List of Probabilities for MEN D3
MEN D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Salisbury CLC 21 0 1 28 2 2 18 2 22 14.00
2 RIT Liberty League 19 2 2 8 3 1 2 1 4 10.00
3 Tufts NESCAC 15 3 3 5 4 5 7 4 16 9.00
4 Bowdoin NESCAC 13 5 4 6 10 11 13 16 40 7.00
5 Middlebury NESCAC 12 8 8 1 13 18 4 33 55 7.00
6 St Lawrence Liberty League 15 4 5 12 11 4 10 7 21 6.50
7 Christopher Newp CLC 16 5 9 13 8 3 1 5 9 5.50
8 RPI Liberty League 17 3 6 7 1 6 8 3 17 5.00
9 Wesleyan NESCAC 15 4 7 10 5 15 36 13 64 4.00
10 Union Liberty League 12 6 13 4 15 8 3 15 26 3.00
11 Amherst NESCAC 10 6 10 3 16 28 25 30 83 2.50
12 Babson NEWMAC 16 4 12 32 7 21 27 8 56 2.50
13 Cortland SUNYAC 11 5 26 40 43 29 51 43 123 2.50
14 Hamilton NESCAC 9 7 20 9 21 51 31 45 127 2.50
15 Lynchburg ODAC 16 6 11 35 27 10 12 20 42 2.50
16 Randolph-Macon ODAC 16 5 32 60 30 45 56 18 119 2.50
17 Stevens MAC-Freedom 18 3 18 51 6 19 38 6 63 2.50
18 St John Fisher Empire 8 14 7 25 38 34 34 19 31 84 1.50
19 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 14 7 23 31 31 27 17 19 63 1.50
20 Swarthmore Centennial 15 3 14 26 14 13 43 11 67 1.50
21 Dickinson Centennial 17 3 15 17 12 7 29 10 46 0.00
22 Endicott CCC 16 2 19 46 9 16 39 9 64 0.00
23 Roanoke ODAC 15 6 24 50 33 26 9 24 59 0.00
24 Williams NESCAC 9 7 17 2 17 32 16 39 87 0.00
25 Denison NCAC 14 6 29 49 40 12 26 36 74 0.00
26 Geneseo SUNYAC 13 7 31 36 32 23 22 32 77 0.00
27 Gettysburg Centennial 10 8 21 11 51 30 6 44 80 0.00
28 Grove City PAC 15 5 30 79 18 20 11 17 48 0.00
29 Muhlenberg Centennial 10 8 28 19 81 37 23 71 131 0.00
30 Washington & Lee ODAC 15 5 16 39 23 9 15 12 36 0.00
31 Adrian MIAA 8 8 119 115 132 99 144 132 375 0.00
32 Albertus Magnus GNAC 3 12 207 217 223 224 187 224 635 0.00
33 Albion MIAA 8 11 108 81 191 75 41 169 285 0.00
34 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 6 10 147 124 178 186 185 177 548 0.00
35 Alfred Empire 8 10 5 88 88 65 68 124 66 258 0.00
36 Allegheny PAC 10 7 122 138 98 97 104 92 293 0.00
37 Alma MIAA 1 13 199 162 179 194 221 178 593 0.00
38 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 4 12 171 136 219 207 192 220 619 0.00
39 Anderson (IN) HCLC North 6 10 225 236 180 222 230 179 631 0.00
40 Anna Maria GNAC 2 14 203 186 239 220 184 239 643 0.00
41 Arcadia MAC-Freedom 10 8 73 70 106 103 96 104 303 0.00
42 Augustana CCIW 4 10 192 154 170 154 168 155 477 0.00
43 Aurora NACC 14 6 115 156 71 58 48 51 157 0.00
44 Averett ODAC 3 15 230 152 233 206 228 229 663 0.00
45 Baldwin Wallace OAC 10 7 97 117 99 76 83 93 252 0.00
46 Bates NESCAC 3 11 54 15 133 127 87 174 388 0.00
47 Beloit NACC 3 11 221 223 208 218 206 210 634 0.00
48 Benedictine (IL) NACC 6 11 162 166 197 141 75 193 409 0.00
49 Berry SAA 7 7 110 74 85 59 52 83 194 0.00
50 Bethany PAC 4 10 215 225 190 217 213 189 619 0.00
