2005 NCAA Men's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Salisbury Capital 20 0 2 17 1 1 1 1 3 48.00 2 Middlebury NESCAC 17 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 6 6.00 3 Roanoke Old Dominion 15 3 4 10 3 5 3 3 11 4.00 4 Gettysburg Centennial 15 4 7 2 6 3 4 5 12 5.00 5 Cortland SUNYAC 17 2 5 19 4 6 7 4 17 2.00 6 Lynchburg Old Dominion 13 5 10 3 8 7 5 7 19 3.00 7 Wesleyan NESCAC 13 6 14 7 7 8 6 9 23 0.10 8 Nazareth Empire 8 14 3 1 8 5 4 18 6 28 11.00 9 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 10 4 16 21 13 14 8 11 33 1.00 10 Washington Colle Centennial 10 5 13 4 24 9 9 17 35 1.00 11 Springfield Pilgrim 12 5 20 38 15 13 10 16 39 0.10 12 Stevens Knickerbocker 13 4 8 41 11 12 17 12 41 6.00 13 Amherst NESCAC 11 4 9 12 14 10 20 14 44 5.00 14 Bowdoin NESCAC 10 5 15 6 16 15 13 18 46 1.00 15 Hampden-Sydney Old Dominion 8 5 19 9 22 17 15 15 47 1.00 16 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 9 5 6 14 12 11 28 8 47 0.10 17 Mary Washington Capital 9 6 44 15 29 16 11 30 57 0.10 18 Ithaca Empire 8 9 5 21 11 23 18 16 25 59 0.10 19 Widener Middle Atlanti 11 5 24 49 20 22 12 27 61 1.00 20 Tufts NESCAC 9 5 11 18 26 19 21 22 62 4.00 21 Bates NESCAC 9 6 31 16 21 21 19 23 63 0.10 22 Endicott Commonwealth 15 4 25 72 10 25 27 13 65 1.00 23 Denison North Coast 9 4 26 30 25 23 33 19 75 0.10 24 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 9 5 23 22 28 20 29 26 75 0.10 25 Messiah Middle Atlanti 13 3 18 68 9 27 38 10 75 0.10 26 St. Mary's Capital 10 6 35 36 30 29 26 31 86 0.10 27 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 7 8 39 5 37 33 14 42 89 0.10 28 Skidmore Liberty 13 3 22 65 17 24 46 20 90 0.10 29 Cabrini Pennsylvania 10 6 33 61 32 36 23 32 91 0.10 30 Geneseo SUNYAC 12 5 27 35 18 31 37 24 92 0.10 31 Hartwick Empire 8 11 7 32 27 33 35 24 34 93 0.10 32 Dickinson Centennial 9 5 28 29 31 26 45 28 99 0.10 33 Goucher Capital 10 6 37 48 35 34 31 35 100 0.10 34 Western New Engl Pilgrim 14 6 30 66 27 28 44 29 101 0.10 35 Haverford Centennial 9 6 38 31 38 30 39 38 107 0.10 36 Williams NESCAC 7 7 40 23 41 39 30 41 110 0.10 37 Rensselaer Liberty 7 7 46 28 55 37 22 58 117 0.10 38 RIT Empire 8 9 7 34 34 49 44 32 52 128 0.10 39 McDaniel Centennial 6 8 43 25 68 43 25 61 129 0.10 40 Keene State Little East 10 5 17 77 39 38 60 39 137 0.10 41 Babson Pilgrim 9 7 60 62 63 42 41 55 138 0.10 42 Montclair State Knickerbocker 10 7 63 56 51 41 52 50 143 0.10 43 St. Lawrence Liberty 9 6 41 52 45 45 50 48 143 0.10 44 Eastern Connecti Little East 10 7 45 60 54 40 49 60 149 0.10 45 Elizabethtown Middle Atlanti 9 8 54 55 65 50 35 67 152 0.10 46 Whittier Independent 10 2 29 57 19 32 100 21 153 0.10 47 Catholic Capital 8 6 59 75 52 51 63 45 159 0.10 48 Clarkson Liberty 7 7 51 39 56 53 51 59 163 0.10 49 Hamilton Liberty 10 4 36 63 34 46 88 33 167 0.10 50 Swarthmore Centennial 6 8 53 37 78 47 47 74 168 0.10 51 Villa Julie Pennsylvania 9 6 56 80 61 56 58 54 168 0.10 52 Elmira Empire 8 8 6 47 51 46 55 67 49 171 0.10 53 Gordon Commonwealth 9 6 68 91 58 54 62 57 173 0.10 54 Lycoming Middle Atlanti 10 6 50 74 50 52 68 53 173 0.10 55 Western Connecti Little East 11 5 74 105 36 59 78 36 173 0.10 56 Greensboro Independent 8 6 12 43 42 48 91 37 176 0.10 57 Trinity NESCAC 3 9 55 13 79 60 40 82 182 0.10 58 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 7 9 67 42 82 62 43 78 183 0.10 59 Lasell Pilgrim 10 6 66 97 53 58 80 46 184 0.10 60 Richard Stockton Knickerbocker 8 6 83 78 48 61 72 51 184 0.10 61 Fairleigh Dickin Middle Atlanti 8 7 52 70 71 57 56 75 188 0.10 62 Oneonta SUNYAC 8 9 49 53 85 63 42 89 194 0.10 63 Colorado College Independent 7 7 42 33 57 49 90 56 195 0.10 64 Wooster North Coast 7 7 61 58 69 69 64 66 199 0.10 65 Mass-Boston Little East 11 7 80 100 67 64 73 68 205 0.10 66 Plymouth State Little East 9 8 84 90 86 68 57 84 209 0.10 67 Ursinus Centennial 3 10 72 32 100 