2006 Men's NCAA Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Salisbury Capital 20 1 2 4 1 1 1 1 3 41.00 2 Cortland SUNYAC 18 3 5 2 2 2 2 2 6 14.00 3 Roanoke Old Dominion 15 3 7 1 4 3 3 3 9 11.00 4 Gettysburg Centennial 17 2 8 9 3 4 7 4 15 12.00 5 Middlebury NESCAC 13 4 14 5 9 5 5 6 16 3.00 6 Wesleyan NESCAC 16 4 13 13 7 7 6 5 18 1.00 7 Washington Colle Centennial 14 5 17 7 10 8 4 9 21 2.00 8 Lynchburg Old Dominion 13 4 16 3 6 6 8 10 24 2.00 9 RIT Empire 8 15 3 10 31 8 9 11 7 27 1.00 10 Stevens Knickerbocker 14 4 15 55 12 13 14 13 40 1.00 11 Geneseo SUNYAC 13 3 12 24 5 12 21 8 41 3.00 12 Tufts NESCAC 11 6 25 6 26 10 9 22 41 0.10 13 Bowdoin NESCAC 11 5 20 12 20 15 12 20 47 0.10 14 Ithaca Empire 8 12 5 26 14 13 16 15 18 49 0.10 15 Springfield Pilgrim 13 5 30 41 17 17 13 19 49 0.10 16 Haverford Centennial 10 6 32 18 22 22 10 28 60 0.10 17 Dickinson Centennial 11 4 22 23 19 19 25 17 61 0.10 18 Cabrini Pennsylvania 13 3 23 70 11 24 28 11 63 0.10 19 Nazareth Empire 8 12 4 3 16 15 11 43 14 68 4.00 20 St. Lawrence Liberty 14 4 19 47 14 25 27 16 68 0.10 21 St. Mary's Capital 12 4 6 39 16 14 44 12 70 0.10 22 Hampden-Sydney Old Dominion 8 5 1 17 25 18 33 24 75 3.00 23 Denison North Coast 10 6 39 15 39 21 16 39 76 0.10 24 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 7 6 11 8 31 20 24 32 76 0.10 25 Bates NESCAC 9 5 29 34 33 23 31 23 77 0.10 26 Widener Middle Atlanti 13 5 24 61 27 29 22 26 77 0.10 27 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 9 6 35 22 42 26 18 38 82 0.10 28 Endicott Commonwealth 14 5 28 76 29 30 29 27 86 0.10 29 McDaniel Centennial 7 7 42 11 45 33 23 43 99 0.10 30 Western New Engl Pilgrim 14 3 21 66 18 28 56 15 99 2.00 31 Oneonta SUNYAC 10 7 50 40 38 35 26 40 101 0.10 32 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 9 5 38 27 24 27 45 29 101 0.10 33 Eastern Connecti Little East 12 5 44 65 34 32 40 33 105 0.10 34 Greensboro Independent 8 6 45 48 40 40 37 42 119 0.10 35 Gordon Commonwealth 11 4 51 98 36 38 51 36 125 0.10 36 Trinity NESCAC 6 7 56 21 53 42 36 47 125 0.10 37 Messiah Middle Atlanti 10 6 37 68 41 46 41 41 128 0.10 38 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 6 8 40 19 61 39 35 55 129 0.10 39 York Capital 11 5 54 51 32 37 62 34 133 0.10 40 Mount Ida North Atlantic 14 3 73 125 23 44 66 25 135 0.10 41 Williams NESCAC 6 8 36 26 60 43 39 54 136 0.10 42 Amherst NESCAC 4 10 53 10 90 47 17 76 140 0.10 43 Clarkson Liberty 5 10 64 20 68 54 20 77 151 0.10 44 Salve Regina Commonwealth 11 5 72 117 43 51 65 44 160 0.10 45 Wooster North Coast 8 6 4 57 48 34 77 49 160 0.10 46 Muhlenberg Centennial 6 7 62 46 51 56 53 52 161 0.10 47 Kenyon North Coast 12 4 27 44 35 31 96 35 162 0.10 48 Rensselaer Liberty 7 10 58 37 95 49 19 94 162 0.10 49 Wheaton Pilgrim 9 7 66 72 67 50 50 65 165 0.10 50 Merchant Marine Knickerbocker 12 5 46 88 37 53 80 37 170 0.10 51 Whittier Independent 8 7 31 33 55 45 71 58 174 0.10 52 Colby NESCAC 6 8 52 54 64 61 55 60 176 0.10 53 Keene State Little East 13 3 9 112 30 36 110 31 177 0.10 54 Lasell Pilgrim 10 6 59 93 52 55 69 53 177 0.10 55 Villa Julie Pennsylvania 10 8 47 69 66 52 61 64 177 0.10 56 St. John Fisher Empire 8 9 8 60 56 65 58 57 63 178 0.10 57 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 5 9 68 29 79 59 46 78 183 0.10 58 Hamilton Liberty 11 3 33 67 28 48 106 30 184 0.10 59 Brockport SUNYAC 5 8 87 50 62 70 48 67 185 0.10 60 Goucher Capital 7 10 34 49 83 60 42 84 186 0.10 61 Guilford Old Dominion 4 10 97 25 84 65 34 89 188 0.10 62 Colorado College Independent 8 7 55 35 49 41 98 50 189 0.10 63 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 5 9 80 32 70 69 47 74 190 0.10 64 Oswego SUNYAC 5 11 78 38 94 62 30 104 196 0.10 65 Mass-Boston Little East 9 6 83 101 58 57 82 59 198 0.10 66 Utica College Empire 8 7 6 65 59 47 64 86 48 198 0.10 67 Catholic Capital 9 8 79 84 63 72 64 66 202 0.10 68 Mary Washington Capital 4 9 70 28 75 67 49 86 202 0.10 69 Skidmore