List of Probabilities for California
California Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Sacred Heart Pre 17 2 5 116 5 126 22.00
2 St Ignatius Prep 15 5 12 40 6 58 22.00
3 San Ramon Valley 20 1 2 59 1 62 19.00
4 Oak Ridge 20 2 3 1 2 6 14.00
5 Marin Catholic 17 5 15 8 14 37 4.00
6 Marlborough 17 1 1 16 3 20 4.00
7 St Francis Sacra 11 4 20 63 62 145 2.00
8 Tamalpais 10 9 35 4 92 131 2.00
9 Coronado 14 3 17 149 16 182 2.00
10 Torrey Pines 15 4 6 5 10 21 2.00
11 Redondo Union 16 5 7 3 8 18 2.00
12 California San R 11 5 43 34 56 133 0.00
13 Carondelet 14 9 28 54 29 111 0.00
14 Menlo School 13 5 23 13 21 57 0.00
15 Foothill Santa A 17 2 4 115 4 123 0.00
16 St Margarets 13 7 14 24 72 110 0.00
17 Acalanes 13 8 57 75 144 276 0.00
18 Alhambra 4 7 264 279 169 712 0.00
19 Amador Valley 13 6 60 33 68 161 0.00
20 Archie Williams 9 9 143 102 170 415 0.00
21 Athenian 2 6 280 282 156 718 0.00
22 Bay School 7 8 218 244 178 640 0.00
23 Bella Vista 11 5 128 220 86 434 0.00
24 Bentley 4 3 237 280 80 597 0.00
25 Berkeley 8 10 156 106 211 473 0.00
26 Bishop ODowd 5 11 173 122 242 537 0.00
27 Branson School 13 5 79 68 64 211 0.00
28 Campolindo 13 7 49 73 97 219 0.00
29 Cardinal Newman 4 8 199 221 198 618 0.00
30 Casa Grande 5 9 191 184 212 587 0.00
31 Christian Brothe 12 4 113 189 65 367 0.00
32 Clayton Valley C 5 8 236 254 190 680 0.00
33 College Park 12 5 114 190 87 391 0.00
34 Convent-Sacred H 1 8 269 268 208 745 0.00
35 Davis 7 9 46 19 159 224 0.00
36 Del Oro 13 4 21 29 17 67 0.00
37 Dougherty Valley 4 7 140 188 145 473 0.00
38 Dublin 6 9 154 143 191 488 0.00
39 Folsom 6 9 106 51 164 321 0.00
40 Foothill Pleasan 3 10 179 161 228 568 0.00
41 Granada 6 11 159 107 235 501 0.00
42 Granite Bay 12 6 40 28 73 141 0.00
43 Head-Royce Schoo 3 10 193 177 238 608 0.00
44 International 1 7 262 261 185 708 0.00
45 Justin-Siena 14 7 70 139 116 325 0.00
46 Las Lomas 9 7 165 228 137 530 0.00
47 Lick-Wilmerding 9 7 118 127 138 383 0.00
48 Livermore 2 11 227 211 244 682 0.00
49 Lowell 0 6 234 224 165 623 0.00
50 Marin Academy 12 4 34 94 57 185 0.00
51 Miramonte 10 10 66 53 171 290 0.00
52 Monte Vista Danv 14 5 32 35 58 125 0.00
53 Moreau Catholic 3 8 266 273 203 742 0.00
54 Napa 2 12 260 250 265 775 0.00
55 Newark Memorial 2 11 275 270 255 800 0.00
56 Northgate 2 11 184 132 256 572 0.00
57 Novato 8 8 91 66 146 303 0.00
58 Oakland Tech 1 1 252 281 59 592 0.00
59 Oakmont 2 9 268 262 229 759 0.00
60 Petaluma 10 5 105 179 98 382 0.00
61 Piedmont 13 5 96 164 82 342 0.00
62 Rancho Cotate 10 7 169 199 123 491 0.00
63 Redwood 17 5 8 2 12 22 0.00
64 Rio Americano 6 10 212 167 230 609 0.00
65 Rocklin 8 10 147 74 186 407 0.00
66 Roseville 4 9 233 241 220 694 0.00
67 San Marin 16 5 27 48 50 125 0.00
68 San Rafael 1 12 217 129 257 603 0.00
69 Sonoma Academy 3 9 224 234 225 683 0.00
70 Sonoma Valley 11 6 122 196 112 430 0.00
71 St Vincent de Pa 6 7 238 274 160 672 0.00
72 Terra Linda 3 10 200 171 226 597 0.00
73 University HS SF 8 10 76 43 192 311 0.00
74 Urban School 9 5 151 231 102 484 0.00
75 Vintage 7 8 150 158 179 487 0.00
76 Vista del Lago 10 6 54 57 93 204 0.00
77 Washington Fremo 0 3 284 283 99 666 0.00
78 West Park 0 19 278 222 303 803 0.00
79 Whitney 2 15 196 83 285 564 0.00
80 Windsor 1 12 258 240 270 768 0.00
81 Woodcreek 11 5 175 217 74 466 0.00
82 Ygnacio Valley 0 8 274 264 213 751 0.00
83 Academy of Our L 2 14 197 89 288 574 0.00
84 Bishops School 20 2 22 56 13 91 0.00
85 Bonita Vista 12 10 120 93 204 417 0.00