51 Birmingham South SAA 9 4 76 121 48 60 126 52 238 0.00
52 Brevard USA South 2 14 226 226 225 228 237 226 691 0.00
53 Bridgewater ODAC 6 11 128 83 196 145 76 194 415 0.00
54 Brockport SUNYAC 4 11 102 63 203 139 105 203 447 0.00
55 Bryn Athyn UnitedEast 3 6 219 231 107 225 236 105 566 0.00
56 Cabrini AEC 15 5 33 71 26 41 58 21 120 0.00
57 Cairn UnitedEast 4 9 210 213 141 210 234 140 584 0.00
58 Calvin MIAA 12 6 120 140 57 62 167 60 289 0.00
59 Canton NAC 6 7 190 209 110 187 210 108 505 0.00
60 Capital OAC 9 9 116 131 142 105 103 141 349 0.00
61 Carroll CCIW 6 10 197 197 154 179 191 142 512 0.00
62 Carthage CCIW 8 9 118 125 146 87 57 124 268 0.00
63 Castleton LEC 3 14 189 132 238 191 149 238 578 0.00
64 Catholic Landmark 10 9 78 68 117 89 59 117 265 0.00
65 Centenary (LA) HCLC South 1 11 227 216 181 230 235 180 645 0.00
66 Centenary (NJ) AEC 1 12 234 208 229 237 227 230 694 0.00
67 Centre SAA 12 4 65 113 41 35 69 41 145 0.00
68 Chatham PAC 9 8 137 160 118 133 161 112 406 0.00
69 Clark NEWMAC 5 10 106 53 149 147 186 158 491 0.00
70 Clarkson Liberty League 8 9 34 23 89 56 35 84 175 0.00
71 Coast Guard NEWMAC 2 12 104 47 212 184 152 215 551 0.00
72 Cobleskill NAC 1 11 231 232 213 235 229 212 676 0.00
73 Colby NESCAC 6 8 40 20 66 98 97 100 295 0.00
74 Colorado College HCLC South 8 6 56 73 67 50 101 53 204 0.00
75 Concordia-Chicag NACC 0 12 235 221 230 231 226 231 688 0.00
76 Concordia-Wiscon NACC 13 6 141 194 73 101 128 70 299 0.00
77 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 5 9 45 16 86 111 79 118 308 0.00
78 Cornell College MLC 6 9 201 212 159 182 217 159 558 0.00
79 Curry CCC 4 14 129 85 236 165 88 236 489 0.00
80 Dean College GNAC 13 5 125 185 50 96 114 56 266 0.00
81 Delaware Valley MAC-Freedom 4 12 195 155 216 205 172 216 593 0.00
82 Delhi NAC 12 5 167 229 58 160 220 61 441 0.00
83 DePauw NCAC 8 8 146 144 124 104 100 113 317 0.00
84 DeSales MAC-Freedom 11 7 68 58 79 74 65 82 221 0.00
85 Drew Landmark 10 8 123 116 112 110 132 114 356 0.00
86 Dubuque MLC 10 7 135 172 100 84 73 94 251 0.00
87 Earlham HCLC North 7 9 228 237 150 226 232 150 608 0.00
88 Eastern MAC-Commonwlth 8 11 57 44 182 106 81 181 368 0.00
89 Eastern Connecti LEC 6 11 143 122 198 164 125 199 488 0.00
90 Edgewood NACC 6 11 188 198 199 178 147 200 525 0.00
91 Elizabethtown Landmark 11 7 62 67 90 78 80 89 247 0.00
92 Elmhurst CCIW 13 4 59 93 36 17 20 27 64 0.00
93 Elms GNAC 5 9 202 211 160 196 204 160 560 0.00
94 Emerson NEWMAC 7 9 82 57 143 140 141 151 432 0.00
95 Emmanuel (MA) GNAC 5 12 145 148 217 169 107 217 493 0.00
96 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 16 4 89 147 20 80 209 22 311 0.00
97 FDU-Florham MAC-Freedom 1 15 182 114 240 219 158 240 617 0.00
98 Ferrum ODAC 0 9 134 95 174 200 178 170 548 0.00
99 Franciscan PAC 10 7 185 222 101 177 205 96 478 0.00