Liberty 6 7 48 60 71 66 70 68 204 0.10 70 Kean Knickerbocker 10 7 89 104 57 84 68 56 208 0.10 71 Babson Pilgrim 5 10 85 62 112 63 38 111 212 0.10 72 Fairleigh Dickin Middle Atlanti 8 6 71 80 56 71 88 61 220 0.10 73 Elmira Empire 8 5 9 76 52 78 81 63 80 224 0.10 74 Ursinus Centennial 4 11 67 53 111 89 32 105 226 0.10 75 MIT Pilgrim 5 7 100 86 76 76 81 73 230 0.10 76 Wesley Pennsylvania 10 6 57 87 54 75 99 57 231 0.10 77 Castleton North Atlantic 10 5 77 128 46 78 112 46 236 0.10 78 Montclair State Knickerbocker 9 9 61 89 69 68 103 69 240 0.10 79 Keuka Independent 10 2 41 108 21 88 132 21 241 0.10 80 Swarthmore Centennial 4 10 69 36 106 79 60 102 241 0.10 81 Roger Williams Commonwealth 7 8 96 91 86 82 73 87 242 0.10 82 Wittenberg North Coast 6 7 18 58 80 80 84 79 243 0.10 83 Potsdam SUNYAC 4 10 75 43 103 77 58 109 244 0.10 84 Stockton Knickerbocker 8 8 81 96 77 87 83 75 245 0.10 85 Union Liberty 4 10 90 45 110 86 52 112 250 0.10 86 Maine Maritime North Atlantic 6 4 84 131 44 85 121 45 251 0.10 87 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 7 7 49 74 59 73 117 62 252 0.10 88 Farmingdale Knickerbocker 7 9 88 85 88 93 72 88 253 0.10 89 Susquehanna Middle Atlanti 8 8 93 79 72 91 93 72 256 0.10 90 Hartwick Empire 8 4 10 43 42 107 74 79 107 260 0.10 91 Marymount Capital 5 10 101 64 98 101 67 93 261 0.10 92 Plymouth State Little East 8 9 82 105 100 90 76 98 264 0.10 93 Western Connecti Little East 6 9 99 95 96 95 74 95 264 0.10 94 Daniel Webster North Atlantic 7 5 120 130 50 97 120 51 268 0.10 95 Mass. Maritime Pilgrim 7 7 94 106 74 83 116 71 270 0.10 96 Drew Middle Atlanti 7 8 74 83 81 94 95 83 272 0.10 97 Lycoming Middle Atlanti 5 8 86 78 85 96 94 85 275 0.10 98 Curry Commonwealth 5 11 114 110 120 100 59 120 279 0.10 99 Alfred Empire 8 2 10 103 30 104 99 78 106 283 0.10 100 Wentworth Tech. Commonwealth 5 8 104 114 92 98 97 92 287 0.10 101 New England Coll Commonwealth 1 13 119 75 129 112 54 129 295 0.10 102 Elizabethtown Middle Atlanti 7 10 63 81 93 92 109 101 302 0.10 103 Mass-Dartmouth Little East 4 12 113 109 126 104 75 125 304 0.10 104 Centenary Knickerbocker 5 9 109 92 102 103 104 100 307 0.10 105 Clark Pilgrim 7 8 95 124 87 102 124 82 308 0.10 106 Emerson North Atlantic 3 7 129 126 82 110 119 81 310 0.10 107 Johnson State North Atlantic 4 8 115 123 97 106 108 96 310 0.10 108 King's Middle Atlanti 3 10 105 77 115 108 87 116 311 0.10 109 Thomas North Atlantic 3 6 125 129 73 117 126 70 313 0.10 110 Maritime Knickerbocker 3 9 112 94 108 105 101 108 314 0.10 111 Misericordia Pennsylvania 6 10 102 103 116 107 92 115 314 0.10 112 U. of New Englan Commonwealth 5 9 110 116 109 109 105 110 324 0.10 113 Scranton Middle Atlanti 3 12 107 82 127 114 85 127 326 0.10 114 Eastern Pennsylvania 3 11 117 90 122 115 90 122 327 0.10 115 Washington & Jef Independent 5 10 106 71 117 111 102 117 330 0.10 116 Medaille Independent 2 7 92 97 89 123 122 90 335 0.10 117 Vassar Liberty 1 12 111 73 128 120 89 128 337 0.10 118 Southern Maine Little East 2 10 121 100 118 113 107 118 338 0.10 119 Norwich Pilgrim 1 13 128 111 130 118 91 130 339 0.10 120 Moravian Middle Atlanti 4 12 108 99 124 119 100 126 345 0.10 121 Neumann Pennsylvania 3 8 118 115 99 122 127 97 346 0.10 122 Hood Independent 0 7 131 122 91 132 128 91 351 0.10 123 Becker North Atlantic 3 8 130 132 101 124 130 99 353 0.10 124 Mt. St. Vincent Independent 2 8 126 107 105 125 125 103 353 0.10 125 Nichols Commonwealth 1 10 127 120 119 121 113 119 353 0.10 126 Oberlin North Coast 4 10 91 63 113 116 129 113 358 0.10 127 Mitchell Independent 0 12 132 127 121 130 114 121 365 0.10 128 Shenandoah Pennsylvania 2 11 122 118 123 127 118 123 368 0.10 129 DeSales Middle Atlanti 1 14 123 102 132 129 111 132 372 0.10 130 Cazenovia Independent 2 10 98 113 114 128 131 114 373 0.10 131 Manhattanville Knickerbocker 2 14 116 119 125 126 123 124 373 0.10 132 Alvernia Pennsylvania 2 14 124 121 131 131 115 131 377 0.10