Conf = ECAC                       Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Statesmen              Coach  = Matt Kerwick            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.5842133    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 N Bucknell               Patriot       ( 6- 8, 83.3)    10- 8   
 304 N Ohio State             Great Western ( 7- 6, 83.6)    13- 8   
 311 H Hartford               America East  ( 3-12, 75.5)    14- 8   
 314 A Binghamton             America East  ( 7- 8, 83.0)     5- 7   
 318 A Georgetown             ECAC          (11- 3, 90.9)     9-11   
 325 A Rutgers                ECAC          ( 5- 9, 83.4)     7- 8  o
 328 A Syracuse               Independent   (10- 5, 90.7)     9- 8   
 401 A Fairfield              ECAC          ( 6- 7, 84.3)     9-15   
 408 H Penn State             ECAC          ( 8- 5, 87.8)     4- 9   
 415 A Massachusetts          ECAC          (13- 5, 91.2)     7-13   
 418 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 7- 8, 78.0)    22- 5   
 422 H St. John's             ECAC          ( 4- 9, 79.2)    12- 7   
 429 H Loyola                 ECAC          ( 6- 6, 87.1)     6-11   
 505 H Cornell                Ivy League    (11- 3, 94.6)     6-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 N Bucknell               10- 8       2     1           0.86
   304 N Ohio State             13- 8       5     0    ++     4.17
   311 H Hartford               14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   314 A Binghamton              5- 7      -2     0          -1.98
   318 A Georgetown              9-11      -2    -8    +++    6.00
   325 A Rutgers                 7- 8  o   -1     0          -0.57
   328 A Syracuse                9- 8       1    -7    +++    8.79
   401 A Fairfield               9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.63
   408 H Penn State              4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.00
   415 A Massachusetts           7-13      -6    -8    +      2.21
   418 A Canisius               22- 5      17     4    ++     5.10
   422 H St. John's             12- 7       5     6          -1.60
   429 H Loyola                  6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.75
   505 H Cornell                 6-15      -9    -8          -0.27

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Hartford               14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   401 A Fairfield               9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.63
   408 H Penn State              4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.00
   429 H Loyola                  6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Georgetown              9-11      -2    -8    +++    6.00
   328 A Syracuse                9- 8       1    -7    +++    8.79
   304 N Ohio State             13- 8       5     0    ++     4.17
   418 A Canisius               22- 5      17     4    ++     5.10
   415 A Massachusetts           7-13      -6    -8    +      2.21
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.39 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.46 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/