Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Raiders                Coach  = Jim Nagle               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.0725861    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 A Denver                 Great Western (10- 7, 88.7)     5-15   
 224 A Ohio State             Great Western (11- 6, 93.1)     6-13   
 228 H Saint Joseph's         Metro Atlanti ( 4-11, 79.0)    10- 4   
 302 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti (10- 6, 85.1)    12-11  o
 308 A Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 5- 9, 79.8)    15- 5   
 311 H Vermont                America East  ( 5-11, 81.5)    15- 5   
 318 A Duke                   ACC           (18- 2, 99.9)     7-15   
 323 H Navy                   Patriot       (10- 6, 90.5)     3- 8   
 329 A Army                   Patriot       ( 9- 6, 90.3)     9-13   
 405 H Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 6- 9, 82.7)     5- 3   
 408 A Binghamton             America East  ( 4- 8, 83.2)     9- 7   
 412 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 4- 9, 80.6)    15- 4   
 419 A Bucknell               Patriot       (10- 5, 89.5)    11- 9   
 425 N Navy                   Patriot       (10- 6, 90.5)    12- 9   
 427 N Bucknell               Patriot       (10- 5, 89.5)    13- 9   
 503 H Syracuse               Independent   (16- 2, 98.6)    12-11   
 511 A Notre Dame             Great Western (14- 3, 95.7)     7- 8  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 A Denver                  5-15     -10     0    ---   -9.92
   224 A Ohio State              6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.52
   228 H Saint Joseph's         10- 4       6    12    --    -4.00
   302 A Canisius               12-11  o    1     3    -     -2.53
   308 A Holy Cross             15- 5      10     8           1.14
   311 H Vermont                15- 5      10    10           0.00
   318 A Duke                    7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   323 H Navy                    3- 8      -5     1    ---   -6.45
   329 A Army                    9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.33
   405 H Lehigh                  5- 3       2     9    ---   -7.24
   408 A Binghamton              9- 7       2     5    -     -3.40
   412 H Lafayette              15- 4      11    11           0.00
   419 A Bucknell               11- 9       2     0    +      2.87
   425 N Navy                   12- 9       3     0    +      3.22
   427 N Bucknell               13- 9       4     0    +      3.20
   503 H Syracuse               12-11       1    -6    +++    7.66
   511 A Notre Dame              7- 8  o   -1    -7    +++    6.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 A Denver                  5-15     -10     0    ---   -9.92
   323 H Navy                    3- 8      -5     1    ---   -6.45
   405 H Lehigh                  5- 3       2     9    ---   -7.24
   228 H Saint Joseph's         10- 4       6    12    --    -4.00
   224 A Ohio State              6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.52
   302 A Canisius               12-11  o    1     3    -     -2.53
   329 A Army                    9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.33
   408 A Binghamton              9- 7       2     5    -     -3.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Syracuse               12-11       1    -6    +++    7.66
   511 A Notre Dame              7- 8  o   -1    -7    +++    6.13
   318 A Duke                    7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   419 A Bucknell               11- 9       2     0    +      2.87
   425 N Navy                   12- 9       3     0    +      3.22
   427 N Bucknell               13- 9       4     0    +      3.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.28 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.59 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/