Conf = ECAC                       Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Statesmen              Coach  = Matt Kerwick            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.2426682    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 226 N Butler                 Great Western ( 5- 7, 81.6)    11- 7   
 305 H Binghamton             America East  ( 4- 9, 82.8)    10- 7   
 312 A Ohio State             Great Western ( 6- 8, 85.2)     9- 6   
 315 N Robert Morris          Independent   ( 0-13, 70.7)    15-10   
 319 H Georgetown             ECAC          (10- 5, 92.2)     9-11   
 326 H Rutgers                ECAC          ( 4- 9, 83.1)    16-10   
 329 H Syracuse               Independent   ( 7- 6, 91.0)    12-13   
 402 H Fairfield              Great Western (11- 5, 88.1)     8-11   
 409 A Penn State             ECAC          ( 9- 6, 88.7)    13-19   
 416 H Massachusetts          ECAC          (13- 3, 93.9)    12-14   
 423 A St. John's             ECAC          ( 2-11, 77.0)    13- 9   
 426 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 5- 7, 79.6)    12- 6   
 430 A Loyola                 ECAC          ( 5- 8, 86.1)    11-15   
 506 A Cornell                Ivy League    (11- 3, 95.6)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 N Butler                 11- 7       4     4          -0.52
   305 H Binghamton             10- 7       3     5    -     -2.04
   312 A Ohio State              9- 6       3     0    +      3.84
   315 N Robert Morris          15-10       5    15    --    -5.00
   319 H Georgetown              9-11      -2    -4    +      2.38
   326 H Rutgers                16-10       6     4           1.27
   329 H Syracuse               12-13      -1    -3    +      2.16
   402 H Fairfield               8-11      -3     0    -     -2.73
   409 A Penn State             13-19      -6    -4          -1.61
   416 H Massachusetts          12-14      -2    -6    ++     4.04
   423 A St. John's             13- 9       4     7    -     -3.34
   426 H Canisius               12- 6       6     8    -     -2.23
   430 A Loyola                 11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.21
   506 A Cornell                 5-10      -5   -11    ++     5.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 N Robert Morris          15-10       5    15    --    -5.00
   305 H Binghamton             10- 7       3     5    -     -2.04
   402 H Fairfield               8-11      -3     0    -     -2.73
   423 A St. John's             13- 9       4     7    -     -3.34
   426 H Canisius               12- 6       6     8    -     -2.23
   430 A Loyola                 11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Massachusetts          12-14      -2    -6    ++     4.04
   506 A Cornell                 5-10      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   312 A Ohio State              9- 6       3     0    +      3.84
   319 H Georgetown              9-11      -2    -4    +      2.38
   329 H Syracuse               12-13      -1    -3    +      2.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.08 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.16 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/