100 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 7 10 47 34 155 90 70 152 312 0.00
101 Gordon CCC 4 10 156 100 187 166 131 190 487 0.00
102 Goucher Landmark 9 8 139 130 119 137 162 119 418 0.00
103 Greensboro USA South 7 9 186 201 156 189 223 156 568 0.00
104 Guilford ODAC 8 10 131 109 157 108 62 143 313 0.00
105 Gwynedd Mercy AEC 8 8 144 164 125 168 189 125 482 0.00
106 Hampden-Sydney ODAC 12 6 41 61 52 44 30 46 120 0.00
107 Hanover HCLC North 8 9 200 224 147 181 188 147 516 0.00
108 Hartford CCC 6 7 92 72 92 85 120 95 300 0.00
109 Hartwick Empire 8 5 9 113 77 161 129 119 161 409 0.00
110 Haverford Centennial 7 9 58 41 134 100 63 126 289 0.00
111 Heidelberg OAC 4 13 222 207 220 202 218 221 641 0.00
112 Hendrix SAA 5 9 148 139 162 149 134 162 445 0.00
113 Hilbert D3 Independent 3 6 220 240 91 236 239 90 565 0.00
114 Hiram NCAC 5 12 209 181 202 185 197 198 580 0.00
115 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 9 8 124 110 120 144 170 120 434 0.00
116 Hope MIAA 14 4 70 99 28 24 49 23 96 0.00
117 Huntingdon USA South 4 12 205 196 204 203 201 204 608 0.00
118 Husson NAC 6 10 204 230 183 209 215 182 606 0.00
119 Illinois Tech NACC 8 8 173 184 126 115 95 127 337 0.00
120 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 14 4 63 86 29 14 14 28 56 0.00
121 Immaculata AEC 9 7 153 169 103 158 180 102 440 0.00
122 Ithaca Liberty League 8 8 36 22 80 42 28 80 150 0.00
123 John Carroll OAC 11 5 72 108 60 49 66 54 169 0.00
124 Johnson & Wales GNAC 9 7 170 192 104 150 176 103 429 0.00
125 Juniata Landmark 2 15 198 137 241 212 163 241 616 0.00
126 Kalamazoo MIAA 5 8 155 145 136 131 137 136 404 0.00
127 Kean CLC 12 7 52 52 53 72 55 55 182 0.00
128 Keene State LEC 6 9 90 90 151 119 93 153 365 0.00
129 Kenyon NCAC 13 6 55 64 68 25 33 49 107 0.00
130 Keuka Empire 8 5 8 184 150 137 173 177 137 487 0.00
131 Keystone UnitedEast 6 10 206 214 184 199 211 183 593 0.00
132 Kings MAC-Freedom 3 11 172 127 205 195 173 205 573 0.00
133 La Roche D3 Independent 0 11 239 238 188 239 238 191 668 0.00
134 LaGrange USA South 8 10 180 189 175 172 222 175 569 0.00
135 Lake Forest MLC 16 3 111 176 19 52 91 14 157 0.00
136 Lasell GNAC 11 7 112 149 93 95 109 97 301 0.00
137 Lebanon Valley MAC-Freedom 7 10 121 104 171 153 142 171 466 0.00
138 Lycoming Landmark 5 9 166 128 163 162 151 163 476 0.00
139 Maine Maritime NAC 11 5 158 190 61 128 196 63 387 0.00
140 Manhattanville Skyline 8 10 152 146 172 135 94 172 401 0.00
141 Marian (WI) NACC 3 10 213 220 192 213 200 197 610 0.00
142 Marietta OAC 7 10 168 157 176 148 153 176 477 0.00
143 Maritime Skyline 11 7 74 105 77 93 179 81 353 0.00
144 Mary Washington CLC 8 9 51 37 113 65 47 109 221 0.00
145 Marymount AEC 9 10 117 112 166 120 117 165 402 0.00
146 Marywood AEC 3 13 187 167 235 208 181 235 624 0.00
