Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tarheels               Coach  = John Haus               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.7650452    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 N Ohio State             Great Western ( 7- 6, 83.6)    14- 5   
 225 N Air Force              Great Western ( 7- 9, 81.6)     8- 6   
 226 A Denver                 Great Western (12- 5, 89.4)     8-11   
 304 H Navy                   Patriot       (11- 4, 90.4)     3-11   
 307 H Pennsylvania           Ivy League    (10- 4, 89.1)     4-13   
 311 A Notre Dame             Great Western (10- 5, 88.6)     7- 9   
 315 A Hofstra                Colonial      (17- 2, 94.7)     5- 6   
 318 A Duke                   ACC           ( 6- 2, 93.4)     8-11   
 325 H Maryland               ACC           (12- 5, 92.7)     6- 9   
 401 A Johns Hopkins          Independent   ( 9- 5, 90.6)     5-11   
 408 H Virginia               ACC           (17- 0, 99.9)    13-21   
 415 H Fairfield              ECAC          ( 6- 7, 84.3)    18- 9   
 423 A Providence             Metro Atlanti (10- 7, 82.2)    11- 7   
 428 A Maryland               ACC           (12- 5, 92.7)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 N Ohio State             14- 5       9     0    +++    8.53
   225 N Air Force               8- 6       2     2          -0.39
   226 A Denver                  8-11      -3    -6    +      3.76
   304 H Navy                    3-11      -8    -4    -     -3.04
   307 H Pennsylvania            4-13      -9    -3    --    -5.42
   311 A Notre Dame              7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.97
   315 A Hofstra                 5- 6      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   318 A Duke                    8-11      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   325 H Maryland                6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.21
   401 A Johns Hopkins           5-11      -6    -7           1.99
   408 H Virginia               13-21      -8   -14    +      2.00
   415 H Fairfield              18- 9       9     1    +++    7.84
   423 A Providence             11- 7       4     0    +      3.60
   428 A Maryland                9-10      -1   -10    +++    9.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Pennsylvania            4-13      -9    -3    --    -5.42
   304 H Navy                    3-11      -8    -4    -     -3.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 N Ohio State             14- 5       9     0    +++    8.53
   315 A Hofstra                 5- 6      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   318 A Duke                    8-11      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   415 H Fairfield              18- 9       9     1    +++    7.84
   428 A Maryland                9-10      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   325 H Maryland                6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.21
   226 A Denver                  8-11      -3    -6    +      3.76
   311 A Notre Dame              7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.97
   408 H Virginia               13-21      -8   -14    +      2.00
   423 A Providence             11- 7       4     0    +      3.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.04 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.26 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    40
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/