List of Probabilities for Massachusetts
Massachusetts Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Notre Dame Hingh 14 1 1 1 1 3 29.00
2 Central Catholic 13 1 4 16 5 25 17.00
3 East Longmeadow 13 2 2 3 3 8 8.00
4 Medfield 12 2 15 24 9 48 5.00
5 Wellesley 10 3 19 19 17 55 5.00
6 Hingham 11 2 3 2 4 9 4.00
7 Andover HS 5 8 43 13 81 137 3.00
8 Longmeadow 8 4 7 4 21 32 3.00
9 Westwood 12 3 25 20 13 58 3.00
10 Concord-Carlisle 10 4 21 53 32 106 2.00
11 Natick 10 4 33 15 45 93 2.00
12 Norwell 8 5 44 18 50 112 2.00
13 Reading Memorial 14 1 12 87 2 101 2.00
14 Acton-Boxborough 9 3 23 37 38 98 0.00
15 Burlington 9 5 40 41 70 151 0.00
16 Chelmsford 7 6 13 10 56 79 0.00
17 Cohasset 8 4 18 65 20 103 0.00
18 Duxbury 11 3 9 6 8 23 0.00
19 Foxborough 10 3 54 68 43 165 0.00
20 Ipswich 9 1 5 31 16 52 0.00
21 King Philip Regi 10 4 55 44 44 143 0.00
22 Lincoln-Sudbury 7 2 14 79 14 107 0.00
23 Manchester-Essex 8 2 31 90 23 144 0.00
24 Nantucket 13 0 8 40 6 54 0.00
25 North Andover 12 4 10 12 24 46 0.00
26 Walpole 12 3 6 30 7 43 0.00
27 Westford Academy 8 4 39 45 60 144 0.00
28 Weymouth 9 5 30 8 40 78 0.00
29 Abington 4 8 189 209 162 560 0.00
30 Agawam 3 9 144 125 143 412 0.00
31 Algonquin 9 4 59 67 61 187 0.00
32 Amherst-Pelham 11 2 42 83 27 152 0.00
33 AMSA Charter 9 2 80 163 30 273 0.00
34 Apponequet 10 1 17 71 15 103 0.00
35 Archbishop Willi 5 9 117 82 183 382 0.00
36 Arlington Cathol 6 7 129 159 134 422 0.00
37 Arlington HS 6 7 133 128 135 396 0.00
38 Ashland 10 4 65 51 31 147 0.00
39 Assabet Valley R 0 11 206 182 208 596 0.00
40 Attleboro 6 5 99 121 99 319 0.00
41 Auburn 4 10 154 74 196 424 0.00
42 Barnstable 5 6 85 56 82 223 0.00
43 Bay Path RVT 3 8 208 216 169 593 0.00
44 Bedford HS 9 5 52 43 72 167 0.00
45 Belchertown 7 5 93 88 91 272 0.00
46 Bellingham 2 13 193 114 214 521 0.00
47 Belmont 8 5 79 69 73 221 0.00
48 Beverly 11 3 22 38 39 99 0.00
49 Billerica Memori 4 10 72 23 150 245 0.00
50 Bishop Feehan 9 4 49 78 52 179 0.00
51 Bishop Fenwick 8 4 61 86 68 215 0.00
52 Bishop Stang 6 7 136 132 136 404 0.00
53 Blackstone Valle 4 6 171 194 124 489 0.00
54 Boston Latin Aca 2 4 204 205 92 501 0.00
55 Boston Latin Sch 5 7 82 32 119 233 0.00
56 Bourne 2 10 200 179 200 579 0.00
57 Braintree 8 5 83 73 69 225 0.00
58 Bridgewater-Rayn 3 10 153 107 193 453 0.00
59 Bristol County A 0 9 210 196 197 603 0.00
60 Bristol-Plymouth 3 8 192 184 170 546 0.00
61 Bromfield 1 10 167 157 202 526 0.00
62 Brookline 3 10 98 17 175 290 0.00
63 Cambridge Ridge/ 5 8 131 112 163 406 0.00
64 Canton 7 5 106 134 93 333 0.00
65 Cape Cod Academy 8 3 11 26 41 78 0.00
66 Cardinal Spellma 6 5 145 191 100 436 0.00
67 Chicopee Comp 4 8 121 77 165 363 0.00
68 Chicopee HS 7 4 140 185 74 399 0.00
69 Danvers 4 9 135 130 180 445 0.00
70 Dartmouth 7 4 77 136 75 288 0.00
71 Dedham 8 6 112 100 94 306 0.00
72 Dennis-Yarmouth 4 6 150 161 115 426 0.00
73 Dighton-Rehoboth 5 4 110 165 83 358 0.00
