List of Probabilities for Virginia
Virginia Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Annes-Belfiel 18 1 1 13 1 15 31.00
2 Yorktown 14 1 8 15 4 27 21.00
3 Potomac School 13 7 10 59 18 87 11.00
4 St Stephens & St 16 7 3 156 12 171 11.00
5 Bishop Ireton 11 6 7 7 17 31 7.00
6 Western Albemarl 13 0 5 19 2 26 7.00
7 Collegiate Schoo 18 5 4 24 5 33 3.00
8 Langley 13 2 17 9 6 32 2.00
9 Episcopal 5 14 72 8 66 146 0.00
10 Paul VI 10 10 34 2 53 89 0.00
11 James Madison 7 7 12 4 42 58 0.00
12 Norfolk Academy 12 5 27 67 44 138 0.00
13 Robinson 13 3 11 36 10 57 0.00
14 St Catherines 8 8 21 1 39 61 0.00
15 West Potomac 11 4 18 20 23 61 0.00
16 Bishop OConnell 11 8 95 128 80 303 0.00
17 Flint Hill Schoo 11 10 83 114 72 269 0.00
18 Madeira School 2 8 155 155 46 356 0.00
19 Albemarle 6 7 56 14 73 143 0.00
20 Alexandria City 9 7 82 56 77 215 0.00
21 Annandale 2 10 129 143 136 408 0.00
22 Atlee 4 7 54 28 94 176 0.00
23 Battlefield 11 5 15 3 34 52 0.00
24 Bayside 8 2 55 132 35 222 0.00
25 Blacksburg 10 3 41 52 47 140 0.00
26 Brentsville Dist 4 6 84 98 84 266 0.00
27 Briar Woods 4 10 116 57 132 305 0.00
28 Broad Run 1 10 135 93 141 369 0.00
29 Brooke Point 2 11 132 103 149 384 0.00
30 Cape Henry Colle 12 2 23 65 19 107 0.00
31 Catholic HS 8 7 50 10 81 141 0.00
32 Cave Spring 9 3 59 89 50 198 0.00
33 Centreville 3 11 80 32 116 228 0.00
34 Chantilly 6 8 68 46 110 224 0.00
35 Charlottesville 3 9 138 131 134 403 0.00
36 Chatham Hall 0 8 81 60 100 241 0.00
37 Christiansburg 0 10 141 112 145 398 0.00
38 Clover Hill 4 7 113 105 105 323 0.00
39 Colgan 12 3 40 31 41 112 0.00
40 Colonial Forge 13 4 43 21 54 118 0.00
41 Cosby 10 2 47 83 14 144 0.00
42 Covenant School 15 2 16 6 7 29 0.00
43 Cox 5 5 89 122 78 289 0.00
44 Culpeper County 5 6 101 100 82 283 0.00
45 Deep Run 4 8 52 12 85 149 0.00
46 Dominion 9 4 60 68 43 171 0.00
47 Douglas Freeman 10 1 6 51 13 70 0.00
48 Eastern View 5 8 109 96 111 316 0.00
49 EC Glass 7 6 58 34 89 181 0.00
50 Edison 5 6 105 118 93 316 0.00
51 Fairfax 6 9 114 76 119 309 0.00
52 Falls Church 7 8 92 63 117 272 0.00
53 Fauquier 5 7 71 64 96 231 0.00
54 First Colonial 6 4 74 115 67 256 0.00
55 Fluvanna County 5 8 126 120 112 358 0.00
56 Forest Park 11 2 46 126 24 196 0.00
57 Foxcroft School 3 10 154 153 135 442 0.00
58 Franklin County 2 12 139 82 156 377 0.00
59 Fredericksburg A 3 7 123 136 113 372 0.00
60 Freedom South Ri 5 9 76 80 106 262 0.00
61 Gainesville 5 6 79 75 86 240 0.00
62 Gar-Field 2 12 140 145 157 442 0.00
63 Glen Allen 5 9 78 30 107 215 0.00
64 Goochland 1 9 153 147 130 430 0.00
65 Grafton Club 0 8 152 150 131 433 0.00
66 Grassfield Club 8 2 33 66 36 135 0.00
67 Great Bridge Clu 3 6 125 125 101 351 0.00
68 Green Run 0 7 133 41 123 297 0.00
69 Hanover 9 2 26 81 21 128 0.00
70 Hayfield 3 8 127 124 126 377 0.00
71 Heritage 3 11 121 58 146 325 0.00
72 Herndon 5 8 85 47 102 234 0.00
73 Hidden Valley 5 7 67 38 108 213 0.00
74 Highland School 8 8 88 123 71 282 0.00
75 Hylton 3 12 131 86 153 370 0.00
76 Independence 9 5 22 11 51 84 0.00
77 James Monroe 11 2 57 101 15 173 0.00
78 James River 4 6 98 99 90 287 0.00
79 Jamestown Club 4 3 39 95 63 197 0.00
80 Jefferson Forest 4 8 94 55 125 274 0.00
81 John Champe 5 7 107 94 97 298 0.00
