Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Stewart Moan            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.6431198    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 H Rensselaer             Upstate       (12- 4, 78.3)    12- 7   
 313 A Alfred                 Empire 8      ( 6- 7, 70.0)     9-10   
 317 H Ithaca                 Empire 8      (13- 3, 82.7)     5-10   
 320 A RIT                    Empire 8      (14- 4, 80.4)     4- 6   
 324 H Scranton               Middle Atlant ( 3-12, 58.4)    17- 4   
 328 A Merchant Marine        Knickerbocker ( 4-10, 60.4)    14- 8   
 331 H Hamilton               Upstate       ( 9- 5, 74.5)     7- 8   
 403 H St. John Fisher        Empire 8      ( 2-12, 61.0)    14- 3   
 407 H SUNYIT                 SUNYAC        ( 0- 5, 37.3)    25- 1   
 410 H Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 4- 8, 65.2)     8- 5   
 414 A Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 4-10, 67.6)    17-10   
 417 A Cortland               SUNYAC        (15- 3, 82.5)    11-15   
 424 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 5-10, 72.0)    13- 9   
 428 A Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        ( 2-10, 63.4)    14- 5   
 501 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        (11- 5, 77.6)     5- 8   
 505 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        (11- 5, 77.6)     7-13   
 514 H Hartwick               Empire 8      ( 8- 8, 74.4)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Rensselaer             12- 7       5    -4    +++    9.34
   313 A Alfred                  9-10      -1     1    -     -2.68
   317 H Ithaca                  5-10      -5    -8    +      3.72
   320 A RIT                     4- 6      -2    -8    +++    6.71
   324 H Scranton               17- 4      13    15           0.00
   328 A Merchant Marine        14- 8       6    11    --    -4.00
   331 H Hamilton                7- 8      -1     0          -0.42
   403 H St. John Fisher        14- 3      11    12           0.00
   407 H SUNYIT                 25- 1      24    36           0.00
   410 H Brockport               8- 5       3     8    --    -5.77
   414 A Potsdam                17-10       7     4    +      2.92
   417 A Cortland               11-15      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   424 H Oswego                 13- 9       4     1    +      2.09
   428 A Plattsburgh            14- 5       9     8           0.70
   501 A Geneseo                 5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.87
   505 A Geneseo                 7-13      -6    -5          -0.13
   514 H Hartwick                7-10      -3     0    -     -2.54

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Merchant Marine        14- 8       6    11    --    -4.00
   410 H Brockport               8- 5       3     8    --    -5.77
   313 A Alfred                  9-10      -1     1    -     -2.68
   514 H Hartwick                7-10      -3     0    -     -2.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Rensselaer             12- 7       5    -4    +++    9.34
   320 A RIT                     4- 6      -2    -8    +++    6.71
   417 A Cortland               11-15      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   317 H Ithaca                  5-10      -5    -8    +      3.72
   414 A Potsdam                17-10       7     4    +      2.92
   424 H Oswego                 13- 9       4     1    +      2.09
   501 A Geneseo                 5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.87
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.82 Local Power Rank...........    42
 Local SOS Rating......... 42.27 Local SOS Rank.............    60
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    64
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    86
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    52
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/