74 Doherty Memorial 5 7 164 154 144 462 0.00
75 Dover-Sherborn 7 6 75 50 101 226 0.00
76 Dracut 3 6 161 158 127 446 0.00
77 East Bridgewater 1 12 203 148 212 563 0.00
78 Essex North Shor 3 7 163 177 146 486 0.00
79 Everett 2 9 211 210 189 610 0.00
80 Fairhaven 7 7 125 85 129 339 0.00
81 Falmouth Academy 2 5 183 199 116 498 0.00
82 Falmouth HS 7 7 32 5 78 115 0.00
83 Fitchburg 0 11 214 192 209 615 0.00
84 Fontbonne Academ 2 7 180 178 157 515 0.00
85 Framingham 0 11 197 137 207 541 0.00
86 Franklin 8 7 50 27 86 163 0.00
87 Georgetown 4 7 91 46 130 267 0.00
88 Gloucester 1 8 205 202 181 588 0.00
89 Grafton 10 4 38 35 33 106 0.00
90 Granby 5 5 127 152 105 384 0.00
91 Greater Lowell T 10 2 113 188 28 329 0.00
92 Greater New Bedf 6 5 126 166 102 394 0.00
93 Groton-Dunstable 8 5 81 98 84 263 0.00
94 Hamilton-Wenham 6 4 45 62 66 173 0.00
95 Hampshire Region 10 4 86 140 62 288 0.00
96 Hanover 9 3 28 49 34 111 0.00
97 Haverhill 6 3 68 138 53 259 0.00
98 Holliston 4 8 116 61 137 314 0.00
99 Hoosac Valley 8 3 69 126 54 249 0.00
100 Hopedale 3 7 169 175 147 491 0.00
101 Hopkinton 4 9 134 57 171 362 0.00
102 Hudson/Clinton 2 7 168 153 158 479 0.00
103 Hull 5 7 142 151 131 424 0.00
104 Lee/Lenox/Monume 6 6 122 109 120 351 0.00
105 Leominster 7 5 51 28 79 158 0.00
106 Lexington HS 9 5 57 21 57 135 0.00
107 Littleton 9 2 101 189 35 325 0.00
108 Lowell 3 8 170 187 172 529 0.00
109 Lowell Catholic 4 7 182 204 148 534 0.00
110 Lunenburg 9 3 70 118 49 237 0.00
111 Lynnfield 7 7 128 108 125 361 0.00
112 Malden 7 6 175 195 117 487 0.00
113 Malden Catholic 6 7 130 102 138 370 0.00
114 Mansfield 8 4 76 115 76 267 0.00
115 Marblehead 4 9 103 25 173 301 0.00
116 Marlborough 4 8 186 171 166 523 0.00
117 Marshfield 9 4 36 29 42 107 0.00
118 Marthas Vineyard 5 6 109 147 110 366 0.00
119 Masconomet 6 8 74 80 149 303 0.00
120 Mashpee 4 5 149 183 95 427 0.00
121 McCann Tech 0 10 201 168 204 573 0.00
122 Medford 5 6 190 208 122 520 0.00
123 Medway 3 9 166 110 176 452 0.00
124 Melrose 6 3 62 91 58 211 0.00
125 Methuen 8 6 120 133 111 364 0.00
126 Middleboro 3 7 172 143 151 466 0.00
127 Milford 2 8 165 135 177 477 0.00
128 Milton HS 3 8 143 84 152 379 0.00
129 Minnechaug Regio 7 8 64 14 107 185 0.00
130 Monomoy 7 6 100 124 108 332 0.00
131 Monson 3 7 195 203 153 551 0.00
132 Montachusett RVT 3 7 181 186 154 521 0.00
133 Mount Greylock R 6 6 97 156 63 316 0.00
134 Mystic Valley Ch 1 9 187 174 194 555 0.00
135 Nashoba Regional 6 6 108 113 121 342 0.00
136 Nashoba Valley T 8 3 132 197 55 384 0.00
137 Nauset Regional 7 6 26 9 71 106 0.00
138 Needham 6 5 48 33 77 158 0.00
139 New Bedford 6 8 123 64 159 346 0.00
140 Newburyport 9 1 16 120 11 147 0.00
141 Newton North 5 10 148 39 184 371 0.00
142 Newton South 1 11 152 48 206 406 0.00
143 Nipmuc Regional 8 5 56 42 89 187 0.00
144 North Attleborou 6 7 151 139 139 429 0.00
145 North Middlesex 6 9 95 54 182 331 0.00
