Conf = America East               Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Bearcats               Coach  = Ed Stephenson           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.7442017    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 A Cornell                Ivy League    (11- 3, 94.6)     3-16   
 304 A Towson                 Colonial      ( 8- 6, 87.7)     7- 6 2o
 311 A Villanova              Colonial      ( 5-10, 81.4)     7- 6  o
 314 H Hobart                 ECAC          ( 6- 8, 84.4)     7- 5   
 318 A Sacred Heart           Colonial      ( 2-12, 74.8)    10- 8   
 324 N Bellarmine             Independent   ( 7- 8, 81.3)     4- 9   
 326 A Princeton              Ivy League    (11- 5, 91.0)     2-10   
 401 A Hartford               America East  ( 3-12, 75.5)    16- 8   
 408 A Vermont                America East  ( 9- 6, 83.0)     9- 5   
 411 H Colgate                Patriot       (11- 4, 85.8)     7- 8   
 415 H UMBC                   America East  (10- 5, 89.1)     5-11   
 422 H Stony Brook            America East  ( 8- 7, 85.2)     8- 9   
 425 H Drexel                 Colonial      ( 5- 9, 83.0)    11- 6   
 429 A Albany                 America East  ( 8- 7, 86.3)     9-20   
 505 A UMBC                   America East  (10- 5, 89.1)     3- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Cornell                 3-16     -13   -13           0.00
   304 A Towson                  7- 6 2o    1    -6    +++    7.20
   311 A Villanova               7- 6  o    1     0           0.84
   314 H Hobart                  7- 5       2     0           1.98
   318 A Sacred Heart           10- 8       2     6    --    -4.71
   324 N Bellarmine              4- 9      -5     1    ---   -6.63
   326 A Princeton               2-10      -8    -9           1.53
   401 A Hartford               16- 8       8     6           1.95
   408 A Vermont                 9- 5       4    -1    ++     5.51
   411 H Colgate                 7- 8      -1    -1           0.41
   415 H UMBC                    5-11      -6    -4          -1.26
   422 H Stony Brook             8- 9      -1     0          -0.26
   425 H Drexel                 11- 6       5     1    +      3.61
   429 A Albany                  9-20     -11    -4    --    -5.21
   505 A UMBC                    3- 6      -3    -7    ++     4.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 N Bellarmine              4- 9      -5     1    ---   -6.63
   318 A Sacred Heart           10- 8       2     6    --    -4.71
   429 A Albany                  9-20     -11    -4    --    -5.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Towson                  7- 6 2o    1    -6    +++    7.20
   408 A Vermont                 9- 5       4    -1    ++     5.51
   505 A UMBC                    3- 6      -3    -7    ++     4.63
   425 H Drexel                 11- 6       5     1    +      3.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.97 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.73 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    31
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/