List of Probabilities for Maryland
Maryland Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 McDonogh School 17 1 7 90 3 100 19.00
2 Good Counsel 20 0 6 33 6 45 11.00
3 St Pauls SG 15 5 25 81 47 153 9.00
4 Archbishop Spald 12 5 21 63 22 106 8.00
5 Stone Ridge Scho 15 4 10 24 19 53 8.00
6 Maryvale Prep 16 3 22 87 23 132 7.00
7 Manchester Valle 15 0 1 7 2 10 6.00
8 Georgetown Visit 13 5 4 4 16 24 5.00
9 Garrison Forest 6 9 95 70 178 343 4.00
10 John Carroll 8 8 61 64 132 257 4.00
11 St Johns College 13 6 35 48 24 107 4.00
12 Severna Park 14 2 2 1 1 4 4.00
13 Bryn Mawr SG 7 11 73 56 170 299 2.00
14 Glenelg HS 14 1 9 28 4 41 2.00
15 Sherwood 12 0 12 46 5 63 2.00
16 South River 8 5 8 12 20 40 2.00
17 Notre Dame Prep 9 9 72 147 148 367 0.00
18 Broadneck 11 5 3 2 15 20 0.00
19 Liberty 9 5 19 45 25 89 0.00
20 Annapolis Area C 9 2 60 130 29 219 0.00
21 Anne Arundel Cou 3 4 144 168 94 406 0.00
22 Beth TFiloh 5 3 110 167 62 339 0.00
23 Bishop McNamara 4 9 115 114 78 307 0.00
24 Brookewood SG 4 5 135 155 95 385 0.00
25 Bullis School 4 14 80 31 130 241 0.00
26 Calverton School 1 5 201 190 131 522 0.00
27 Catholic High Ba 6 7 104 69 147 320 0.00
28 Chapelgate Chris 1 10 203 171 204 578 0.00
29 Concordia Prep 4 8 132 112 174 418 0.00
30 Elizabeth Seton 7 10 79 34 111 224 0.00
31 FCA 12 5 51 75 83 209 0.00
32 Field School 0 6 194 177 138 509 0.00
33 Friends School 3 8 129 149 175 453 0.00
34 Georgetown Day S 7 8 149 179 139 467 0.00
35 Gerstell Academy 13 4 49 91 57 197 0.00
36 Glenelg Country 7 9 92 85 165 342 0.00
37 Gunston Day Scho 4 7 143 106 158 407 0.00
38 Holton-Arms Scho 8 10 47 107 49 203 0.00
39 Holy Child 6 13 81 166 89 336 0.00
40 Holy Cross 6 10 68 40 96 204 0.00
41 Indian Creek 5 9 106 52 186 344 0.00
42 Jackson-Reed 5 9 189 203 141 533 0.00
43 Jemicy 5 3 133 183 67 383 0.00
44 Key School 2 7 169 164 167 500 0.00
45 Maret School 12 3 53 191 21 265 0.00
46 Mercy 4 11 116 29 205 350 0.00
47 Mount de Sales 5 14 117 25 216 358 0.00
48 National Cathedr 8 11 120 150 154 424 0.00
49 Park School 6 10 91 67 184 342 0.00
50 Rockbridge Acade 6 5 162 193 104 459 0.00
51 Roland Park Coun 6 10 83 54 176 313 0.00
52 Salisbury School 8 5 88 184 74 346 0.00
53 Sandy Spring Fri 0 2 210 207 68 485 0.00
54 School Without W 0 2 211 208 69 488 0.00
55 Severn School 6 11 93 66 189 348 0.00
56 Sidwell Friends 10 5 89 153 63 305 0.00
57 St Andrews Episc 3 7 153 158 151 462 0.00
58 St James School 6 6 188 178 79 445 0.00
59 St Johns Catholi 13 5 54 95 80 229 0.00
60 St Marys 10 8 52 88 149 289 0.00
61 St Marys Ryken 3 10 107 73 155 335 0.00
62 St Timothys 10 0 26 142 12 180 0.00
63 St Vincent Pallo 3 9 150 96 187 433 0.00
64 Sts Peter & Paul 14 1 17 41 14 72 0.00
65 Tome School 0 6 182 200 159 541 0.00
66 Washington Latin 0 1 198 209 53 460 0.00
67 Worcester Prep 2 9 178 97 179 454 0.00
68 Aberdeen 6 6 130 143 133 406 0.00
69 Academy for Coll 4 6 184 197 142 523 0.00
70 Annapolis 7 3 78 140 51 269 0.00
71 Arundel 7 5 59 44 60 163 0.00
72 Atholton 4 9 156 109 190 455 0.00
73 Baltimore Polyte 5 3 137 186 70 393 0.00