147 Massachusetts Ma LEC 8 7 109 141 108 121 148 106 375 0.00
148 Massachusetts-Bo LEC 13 5 83 101 44 88 106 57 251 0.00
149 McDaniel Centennial 6 9 93 56 138 124 130 133 387 0.00
150 MCLA NAC 2 12 232 234 226 234 224 227 685 0.00
151 Merchant Marine Skyline 10 5 99 142 69 102 138 67 307 0.00
152 Messiah MAC-Commonwlth 12 6 61 62 74 79 118 75 272 0.00
153 Methodist USA South 9 8 174 193 121 155 157 121 433 0.00
154 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 8 9 103 92 139 117 86 138 341 0.00
155 MIT NEWMAC 6 10 48 29 127 112 82 157 351 0.00
156 Mitchell GNAC 0 12 236 199 231 229 198 232 659 0.00
157 Montclair State CLC 4 10 87 48 152 125 64 148 337 0.00
158 Moravian Landmark 9 9 126 119 144 114 122 144 380 0.00
159 Morrisville NAC 8 8 164 179 128 142 139 128 409 0.00
160 Mount St Joseph HCLC North 0 13 238 235 237 238 231 237 706 0.00
161 Mount St Mary (N Skyline 4 9 183 171 167 201 212 166 579 0.00
162 Mount St Vincent Skyline 6 8 193 195 135 188 203 134 525 0.00
163 Mount Union OAC 6 11 169 191 200 176 155 201 532 0.00
164 MSOE NACC 8 8 176 202 129 167 171 129 467 0.00
165 Muskingum OAC 9 8 154 182 122 126 160 122 408 0.00
166 Nazareth Empire 8 12 7 35 43 62 38 44 64 146 0.00
167 Neumann AEC 9 9 159 161 145 174 165 145 484 0.00
168 New England Coll GNAC 4 11 179 174 206 192 190 206 588 0.00
169 New Paltz SUNYAC 5 10 133 103 189 136 113 192 441 0.00
170 Nichols CCC 8 10 101 75 158 123 77 167 367 0.00
171 North Central CCIW 11 4 98 134 42 46 90 34 170 0.00
172 Northland MLC 3 10 218 219 173 197 214 173 584 0.00
173 Northwestern (MN MLC 6 6 191 203 87 146 195 87 428 0.00
174 Norwich GNAC 11 7 149 177 94 143 164 98 405 0.00
175 Oberlin NCAC 10 6 95 94 82 47 67 76 190 0.00
176 Oglethorpe SAA 5 10 194 163 168 175 193 168 536 0.00
177 Ohio Northern OAC 13 6 80 129 75 73 102 77 252 0.00
178 Ohio Wesleyan NCAC 11 5 38 66 49 22 42 42 106 0.00
179 Oneonta SUNYAC 7 8 85 59 123 109 116 130 355 0.00
180 Oswego SUNYAC 10 6 71 69 83 83 112 85 280 0.00
181 Otterbein OAC 8 8 140 153 130 130 145 131 406 0.00
182 Penn College UnitedEast 10 9 160 180 140 170 183 139 492 0.00
183 Pfeiffer USA South 13 6 96 143 70 54 54 65 173 0.00
184 Piedmont USA South 15 3 105 183 25 67 129 29 225 0.00
185 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 4 12 163 98 221 171 146 222 539 0.00
186 Plymouth State LEC 15 5 77 118 37 64 71 37 172 0.00
187 Potsdam SUNYAC 10 6 60 80 72 81 99 72 252 0.00
188 Purchase Skyline 3 12 224 206 224 215 175 225 615 0.00
189 Randolph ODAC 5 11 217 170 193 198 182 184 564 0.00
190 Regis (MA) GNAC 6 7 196 210 111 190 216 110 516 0.00
191 Rhodes SAA 9 7 69 82 88 66 60 88 214 0.00
192 Rivier GNAC 11 7 114 158 95 118 121 99 338 0.00
193 Roger Williams CCC 13 6 66 76 63 82 89 73 244 0.00
194 Rosemont UnitedEast 1 11 229 215 201 232 233 202 667 0.00
