List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Northwestern Big Ten 17 2 1 2 1 1 3 1 5 13.50
2 Boston College Atlantic Coast 18 3 2 9 2 2 4 2 8 12.50
3 Florida American 20 2 4 26 3 7 20 6 33 12.00
4 Loyola (MD) Patriot League 18 3 8 20 6 13 17 5 35 8.50
5 Syracuse Atlantic Coast 16 5 3 1 4 3 1 4 8 8.50
6 Yale Ivy League 17 3 5 12 5 5 11 3 19 6.50
7 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 10 7 16 6 17 18 5 17 40 5.00
8 Penn Ivy League 15 5 6 5 8 4 7 11 22 4.50
9 Virginia Atlantic Coast 15 5 12 8 12 14 13 12 39 3.50
10 Maryland Big Ten 14 6 10 7 13 11 6 13 30 2.50
11 Michigan Big Ten 16 4 9 14 9 6 12 7 25 2.50
12 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast 16 4 7 17 10 10 10 9 29 2.50
13 Penn State Big Ten 11 8 20 10 36 23 14 36 73 2.50
14 Stony Brook Colonial 18 3 11 24 11 8 22 10 40 2.50
15 Princeton Ivy League 11 7 15 4 14 16 8 18 42 2.00
16 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 12 8 17 3 16 9 2 15 26 1.50
17 Stanford Pac-12 13 5 14 22 23 15 16 19 50 1.50
18 Colorado Pac-12 13 6 27 31 28 25 25 30 80 0.00
19 Denver Big East 16 4 13 15 7 12 9 8 29 0.00
20 Harvard Ivy League 10 5 19 33 26 30 49 27 106 0.00
21 James Madison American 13 7 21 18 30 19 26 32 77 0.00
22 Navy Patriot League 15 4 18 47 18 20 34 25 79 0.00
23 Rutgers Big Ten 8 10 25 11 51 37 19 55 111 0.00
24 Drexel Colonial 13 6 24 32 29 21 21 26 68 0.00
25 Duke Atlantic Coast 10 9 29 13 37 31 15 37 83 0.00
26 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 16 3 31 69 15 17 47 14 78 0.00
27 Southern Califor Pac-12 12 5 26 35 34 28 57 31 116 0.00
28 Akron MAC 7 9 113 119 86 113 124 86 323 0.00
29 Albany America East 8 10 47 29 70 35 24 64 123 0.00
30 American Patriot League 7 9 83 76 80 76 77 80 233 0.00
31 Arizona State Pac-12 9 10 39 36 66 48 18 67 133 0.00
32 Army Patriot League 9 8 38 39 57 49 44 59 152 0.00
33 Binghamton America East 12 7 52 65 52 42 63 53 158 0.00
34 Boston Universit Patriot League 5 11 85 59 94 78 56 95 229 0.00
35 Brown Ivy League 10 5 22 27 25 22 42 28 92 0.00
36 Bryant America East 9 6 58 73 53 47 69 48 164 0.00
37 Bucknell Patriot League 5 10 86 63 89 84 92 92 268 0.00
38 Butler Big East 2 14 102 66 125 111 90 124 325 0.00
39 California Pac-12 5 10 75 70 96 87 86 96 269 0.00
40 Campbell Colonial 4 13 90 67 117 91 72 114 277 0.00
41 Canisius Metro Atlantic 11 7 79 101 63 63 78 61 202 0.00
42 Central Connecti Northeast 2 13 125 122 118 122 115 119 356 0.00
43 Central Michigan MAC 5 13 99 81 105 100 74 105 279 0.00
44 Cincinnati American 10 7 64 75 48 69 93 49 211 0.00
45 Clemson Atlantic Coast 11 7 23 23 33 27 28 33 88 0.00
46 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 14 6 51 72 40 33 70 41 144 0.00
47 Colgate Patriot League 3 14 78 45 123 81 58 128 267 0.00
48 Columbia Ivy League 4 11 76 41 92 83 61 93 237 0.00
49 Connecticut Big East 11 7 32 44 43 44 39 44 127 0.00
50 Cornell Ivy League 7 8 35 19 44 40 31 50 121 0.00
51 Dartmouth Ivy League 7 7 30 21 45 36 27 45 108 0.00
52 Davidson Atlantic 10 11 7 50 74 59 46 54 60 160 0.00
53 Delaware Colonial 10 6 48 68 49 54 91 46 191 0.00
54 Delaware State Atlantic Sun 2 13 126 126 126 121 118 125 364 0.00
55 Detroit Mercy MAC 6 12 109 111 112 119 125 112 356 0.00
56 Duquesne Atlantic 10 7 10 112 98 97 99 110 97 306 0.00
57 East Carolina American 4 12 74 48 106 85 67 106 258 0.00
58 Eastern Michigan MAC 7 9 107 114 76 112 122 76 310 0.00
59 Elon Colonial 9 8 62 58 67 59 68 65 192 0.00
60 Fairleigh Dickin Northeast 2 14 123 127 129 126 120 129 375 0.00
61 Furman Big South 8 10 88 87 87 80 76 87 243 0.00
62 Gardner Webb Big South 0 17 124 108 132 125 111 132 368 0.00
63 George Mason Atlantic 10 10 8 82 110 73 88 108 72 268 0.00
64 George Washingto Atlantic 10 4 13 110 99 121 115 99 121 335 0.00
65 Georgetown Big East 7 11 40 30 81 64 51 81 196 0.00
66 High Point Big South 12 6 69 91 46 60 80 47 187 0.00
67 Hofstra Colonial 9 8 42 52 71 50 60 69 179 0.00
68 Holy Cross Patriot League 12 6 44 56 38 32 29 38 99 0.00
69 Howard (DC) Northeast 0 16 127 125 130 127 121 130 378 0.00