71 48 93 212 0.10 68 Muhlenberg Centennial 7 9 64 54 81 77 59 77 213 0.10 69 Wesley Pennsylvania 8 6 62 92 62 66 83 64 213 0.10 70 Colby NESCAC 3 11 76 24 102 78 34 102 214 0.10 71 Guilford Old Dominion 5 8 91 40 73 79 66 70 215 0.10 72 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 2 11 86 20 107 74 36 105 215 0.10 73 Wheaton Pilgrim 6 7 79 84 80 65 76 79 220 0.10 74 York Capital 5 7 93 69 74 73 77 72 222 0.10 75 Potsdam SUNYAC 6 10 78 50 94 67 55 101 223 0.10 76 Union Liberty 6 9 70 47 99 75 54 98 227 0.10 77 MIT Pilgrim 5 8 95 76 84 70 71 87 228 0.10 78 Merchant Marine Knickerbocker 5 7 82 64 76 72 79 80 231 0.10 79 Utica College Empire 8 5 9 57 44 92 80 61 94 235 0.10 80 Kenyon North Coast 5 9 48 46 88 82 70 86 238 0.10 81 Roger Williams Commonwealth 8 9 87 88 89 76 75 90 241 0.10 82 New England Coll Commonwealth 7 7 85 96 77 81 84 81 246 0.10 83 St. John Fisher Empire 8 6 7 71 71 66 89 89 69 247 0.10 84 SUNY Maritime Knickerbocker 6 7 69 94 60 83 101 63 247 0.10 85 Mount Ida North Atlantic 9 5 94 122 47 90 112 47 249 0.10 86 Susquehanna Middle Atlanti 6 9 96 83 91 86 74 92 252 0.10 87 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 6 6 58 89 59 84 107 62 253 0.10 88 Keuka Independent 7 4 89 116 40 100 123 40 263 0.10 89 Castleton State North Atlantic 9 6 81 125 64 91 109 65 265 0.10 90 Brockport SUNYAC 6 7 73 87 70 95 99 73 267 0.10 91 Mass. Maritime Pilgrim 5 9 103 93 104 88 82 100 270 0.10 92 Alfred Empire 8 1 12 102 26 119 96 53 123 272 0.10 93 Farmingdale Independent 9 7 65 108 75 85 111 76 272 0.10 94 Wentworth Tech. Commonwealth 6 7 90 107 83 92 98 83 273 0.10 95 Mass-Dartmouth Little East 4 11 104 86 122 87 69 122 278 0.10 96 Norwich Pilgrim 5 9 109 111 90 93 97 88 278 0.10 97 Maine Maritime North Atlantic 5 4 119 128 43 110 127 43 280 0.10 98 Marymount Capital 4 12 98 67 124 97 65 121 283 0.10 99 Drew Middle Atlanti 6 9 92 81 96 94 87 103 284 0.10 100 Southern Maine Little East 3 9 105 95 110 99 85 109 293 0.10 101 Mitchell Independent 1 6 129 130 44 130 129 44 303 0.10 102 Nichols Commonwealth 3 9 118 104 109 102 96 108 306 0.10 103 Kean Knickerbocker 7 9 77 113 98 98 110 99 307 0.10 104 Misericordia Pennsylvania 6 9 107 110 105 101 102 104 307 0.10 105 Salve Regina Commonwealth 4 8 108 117 95 108 104 95 307 0.10 106 King's Middle Atlanti 6 10 101 109 108 107 94 110 311 0.10 107 Moravian Middle Atlanti 6 11 99 99 115 103 92 118 313 0.10 108 Manhattanville Knickerbocker 4 10 100 103 103 109 105 106 320 0.10 109 Scranton Middle Atlanti 2 13 111 82 130 111 81 130 322 0.10 110 Oswego SUNYAC 2 12 97 59 126 104 93 127 324 0.10 111 Mt. St. Vincent Independent 6 7 115 129 72 124 130 71 325 0.10 112 Shenandoah Pennsylvania 5 9 110 112 106 112 106 107 325 0.10 113 Vassar Liberty 1 12 106 73 129 113 86 129 328 0.10 114 Wittenberg North Coast 2 11 75 45 116 106 108 114 328 0.10 115 Daniel Webster North Atlantic 4 7 124 127 87 122 122 85 329 0.10 116 Emerson North Atlantic 3 8 126 123 97 116 118 97 331 0.10 117 Curry Commonwealth 3 12 114 101 123 105 103 124 332 0.10 118 DeSales Middle Atlanti 3 12 113 102 127 115 95 128 338 0.10 119 Washington & Jef Independent 2 9 88 79 101 119 124 96 339 0.10 120 Hood Independent 0 8 130 121 93 128 125 91 344 0.10 121 Centenary Independent 2 10 117 98 117 118 114 116 348 0.10 122 U. of New Englan Commonwealth 1 10 120 106 120 117 113 119 349 0.10 123 Cazenovia Independent 3 10 121 114 114 120 116 115 351 0.10 124 Oberlin North Coast 3 11 112 85 113 121 117 113 351 0.10 125 Neumann Pennsylvania 2 10 122 115 118 123 115 117 355 0.10 126 Johnson State North Atlantic 0 10 128 126 112 127 119 112 358 0.10 127 Thomas North Atlantic 1 9 127 124 111 126 121 111 358 0.10 128 Clark Pilgrim 4 11 116 118 121 114 126 120 360 0.10 129 Alvernia Pennsylvania 2 11 123 120 125 125 120 125 370 0.10 130 Medaille Independent 0 11 125 119 128 129 128 126 383 0.10