 144 41 293 0.10 101 Centenary Pennsylvania 6 11 117 115 120 102 73 124 299 0.10 102 Wentworth Tech. Commonwealth 7 8 104 98 94 97 110 93 300 0.10 103 Becker North Atlantic 7 6 139 143 75 104 125 72 301 0.10 104 Christopher Newp Independent 8 7 97 113 85 103 123 86 312 0.10 105 Fontbonne Independent 7 8 96 100 82 95 131 87 313 0.10 106 New England Coll Commonwealth 4 12 109 91 137 109 70 134 313 0.10 107 Mass. Maritime Pilgrim 4 8 108 101 101 101 111 102 314 0.10 108 Thomas North Atlantic 7 6 131 144 77 110 130 76 316 0.10 109 Washington & Jef Independent 5 9 107 89 104 105 102 109 316 0.10 110 Curry Commonwealth 6 11 115 106 121 115 83 119 317 0.10 111 Vassar Liberty 4 11 114 79 130 107 89 122 318 0.10 112 Catholic Landmark 7 9 100 117 107 106 106 107 319 0.10 113 Manhattanville Middle Atlanti 8 8 105 124 95 112 120 94 326 0.10 114 DeSales Middle Atlanti 7 9 113 121 108 113 112 108 333 0.10 115 Maine Maritime North Atlantic 5 7 138 140 92 118 127 92 337 0.10 116 Mass-Boston Little East 4 11 119 109 135 116 92 132 340 0.10 117 Neumann Pennsylvania 3 12 128 99 131 122 79 139 340 0.10 118 Elmira Empire 8 2 12 84 55 140 114 95 136 345 0.10 119 King's Middle Atlanti 4 9 112 118 113 123 122 112 357 0.10 120 MIT Pilgrim 4 9 88 108 103 120 133 104 357 0.10 121 Susquehanna Landmark 3 12 121 84 143 119 96 143 358 0.10 122 Medaille Independent 5 8 120 131 99 131 132 100 363 0.10 123 Moravian Landmark 4 12 123 97 141 124 100 140 364 0.10 124 U. of New Englan Commonwealth 4 12 118 129 129 126 113 126 365 0.10 125 Tri-State Independent 5 10 98 114 115 129 124 114 367 0.10 126 Guilford Old Dominion 2 12 124 80 136 128 99 142 369 0.10 127 Clark Pilgrim 4 11 116 112 133 127 114 130 371 0.10 128 Hendrix Independent 0 11 142 82 125 134 105 133 372 0.10 129 Immaculata Pennsylvania 3 10 127 125 119 132 121 120 373 0.10 130 Norwich Pilgrim 3 8 136 135 106 138 140 101 379 0.10 131 Mount St. Joseph Independent 4 11 122 75 126 117 134 129 380 0.10 132 Southern Maine Little East 4 12 126 127 142 130 109 141 380 0.10 133 Oberlin North Coast 1 11 130 74 132 133 115 135 383 0.10 134 Sewanee Independent 4 9 125 120 114 135 136 113 384 0.10 135 Daniel Webster North Atlantic 3 8 143 145 105 140 142 105 387 0.10 136 Morrisville SUNYAC 1 13 129 76 144 139 104 144 387 0.10 137 Alvernia Pennsylvania 1 14 141 123 147 141 101 147 389 0.10 138 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 3 10 101 122 117 136 137 116 389 0.10 139 Emerson North Atlantic 4 12 140 137 134 121 141 131 393 0.10 140 Nichols Commonwealth 1 14 111 87 145 125 126 145 396 0.10 141 Green Mountain Independent 1 9 147 146 110 147 148 110 405 0.10 142 Misericordia Pennsylvania 3 11 135 133 127 142 135 128 405 0.10 143 Wells Independent 0 13 144 110 146 143 117 146 406 0.10 144 Mt. St. Vincent Skyline 4 11 137 136 122 137 147 123 407 0.10 145 St. Joseph's (ME Independent 2 9 145 142 118 145 145 118 408 0.10 146 Cazenovia Independent 2 10 133 130 124 144 143 125 412 0.10 147 Mitchell Independent 1 11 146 141 139 146 139 138 423 0.10 148 Lyndon State Independent 1 11 148 148 138 148 146 137 431 0.10