195 Sage Empire 8 6 10 151 123 185 159 123 185 467 0.00
196 Salem State LEC 4 11 208 188 207 211 208 207 626 0.00
197 Salve Regina NEWMAC 4 10 79 45 169 152 135 186 473 0.00
198 Scranton Landmark 14 8 50 54 78 40 37 74 151 0.00
199 Sewanee SAA 10 4 84 97 45 31 74 47 152 0.00
200 Shenandoah ODAC 12 7 86 91 84 86 78 78 242 0.00
201 Skidmore Liberty League 9 7 39 24 59 43 46 58 147 0.00
202 Southern Maine LEC 5 12 181 159 218 183 127 218 528 0.00
203 Southern Virgini USA South 8 11 138 120 194 113 61 195 369 0.00
204 Southwestern HCLC South 2 12 132 65 227 151 72 219 442 0.00
205 Spalding HCLC North 2 12 237 233 228 233 219 228 680 0.00
206 Springfield NEWMAC 7 10 44 21 105 92 32 135 259 0.00
207 St Joseph (CT) GNAC 17 4 130 178 22 77 84 25 186 0.00
208 St Josephs (LI) Skyline 1 11 214 175 214 204 169 213 586 0.00
209 St Josephs (ME) GNAC 10 8 136 151 114 116 133 115 364 0.00
210 St Marys (MD) UnitedEast 14 7 53 102 46 57 21 48 126 0.00
211 St Vincent PAC 8 9 127 135 148 107 92 146 345 0.00
212 Stockton CLC 11 8 46 33 64 39 34 62 135 0.00
213 SUNY Poly NAC 10 7 178 204 102 138 156 101 395 0.00
214 Susquehanna Landmark 14 4 67 107 38 70 136 38 244 0.00
215 Thiel PAC 3 11 223 205 209 214 194 208 616 0.00
216 Thomas NAC 2 9 216 227 153 223 225 154 602 0.00
217 Transylvania HCLC North 11 7 100 173 96 94 85 91 270 0.00
218 Trine MIAA 6 10 161 187 186 180 154 187 521 0.00
219 Trinity NESCAC 9 7 27 14 35 55 53 68 176 0.00
220 U of New England CCC 4 13 142 89 232 163 98 233 494 0.00
221 Ursinus Centennial 7 9 43 27 115 71 40 111 222 0.00
222 Utica Empire 8 6 10 157 106 177 156 159 188 503 0.00
223 Vassar Liberty League 9 6 42 30 39 33 50 35 118 0.00
224 Virginia Wesleya ODAC 6 11 175 126 195 157 115 196 468 0.00
225 Wabash NCAC 8 8 165 168 131 122 140 116 378 0.00
226 Warren Wilson D3 Independent 0 10 240 239 164 240 240 164 644 0.00
227 Washington & Jef PAC 3 11 212 200 210 216 202 209 627 0.00
228 Washington Colle Centennial 6 11 49 18 165 91 45 149 285 0.00
229 Wentworth CCC 13 6 81 84 47 61 174 50 285 0.00
230 Western Connecti LEC 13 5 64 96 54 63 108 59 230 0.00
231 Western New Engl CCC 11 7 37 42 55 48 24 79 151 0.00
232 Westminster (PA) PAC 10 8 150 165 116 132 150 107 389 0.00
233 Wheaton NEWMAC 9 8 91 78 109 134 143 123 400 0.00
234 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 4 12 107 55 215 161 111 214 486 0.00
235 Wilkes Landmark 4 12 177 133 222 193 166 223 582 0.00
236 William Peace USA South 3 11 211 218 211 221 207 211 639 0.00
237 Wilmington (OH) OAC 4 13 233 228 234 227 199 234 660 0.00
238 Wittenberg NCAC 8 5 94 111 76 69 110 69 248 0.00
239 Wooster NCAC 11 7 75 87 97 53 68 86 207 0.00
240 York MAC-Commonwlth 10 8 22 25 56 36 5 40 81 0.00
241 Alfred State zz - Archived 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00