Conf = Deep South                 Region = South        State = FL
   Nickname = Tars                   Coach  = Andrew Baxter           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   74.4202347    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 H Central Florida        SELC 1        ( 9- 4, 78.4)     7-20   
 215 H Savannah Art & Design  SELC 2        ( 8- 5, 56.8)    13- 6   
 219 H Elmira                 Empire 8      ( 2-12, 73.0)     9-15   
 221 H Dowling                East Coast    (12- 3, 85.3)     2-18   
 302 H Saint Leo              Deep South    ( 8- 8, 74.8)     5-17   
 305 H Wingate                Deep South    (11- 3, 80.8)     2-14   
 311 H U. of New England      Commonwealth  ( 4-12, 65.5)    10- 8   
 316 H Franklin Pierce        Northeast 10  ( 2-12, 64.2)    10-13   
 318 H Dominican College      East Coast    ( 5-10, 69.9)     3-13   
 320 H Mars Hill              Deep South    (11- 6, 82.5)     3-18   
 328 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     ( 9- 4, 77.7)     4-20   
 330 A St. Andrews            Carolinas     ( 4-13, 69.0)     3-12   
 404 A Catawba                Deep South    ( 7- 8, 75.9)     2-22   
 406 A Pfeiffer               Carolinas     ( 3- 9, 67.7)     4-11   
 411 A Saint Leo              Deep South    ( 8- 8, 74.8)     2-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 H Central Florida         7-20     -13   -19          n/a  
   215 H Savannah Art & Design  13- 6       7     1          n/a  
   219 H Elmira                  9-15      -6   -14          n/a  
   221 H Dowling                 2-18     -16   -26           0.00
   302 H Saint Leo               5-17     -12   -16           0.00
   305 H Wingate                 2-14     -12   -22           0.00
   311 H U. of New England      10- 8       2    -6          n/a  
   316 H Franklin Pierce        10-13      -3    -5    +      2.64
   318 H Dominican College       3-13     -10   -11           0.00
   320 H Mars Hill               3-18     -15   -23           0.00
   328 A Belmont Abbey           4-20     -16   -21           0.00
   330 A St. Andrews             3-12      -9   -12           1.00
   404 A Catawba                 2-22     -20   -19           0.00
   406 A Pfeiffer                4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
   411 A Saint Leo               2-13     -11   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 H Central Florida         7-20   
   215 H Savannah Art & Design  13- 6   
   219 H Elmira                  9-15   
   311 H U. of New England      10- 8   
   209 H Central Florida         7-20   
   215 H Savannah Art & Design  13- 6   
   219 H Elmira                  9-15   
   311 H U. of New England      10- 8   
   209 H Central Florida         7-20   
   215 H Savannah Art & Design  13- 6   
   219 H Elmira                  9-15   
   311 H U. of New England      10- 8   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 H Central Florida         7-20   
   215 H Savannah Art & Design  13- 6   
   219 H Elmira                  9-15   
   311 H U. of New England      10- 8   
   209 H Central Florida         7-20   
   215 H Savannah Art & Design  13- 6   
   219 H Elmira                  9-15   
   311 H U. of New England      10- 8   
   209 H Central Florida         7-20   
   215 H Savannah Art & Design  13- 6   
   219 H Elmira                  9-15   
   311 H U. of New England      10- 8   
   316 H Franklin Pierce        10-13      -3    -5    +      2.64
   406 A Pfeiffer                4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 57.52 Local Power Rank...........    34
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.04 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.32 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    27
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -9.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.7
/