Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Rich Barnes             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.5066833    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 H St. Lawrence           Liberty       (14- 4, 85.9)    14- 5   
 315 A Roanoke                Old Dominion  (15- 3, 92.1)     7- 9   
 318 N Springfield            Pilgrim       (13- 5, 83.3)    13- 4   
 322 H Clarkson               Liberty       ( 5-10, 76.6)    18- 3   
 325 H RIT                    Empire 8      (15- 3, 90.4)    14- 6   
 329 H Nazareth               Empire 8      (12- 4, 94.8)     7- 8  o
 401 H Cabrini                Pennsylvania  (13- 3, 85.4)    12- 5   
 405 A Ithaca                 Empire 8      (12- 5, 84.3)    15-10   
 408 A Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 4-10, 73.8)    17- 6   
 412 A Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 5-11, 73.3)    16- 5   
 414 H Oneonta                SUNYAC        (10- 7, 78.9)    13- 7   
 419 A Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 5- 8, 71.5)    13- 3   
 422 A Stevens                Knickerbocker (14- 4, 88.4)    18- 7   
 426 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (13- 3, 89.2)     8- 9   
 429 H Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        ( 7- 7, 78.9)    21- 3   
 503 H Oneonta                SUNYAC        (10- 7, 78.9)     8- 5   
 506 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        (13- 3, 89.2)    13- 7   
 513 H Stevens                Knickerbocker (14- 4, 88.4)    16- 7   
 517 H Middlebury             NESCAC        (13- 4, 88.6)    12- 8   
 521 H Wesleyan               NESCAC        (16- 4, 88.8)     7- 6  o
 528 N Salisbury              Capital       (20- 1, 94.9)    13-12  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H St. Lawrence           14- 5       9     7           1.21
   315 A Roanoke                 7- 9      -2     0          -1.01
   318 N Springfield            13- 4       9     9          -0.16
   322 H Clarkson               18- 3      15    17           0.00
   325 H RIT                    14- 6       8     3    ++     4.71
   329 H Nazareth                7- 8  o   -1    -1           0.09
   401 H Cabrini                12- 5       7     8          -1.36
   405 A Ithaca                 15-10       5     6          -1.77
   408 A Potsdam                17- 6      11    17           0.00
   412 A Oswego                 16- 5      11    17           0.00
   414 H Oneonta                13- 7       6    14    --    -4.00
   419 A Brockport              13- 3      10    19           0.00
   422 A Stevens                18- 7      11     2    +++    7.30
   426 H Geneseo                 8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.56
   429 H Plattsburgh            21- 3      18    14           0.00
   503 H Oneonta                 8- 5       3    14    ---   -7.00
   506 A Geneseo                13- 7       6     1    ++     4.09
   513 H Stevens                16- 7       9     5    +      3.66
   517 H Middlebury             12- 8       4     5          -1.18
   521 H Wesleyan                7- 6  o    1     4    -     -3.93
   528 N Salisbury              13-12  o    1    -2    +      3.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Oneonta                 8- 5       3    14    ---   -7.00
   414 H Oneonta                13- 7       6    14    --    -4.00
   426 H Geneseo                 8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.56
   521 H Wesleyan                7- 6  o    1     4    -     -3.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Stevens                18- 7      11     2    +++    7.30
   325 H RIT                    14- 6       8     3    ++     4.71
   506 A Geneseo                13- 7       6     1    ++     4.09
   513 H Stevens                16- 7       9     5    +      3.66
   528 N Salisbury              13-12  o    1    -2    +      3.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.41 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.55 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.72 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   14.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.170.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   10.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
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