74 Bel Air 11 4 16 21 56 93 0.00
75 Bethesda-Chevy C 8 6 58 15 90 163 0.00
76 Bladensburg 2 9 174 141 196 511 0.00
77 Blair 5 7 64 35 122 221 0.00
78 Blake 1 12 131 13 211 355 0.00
79 Bohemia Manor 3 9 193 204 195 592 0.00
80 Boonsboro 7 5 145 174 97 416 0.00
81 Bowie 7 4 85 125 84 294 0.00
82 Brunswick 0 11 206 188 214 608 0.00
83 Calvert 9 6 84 47 112 243 0.00
84 Cambridge SD 3 8 154 124 180 458 0.00
85 Carver A&T 7 6 99 100 123 322 0.00
86 Catoctin 5 6 160 185 140 485 0.00
87 Catonsville 7 6 37 22 85 144 0.00
88 Centennial 5 9 103 27 160 290 0.00
89 Central PG 0 1 205 189 54 448 0.00
90 Century 14 1 5 19 7 31 0.00
91 CH Flowers 7 5 112 110 98 320 0.00
92 Chesapeake AA 10 2 38 156 13 207 0.00
93 Chesapeake BC 6 2 155 206 52 413 0.00
94 Chopticon 7 6 109 84 124 317 0.00
95 City College 6 4 126 175 87 388 0.00
96 Clarksburg 10 3 75 113 50 238 0.00
97 CM Wright 8 5 33 37 88 158 0.00
98 CMIT North 9 2 50 111 43 204 0.00
99 Crofton 8 6 42 32 75 149 0.00
100 Damascus 10 3 13 5 36 54 0.00
101 Dr Henry Wise 4 6 134 133 143 410 0.00
102 Dulaney 9 6 29 10 81 120 0.00
103 Dundalk 6 6 161 173 134 468 0.00
104 DuVal 4 7 142 119 166 427 0.00
105 Eastern Technica 8 4 41 58 71 170 0.00
106 Easton 6 5 76 65 99 240 0.00
107 Edgewood 3 10 186 199 200 585 0.00
108 Einstein 5 6 139 169 135 443 0.00
109 Eleanor Roosevel 10 0 34 148 10 192 0.00
110 Elkton 3 9 177 194 181 552 0.00
111 Fairmont Heights 1 8 175 157 185 517 0.00
112 Fallston 9 6 24 11 58 93 0.00
113 Francis Scott Ke 5 7 97 51 117 265 0.00
114 Franklin 6 7 108 78 156 342 0.00
115 Frederick 8 7 118 72 150 340 0.00
116 Frederick Dougla 0 7 173 129 172 474 0.00
117 Gaithersburg 0 13 195 115 220 530 0.00
118 Glen Burnie 4 9 172 139 191 502 0.00
119 Gov Thomas Johns 2 5 140 182 125 447 0.00
120 Great Mills 3 11 163 62 212 437 0.00
121 Gwynn Park 5 5 74 116 109 299 0.00
122 Hammond 2 11 183 108 201 492 0.00
123 Harford Tech 6 8 90 53 168 311 0.00
124 Havre De Grace 6 6 82 71 126 279 0.00
125 Hereford 9 2 15 55 44 114 0.00
126 Howard 7 6 44 26 64 134 0.00
127 Huntingtown 12 1 32 59 11 102 0.00
128 JM Bennett 6 7 113 61 152 326 0.00
129 Kennedy 2 10 180 136 199 515 0.00
130 Kent County 3 10 164 98 202 464 0.00
131 Kent Island 5 10 94 160 169 423 0.00
132 Kenwood 7 5 157 181 100 438 0.00
133 La Plata 9 4 46 43 65 154 0.00
134 Lackey 5 8 146 94 173 413 0.00
135 Lansdowne 2 10 197 165 206 568 0.00
136 Laurel 10 2 69 120 38 227 0.00
137 Leonardtown 9 6 63 122 113 298 0.00
138 Linganore 10 4 31 17 48 96 0.00
139 Loch Raven 7 5 101 99 101 301 0.00
140 Long Reach 8 4 121 162 76 359 0.00
141 Magruder 7 6 138 127 127 392 0.00
142 Marriotts Ridge 11 3 14 30 8 52 0.00
143 Meade 0 11 204 172 215 591 0.00
144 Middletown 9 6 71 23 82 176 0.00
145 MJ McDonough 6 6 105 79 136 320 0.00
146 Mount Hebron 10 5 18 3 17 38 0.00
147 New Town 0 6 209 205 161 575 0.00
148 North Caroline 9 4 43 145 55 243 0.00
149 North County 4 6 122 123 105 350 0.00
150 North East Cecil 5 7 168 192 162 522 0.00
151 North Hagerstown 3 10 187 163 203 553 0.00
152 North Harford 6 7 70 49 144 263 0.00