70 Iona Metro Atlantic 12 5 81 100 41 57 83 39 179 0.00
71 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 9 9 54 46 60 52 41 63 156 0.00
72 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 5 11 103 104 107 110 123 107 340 0.00
73 Kent State MAC 6 11 106 107 102 106 113 102 321 0.00
74 La Salle Atlantic 10 3 11 114 93 110 114 105 110 329 0.00
75 Lafayette Patriot League 5 11 84 77 101 95 89 101 285 0.00
76 Le Moyne Northeast 9 9 105 115 83 89 94 82 265 0.00
77 Lehigh Patriot League 8 9 56 49 72 61 65 77 203 0.00
78 Liberty Atlantic Sun 6 12 63 42 98 72 59 98 229 0.00
79 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 13 5 66 103 39 68 114 40 222 0.00
80 LIU Northeast 11 8 87 113 68 71 79 70 220 0.00
81 Longwood Big South 8 10 104 112 95 109 112 94 315 0.00
82 Louisville Atlantic Coast 8 11 34 16 69 43 23 71 137 0.00
83 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 4 13 111 88 122 101 71 120 292 0.00
84 Marist Metro Atlantic 3 13 98 78 124 102 75 122 299 0.00
85 Marquette Big East 6 11 65 51 90 73 66 90 229 0.00
86 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 13 5 28 55 35 24 38 35 97 0.00
87 Massachusetts-Lo America East 12 6 55 96 50 62 81 51 194 0.00
88 Mercer Big South 14 6 49 85 32 41 35 34 110 0.00
89 Merrimack Northeast 4 12 118 116 113 116 106 113 335 0.00
90 Monmouth (NJ) Colonial 6 10 72 61 91 86 84 91 261 0.00
91 Mount St Marys Metro Atlantic 8 10 70 83 93 55 40 89 184 0.00
92 New Hampshire America East 2 12 95 71 115 103 85 115 303 0.00
93 Niagara Metro Atlantic 16 4 46 84 27 26 37 16 79 0.00
94 Ohio State Big Ten 8 9 43 37 61 58 43 62 163 0.00
95 Old Dominion American 3 13 91 64 116 107 88 116 311 0.00
96 Oregon Pac-12 8 7 57 80 64 74 97 66 237 0.00
97 Pittsburgh Atlantic Coast 5 13 59 28 99 75 46 99 220 0.00
98 Presbyterian Big South 2 14 122 121 127 123 127 126 376 0.00
99 Queens Atlantic Sun 9 8 77 94 74 79 102 74 255 0.00
100 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 2 13 92 82 119 96 53 117 266 0.00
101 Radford Big South 6 11 119 123 103 120 116 103 339 0.00
102 Richmond Atlantic 10 14 5 33 60 31 29 33 29 91 0.00
103 Rider Metro Atlantic 8 9 96 109 84 92 101 83 276 0.00
104 Robert Morris MAC 8 12 108 95 100 98 104 100 302 0.00
105 Sacred Heart Northeast 11 6 94 117 54 70 96 52 218 0.00
106 San Diego State Pac-12 2 14 93 40 120 93 64 123 280 0.00
107 Siena Metro Atlantic 13 6 61 79 47 34 50 42 126 0.00
108 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 8 9 80 92 85 77 95 85 257 0.00
109 St Francis Northeast 8 8 116 124 77 104 117 78 299 0.00
110 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 11 7 37 54 56 39 48 56 143 0.00
111 Stetson Atlantic Sun 4 11 100 97 108 105 87 108 300 0.00
112 Stonehill Northeast 9 9 97 120 82 90 100 84 274 0.00
113 Temple American 9 7 41 34 42 38 30 43 111 0.00
114 Towson Colonial 7 9 45 38 79 53 52 79 184 0.00
115 UC Davis Pac-12 9 8 68 62 65 56 45 68 169 0.00
116 UMBC America East 9 6 67 90 58 65 98 57 220 0.00
117 Vanderbilt American 9 8 53 43 55 51 32 54 137 0.00
118 VCU Atlantic 10 5 13 73 57 114 82 55 118 255 0.00
119 Vermont America East 8 8 71 86 78 66 82 75 223 0.00
120 Villanova Big East 7 9 60 50 75 67 62 73 202 0.00
121 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 9 9 36 25 62 45 36 58 139 0.00
122 Wagner Northeast 6 11 115 118 104 108 107 104 319 0.00
123 William & Mary Colonial 4 13 89 53 111 94 73 111 278 0.00
124 Winthrop Big South 2 13 120 102 128 118 103 127 348 0.00
125 Wofford Big South 7 9 101 105 88 97 109 88 294 0.00
126 Xavier Big East 4 11 117 89 109 117 126 109 352 0.00
127 Youngstown State MAC 0 16 121 106 131 124 119 131 374 0.00
128 Austin Peay 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
129 Florida State 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
130 Rhode Island 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
131 South Florida 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
132 UNC-Charlotte 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00