Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tarheels               Coach  = John Haus               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.4304810    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 226 H Denver                 Great Western ( 9- 5, 90.8)    18-12   
 305 A Navy                   Patriot       (12- 4, 93.0)     6- 9   
 312 N Notre Dame             Great Western ( 7- 4, 93.1)     7- 9   
 316 A Hofstra                Colonial      ( 8- 8, 88.6)     8-12   
 319 H Duke                   ACC           (17- 3, 98.6)    10-12   
 323 H Cornell                Ivy League    (11- 3, 95.6)     9- 5   
 326 A Maryland               ACC           (11- 6, 93.8)     4- 9   
 402 H Johns Hopkins          Independent   (16- 0, 99.9)     5- 7   
 409 A Virginia               ACC           (11- 4, 95.8)     9-15   
 413 H Air Force              Great Western ( 4- 8, 83.0)    14- 5   
 416 A UMBC                   America East  ( 7- 8, 87.9)    11- 5   
 420 A Colgate                Patriot       ( 7- 7, 84.8)    12- 6   
 429 N Duke                   ACC           (17- 3, 98.6)    11-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H Denver                 18-12       6     0    ++     5.03
   305 A Navy                    6- 9      -3    -4           1.69
   312 N Notre Dame              7- 9      -2    -3           1.04
   316 A Hofstra                 8-12      -4     0    -     -3.68
   319 H Duke                   10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.77
   323 H Cornell                 9- 5       4    -3    +++    7.77
   326 A Maryland                4- 9      -5    -5           0.57
   402 H Johns Hopkins           5- 7      -2    -8    +++    6.09
   409 A Virginia                9-15      -6    -7           1.54
   413 H Air Force              14- 5       9     8           0.19
   416 A UMBC                   11- 5       6     0    ++     5.64
   420 A Colgate                12- 6       6     3    +      2.55
   429 N Duke                   11-13      -2    -8    +++    6.54

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Hofstra                 8-12      -4     0    -     -3.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Cornell                 9- 5       4    -3    +++    7.77
   402 H Johns Hopkins           5- 7      -2    -8    +++    6.09
   429 N Duke                   11-13      -2    -8    +++    6.54
   226 H Denver                 18-12       6     0    ++     5.03
   319 H Duke                   10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.77
   416 A UMBC                   11- 5       6     0    ++     5.64
   420 A Colgate                12- 6       6     3    +      2.55
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.04 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.94 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/