153 North Point 4 9 147 77 192 416 0.00
154 Northeast 4 7 151 138 163 452 0.00
155 Northern Calvert 10 2 36 76 26 138 0.00
156 Northwest 8 5 98 93 91 282 0.00
157 Northwestern PG 2 6 158 170 153 481 0.00
158 Northwood 7 6 136 144 118 398 0.00
159 Oakdale 8 5 45 38 86 169 0.00
160 Oakland Mills 3 10 171 131 193 495 0.00
161 Old Mill 5 5 119 151 110 380 0.00
162 Overlea 4 6 185 198 145 528 0.00
163 Owings Mills 0 10 207 195 210 612 0.00
164 Oxon Hill 6 6 114 132 114 360 0.00
165 Paint Branch 4 9 167 128 188 483 0.00
166 Parkdale 7 6 125 102 128 355 0.00
167 Parkside 5 8 123 104 157 384 0.00
168 Parkville 7 5 124 137 102 363 0.00
169 Patapsco 4 8 166 152 177 495 0.00
170 Patterson Mill 10 4 48 80 66 194 0.00
171 Patuxent 7 6 102 74 129 305 0.00
172 Perry Hall 6 6 65 50 115 230 0.00
173 Perryville 7 6 87 86 119 292 0.00
174 Pikesville 2 8 152 117 171 440 0.00
175 Poolesville 7 7 111 57 116 284 0.00
176 Queen Annes Coun 12 2 27 135 18 180 0.00
177 Quince Orchard 9 5 39 9 61 109 0.00
178 Reservoir 9 6 77 36 77 190 0.00
179 Richard Montgome 7 6 100 89 120 309 0.00
180 Rising Sun 6 5 128 187 106 421 0.00
181 River Hill 10 6 62 134 59 255 0.00
182 Rockville 2 11 159 60 207 426 0.00
183 Seneca Valley 4 9 181 159 194 534 0.00
184 Smithsburg 2 10 200 201 208 609 0.00
185 South Carroll 9 6 40 16 72 128 0.00
186 Southern 5 7 86 105 103 294 0.00
187 Sparrows Point 8 4 57 83 73 213 0.00
188 Springbrook 10 3 56 101 45 202 0.00
189 St Charles 1 11 199 161 213 573 0.00
190 Stephen Decatur 11 2 28 68 27 123 0.00
191 Suitland 0 9 191 176 197 564 0.00
192 Towson 7 8 30 8 107 145 0.00
193 Tuscarora 6 5 127 180 108 415 0.00
194 Urbana 8 6 23 42 92 157 0.00
195 Walkersville 2 10 176 126 209 511 0.00
196 Walter Johnson 10 3 20 20 28 68 0.00
197 Watkins Mill 0 12 202 154 217 573 0.00
198 Western Baltimor 0 3 208 196 93 497 0.00
199 Western STES 6 6 141 146 137 424 0.00
200 Westlake 0 12 190 103 219 512 0.00
201 Westminster 4 10 55 6 146 207 0.00
202 Wheaton 5 9 165 118 182 465 0.00
203 Whitman 12 1 11 14 9 34 0.00
204 Wicomico 0 9 179 121 198 498 0.00
205 Wilde Lake 2 12 170 82 218 470 0.00
206 Winston Churchil 5 8 67 18 164 249 0.00
207 Winters Mill 6 8 96 39 121 256 0.00
208 Woodlawn 2 8 196 202 183 581 0.00
209 Wootton 10 3 66 92 46 204 0.00
210 Cristo Rey Jesui 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
211 DC International 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
212 EL Haynes Charte 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
213 KIPP College Pre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
214 Oldfields School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
215 St Maria Goretti 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
216 Joppatowne 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
217 Milford Mill 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
218 Randallstown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
219 South Hagerstown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
220 Thomas Stone 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00