82 John Handley 2 2 93 69 60 222 0.00
83 John R Lewis 2 10 145 135 142 422 0.00
84 Justice 11 1 62 142 8 212 0.00
85 Kellam 8 3 63 108 55 226 0.00
86 Kempsville 4 6 124 146 98 368 0.00
87 Kettle Run 9 3 28 54 32 114 0.00
88 Lake Braddock 8 6 51 35 74 160 0.00
89 Landstown 2 10 118 62 143 323 0.00
90 Liberty-Bealeton 4 4 100 130 64 294 0.00
91 Lightridge 10 4 24 16 27 67 0.00
92 Loudoun County 6 6 87 88 91 266 0.00
93 Loudoun Valley 9 5 70 72 70 212 0.00
94 Manchester 0 12 148 109 154 411 0.00
95 Marshall 2 12 119 53 150 322 0.00
96 Massaponax 3 11 111 39 148 298 0.00
97 Maury Club 4 6 106 121 99 326 0.00
98 McLean 7 6 65 44 61 170 0.00
99 Mechanicsville 5 6 97 113 87 297 0.00
100 Menchville Club 2 7 143 140 118 401 0.00
101 Meridian 13 1 2 5 3 10 0.00
102 Midlothian 6 4 49 77 57 183 0.00
103 Mills Godwin 9 4 36 50 37 123 0.00
104 Monacan 5 7 117 133 103 353 0.00
105 Monticello 7 5 90 107 68 265 0.00
106 Mountain View 13 3 29 17 38 84 0.00
107 Mt Vernon 2 10 144 138 144 426 0.00
108 Nansemond-Suffol 7 8 69 92 114 275 0.00
109 Norfolk Collegia 3 11 91 25 147 263 0.00
110 North Cross Scho 3 7 102 119 109 330 0.00
111 North Stafford 3 12 122 43 155 320 0.00
112 Oakcrest School 4 9 149 152 120 421 0.00
113 Oakton 10 6 31 23 45 99 0.00
114 Ocean Lakes 10 3 35 102 28 165 0.00
115 Orange County 1 12 150 111 152 413 0.00
116 Osbourn 6 7 134 149 104 387 0.00
117 Osbourn Park 0 15 146 110 159 415 0.00
118 Park View 3 8 147 151 127 425 0.00
119 Patrick Henry As 3 8 103 104 121 328 0.00
120 Patrick Henry Ro 10 1 25 84 16 125 0.00
121 Patriot 10 5 42 29 58 129 0.00
122 Potomac Falls 10 4 66 71 48 185 0.00
123 Potomac HS 6 10 115 61 138 314 0.00
124 Powhatan 10 1 14 49 9 72 0.00
125 Princess Anne 6 4 108 148 69 325 0.00
126 Riverbend 7 6 75 73 92 240 0.00
127 Riverside 10 4 9 37 20 66 0.00
128 Rock Ridge 0 13 156 116 158 430 0.00
129 Rockbridge Count 10 1 20 70 11 101 0.00
130 Salem 6 7 53 22 95 170 0.00
131 Salem Virginia B 1 7 136 144 122 402 0.00
132 South County 2 10 120 87 137 344 0.00
133 South Lakes 12 4 44 33 33 110 0.00
134 St Gertrude 1 9 96 40 124 260 0.00
135 St John Paul The 7 5 77 117 65 259 0.00
136 Stafford 8 6 64 48 88 200 0.00
137 Steward School 3 10 137 127 139 403 0.00
138 Stone Bridge 10 3 30 42 22 94 0.00
139 Tabb Club 4 5 99 134 83 316 0.00
140 Tallwood 1 8 142 137 129 408 0.00
141 Thomas Dale 4 7 151 154 115 420 0.00
142 Thomas Jefferson 10 3 86 141 49 276 0.00
143 Trinity Christia 7 5 104 139 75 318 0.00
144 Trinity Episcopa 10 5 13 26 29 68 0.00
145 Tuscarora 4 9 110 97 128 335 0.00
146 Virginia Episcop 13 3 37 78 25 140 0.00
147 Wakefield HS 0 13 130 91 151 372 0.00
148 Warhill Club 7 3 45 85 59 189 0.00
149 Washington-Liber 3 11 128 129 140 397 0.00
150 West Springfield 9 8 61 106 79 246 0.00
151 Westfield 10 5 32 18 62 112 0.00
152 William Byrd 4 9 112 74 133 319 0.00
153 Woodbridge 8 5 73 79 76 228 0.00
154 Woodgrove 8 4 48 45 56 149 0.00
155 Woodson 10 5 19 27 52 98 0.00
156 York Club 8 2 38 90 40 168 0.00
157 Freedom Woodbrid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
158 Unity Reed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
159 William Fleming 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00