146 North Quincy 5 10 157 93 178 428 0.00
147 North Reading 4 8 141 92 155 388 0.00
148 Northampton 7 3 58 142 46 246 0.00
149 Northbridge 10 6 89 101 103 293 0.00
150 Northeast RVT 3 10 196 160 199 555 0.00
151 Norton 2 11 179 103 203 485 0.00
152 Norwood 8 4 118 170 64 352 0.00
153 Notre Dame Worce 8 6 94 76 109 279 0.00
154 Oakmont Regional 4 8 160 129 167 456 0.00
155 Old Colony RVT 3 7 158 149 156 463 0.00
156 Old Rochester Re 9 4 34 34 67 135 0.00
157 Oliver Ames 8 6 105 94 112 311 0.00
158 Peabody Veterans 10 2 27 145 25 197 0.00
159 Pembroke 6 8 124 66 145 335 0.00
160 Pentucket Region 8 6 53 97 87 237 0.00
161 Pittsfield/Tacon 2 10 173 176 190 539 0.00
162 Plymouth North 6 9 67 7 140 214 0.00
163 Plymouth South 2 8 176 169 164 509 0.00
164 Pope Francis 6 4 46 63 80 189 0.00
165 Quincy 5 8 102 60 132 294 0.00
166 Revere 0 11 216 215 210 641 0.00
167 Rockland 1 10 213 207 201 621 0.00
168 Salem 3 9 199 211 188 598 0.00
169 Sandwich 10 0 24 141 12 177 0.00
170 Saugus 8 6 177 206 113 496 0.00
171 Scituate 7 5 35 22 59 116 0.00
172 Seekonk 2 9 212 214 191 617 0.00
173 Sharon 2 9 185 180 192 557 0.00
174 Shawsheen Valley 9 2 88 200 36 324 0.00
175 Shepherd Hill 6 8 162 117 161 440 0.00
176 Shrewsbury 2 12 137 36 213 386 0.00
177 Silver Lake 5 7 114 96 141 351 0.00
178 Somerset Berkley 1 7 215 213 142 570 0.00
179 Somerville 9 5 156 173 88 417 0.00
180 South Hadley 4 8 155 95 168 418 0.00
181 South Shore RVT 12 0 90 198 10 298 0.00
182 Southeastern RVT 2 7 207 212 160 579 0.00
183 Springfield Cent 2 5 147 167 118 432 0.00
184 St Bernards 5 6 104 119 123 346 0.00
185 St John Paul II 10 4 60 55 47 162 0.00
186 St Marys Lynn 7 5 84 162 96 342 0.00
187 Stoneham 1 9 184 155 185 524 0.00
188 Stoughton 4 10 178 131 198 507 0.00
189 Sturgis Charter 2 8 202 201 179 582 0.00
190 Sturgis Charter 2 4 188 190 97 475 0.00
191 Swampscott 9 2 78 172 37 287 0.00
192 Tahanto Regional 10 4 63 81 65 209 0.00
193 Tantasqua 9 5 71 99 85 255 0.00
194 Taunton 0 11 198 164 211 573 0.00
195 Tewksbury Memori 8 6 139 116 114 369 0.00
196 Tri-County RVT 4 6 115 127 126 368 0.00
197 Triton Regional 0 9 191 146 195 532 0.00
198 Tyngsborough 5 9 119 52 186 357 0.00
199 Upper Cape Cod R 11 3 87 111 29 227 0.00
200 Ursuline Academy 9 2 73 181 18 272 0.00
201 Wachusett 8 3 37 58 48 143 0.00
202 Wahconah Regiona 0 12 194 150 215 559 0.00
203 Wakefield Memori 4 9 146 72 174 392 0.00
204 Waltham 5 7 138 123 128 389 0.00
205 Watertown 7 6 96 89 104 289 0.00
206 Wayland 7 7 47 11 106 164 0.00
207 West Springfield 9 3 29 47 26 102 0.00
208 Westborough 13 2 41 59 22 122 0.00
209 Westfield 6 5 66 105 51 222 0.00
210 Weston 10 2 20 70 19 109 0.00
211 Whitman-Hanson R 7 5 92 144 98 334 0.00
212 Whittier RVT 0 10 209 193 205 607 0.00
213 Wilmington 1 13 174 104 216 494 0.00
214 Winchester 6 7 107 75 133 315 0.00
215 Winthrop 4 9 159 106 187 452 0.00
216 Woburn Memorial 8 5 111 122 90 323 0.00