Conf = Independent                Region = NAIA         State = PA
   Nickname = Griffins               Coach  = Brian Novotny           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.4066467    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 A Robert Morris          Colonial      ( 4-11, 79.4)     2-16   
 301 H Briarcliffe            Independent   ( 2-11, 61.4)    12- 2   
 302 H St. Andrews            Carolinas     ( 4-13, 69.0)    11- 8   
 307 N Pace                   Northeast 10  ( 7- 8, 75.6)     6- 5   
 309 A C. W. Post             East Coast    (11- 3, 86.3)     5-15   
 314 H Molloy                 East Coast    ( 5- 8, 77.2)     8-14   
 317 A Dowling                East Coast    (12- 3, 85.3)     6-16   
 319 A NYIT                   East Coast    (13- 1, 90.5)     9-20   
 328 H Tri-State              Independent   ( 5-10, 69.7)     8- 2   
 403 A Saint Vincent          Independent   ( 6- 8, 88.1)    13-12   
 406 H Dominican College      East Coast    ( 5-10, 69.9)     8- 7  o
 409 A Mercyhurst             East Coast    ( 9- 4, 82.6)     5-13   
 413 N Mars Hill              Deep South    (11- 6, 82.5)    19-10   
 422 H Notre Dame de Namur    Independent   (11- 2, 86.3)     7-17   
 426 H Wheeling Jesuit        Independent   ( 4- 8, 72.0)    10- 9   
 430 H Saint Vincent          Independent   ( 6- 8, 88.1)    11-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Robert Morris           2-16     -14    -5          n/a  
   301 H Briarcliffe            12- 2      10    15           0.00
   302 H St. Andrews            11- 8       3     7    --    -4.36
   307 N Pace                    6- 5       1     0           1.29
   309 A C. W. Post              5-15     -10   -12           0.00
   314 H Molloy                  8-14      -6     0    --    -5.20
   317 A Dowling                 6-16     -10   -11           0.00
   319 A NYIT                    9-20     -11   -16           0.00
   328 H Tri-State               8- 2       6     6          n/a  
   403 A Saint Vincent          13-12       1   -14          n/a  
   406 H Dominican College       8- 7  o    1     6    --    -5.46
   409 A Mercyhurst              5-13      -8    -8           0.30
   413 N Mars Hill              19-10       9    -7    +++   16.14
   422 H Notre Dame de Namur     7-17     -10    -9          -0.08
   426 H Wheeling Jesuit        10- 9       1     4    -     -3.36
   430 H Saint Vincent          11-10       1   -11          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Robert Morris           2-16   
   328 H Tri-State               8- 2   
   403 A Saint Vincent          13-12   
   430 H Saint Vincent          11-10   
   209 A Robert Morris           2-16   
   302 H St. Andrews            11- 8       3     7    --    -4.36
   314 H Molloy                  8-14      -6     0    --    -5.20
   328 H Tri-State               8- 2   
   403 A Saint Vincent          13-12   
   406 H Dominican College       8- 7  o    1     6    --    -5.46
   430 H Saint Vincent          11-10   
   209 A Robert Morris           2-16   
   328 H Tri-State               8- 2   
   403 A Saint Vincent          13-12   
   426 H Wheeling Jesuit        10- 9       1     4    -     -3.36
   430 H Saint Vincent          11-10   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Robert Morris           2-16   
   328 H Tri-State               8- 2   
   403 A Saint Vincent          13-12   
   413 N Mars Hill              19-10       9    -7    +++   16.14
   430 H Saint Vincent          11-10   
   209 A Robert Morris           2-16   
   328 H Tri-State               8- 2   
   403 A Saint Vincent          13-12   
   430 H Saint Vincent          11-10   
   209 A Robert Morris           2-16   
   328 H Tri-State               8- 2   
   403 A Saint Vincent          13-12   
   430 H Saint Vincent          11-10   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.34 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.36 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
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