Conf = Carolinas                  Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Royals                 Coach  = Jim Fritz               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.9860992    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 H C. W. Post             East Coast    (11- 3, 86.3)     7-14   
 220 H Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     ( 9- 4, 77.7)    14- 7   
 224 H Mercyhurst             East Coast    ( 9- 4, 82.6)     3- 9   
 301 H Limestone              Carolinas     (12- 2, 87.4)     6-17   
 305 H Mars Hill              Deep South    (11- 6, 82.5)     9-13   
 308 H Saint Leo              Deep South    ( 8- 8, 74.8)     7- 8   
 311 N Bryant                 Northeast 10  (14- 4, 88.5)     4-23   
 322 H Merrimack              Northeast 10  (12- 4, 82.7)     9-15   
 326 A Wingate                Deep South    (11- 3, 80.8)     9-15   
 329 A Catawba                Deep South    ( 7- 8, 75.9)    10-12   
 402 A Pfeiffer               Carolinas     ( 3- 9, 67.7)    12-14   
 405 A Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 3-10, 67.0)     7- 3   
 412 H St. Andrews            Carolinas     ( 4-13, 69.0)    12-10   
 418 N Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     ( 9- 4, 77.7)    10-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H C. W. Post              7-14      -7   -15    +      3.00
   220 H Belmont Abbey          14- 7       7    -6    +++   13.86
   224 H Mercyhurst              3- 9      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   301 H Limestone               6-17     -11   -16           0.00
   305 H Mars Hill               9-13      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   308 H Saint Leo               7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.99
   311 N Bryant                  4-23     -19   -18           0.00
   322 H Merrimack               9-15      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   326 A Wingate                 9-15      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   329 A Catawba                10-12      -2    -7    ++     5.24
   402 A Pfeiffer               12-14      -2     0    -     -2.98
   405 A Lees-McRae              7- 3       4     1    +      2.25
   412 H St. Andrews            12-10       2     1           0.21
   418 N Belmont Abbey          10-14      -4    -7    +      3.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Pfeiffer               12-14      -2     0    -     -2.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Belmont Abbey          14- 7       7    -6    +++   13.86
   305 H Mars Hill               9-13      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   224 H Mercyhurst              3- 9      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   322 H Merrimack               9-15      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   326 A Wingate                 9-15      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   329 A Catawba                10-12      -2    -7    ++     5.24
   216 H C. W. Post              7-14      -7   -15    +      3.00
   308 H Saint Leo               7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.99
   405 A Lees-McRae              7- 3       4     1    +      2.25
   418 N Belmont Abbey          10-14      -4    -7    +      3.92
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.77 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.57 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
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