86 Canyon Crest 9 10 131 90 221 442 0.00
87 Canyon Hills 10 8 132 114 166 412 0.00
88 Carlsbad 15 4 36 36 23 95 0.00
89 Castle Park 13 9 84 108 176 368 0.00
90 Cathedral Cathol 12 7 18 18 24 60 0.00
91 Clairemont 6 11 225 232 245 702 0.00
92 Classical Academ 11 8 136 118 161 415 0.00
93 Del Lago Academy 1 14 202 121 290 613 0.00
94 Del Norte 12 6 47 72 94 213 0.00
95 Eastlake 13 8 67 44 147 258 0.00
96 El Camino 5 17 220 80 296 596 0.00
97 El Capitan 12 6 127 200 105 432 0.00
98 Fallbrook 16 4 69 145 60 274 0.00
99 Francis Parker S 10 9 97 246 162 505 0.00
100 Granite Hills 10 7 139 165 130 434 0.00
101 Grossmont 5 13 209 173 273 655 0.00
102 Helix Charter 3 13 243 227 278 748 0.00
103 Hilltop 5 12 229 201 262 692 0.00
104 La Costa Canyon 8 10 58 47 117 222 0.00
105 La Jolla CDS 9 8 123 257 139 519 0.00
106 La Jolla HS 6 14 109 31 237 377 0.00
107 Lincoln San Dieg 3 12 248 229 264 741 0.00
108 Mar Vista 8 3 190 275 66 531 0.00
109 Mater Dei Chula 13 7 104 193 120 417 0.00
110 Mira Mesa 8 12 152 65 253 470 0.00
111 Mission Bay 12 6 130 191 106 427 0.00
112 Mission Hills 3 13 186 142 279 607 0.00
113 Mission Vista 1 16 242 151 295 688 0.00
114 Monte Vista Spri 8 7 166 212 148 526 0.00
115 Montgomery 0 2 282 277 77 636 0.00
116 Morse 8 11 223 204 239 666 0.00
117 Mt Carmel 7 10 141 96 205 442 0.00
118 Olympian 7 14 171 105 281 557 0.00
119 Otay Ranch 4 11 256 247 250 753 0.00
120 Pacific Ridge 13 5 82 104 83 269 0.00
121 Patrick Henry 5 13 145 82 258 485 0.00
122 Point Loma 12 4 52 86 69 207 0.00
123 Poway 9 9 107 79 163 349 0.00
124 Preuss School 1 18 249 159 301 709 0.00
125 Ramona 2 15 232 140 292 664 0.00
126 Rancho Bernardo 6 14 161 113 282 556 0.00
127 Rancho Buena Vis 15 3 87 128 34 249 0.00
128 Sage Creek 16 5 86 97 75 258 0.00
129 San Diego 10 7 125 146 131 402 0.00
130 San Dieguito 6 12 92 32 243 367 0.00
131 San Marcos SD 13 7 29 98 51 178 0.00
132 San Ysidro 15 8 94 130 132 356 0.00
133 Santa Fe Christi 0 17 228 126 298 652 0.00
134 Santana 5 13 216 195 274 685 0.00
135 Scripps Ranch 11 6 56 52 78 186 0.00
136 Southwest 0 8 279 271 214 764 0.00
137 Tri City Christi 12 6 155 162 107 424 0.00
138 University City 16 3 24 50 25 99 0.00
139 Valhalla 6 13 195 150 271 616 0.00
140 Valley Center 9 6 149 198 118 465 0.00
141 Vista 13 8 117 95 149 361 0.00
142 West Hills 13 8 153 206 150 509 0.00
143 Westview 9 9 137 144 199 480 0.00
144 Aptos 8 7 203 243 151 597 0.00
145 Aragon 4 11 219 180 251 650 0.00
146 Archbishop Mitty 1 11 126 26 215 367 0.00
147 Burlingame 8 7 135 136 152 423 0.00
148 Carlmont 2 9 205 205 231 641 0.00
149 Carmel 4 6 99 157 140 396 0.00
150 Castilleja 16 3 53 110 26 189 0.00
151 Gilroy 5 7 168 215 167 550 0.00
152 Gunn 14 3 74 174 52 300 0.00
153 Harbor 0 1 286 286 63 635 0.00
154 Harker School 0 16 245 153 297 695 0.00
155 Hillsdale 10 7 112 85 133 330 0.00
156 Leland 8 4 103 218 84 405 0.00
157 Lincoln San Jose 3 9 211 203 227 641 0.00
158 Live Oak 14 1 45 170 15 230 0.00
159 Los Altos 9 6 124 176 119 419 0.00
160 Los Gatos 13 5 65 46 70 181 0.00
161 Menlo-Atherton 6 11 85 11 200 296 0.00
162 Mercy Burlingame 6 10 182 147 233 562 0.00
163 Monte Vista Chri 10 8 108 70 168 346 0.00
164 Monterey 8 3 174 259 67 500 0.00
165 Mountain View 5 11 201 141 246 588 0.00
166 Notre Dame Belmo 11 7 100 103 126 329 0.00
167 Notre Dame Salin 1 5 253 258 127 638 0.00
168 Notre Dame San J 8 6 129 168 121 418 0.00
169 Palo Alto 5 14 210 99 286 595 0.00
170 Pioneer 10 7 119 125 134 378 0.00
171 Presentation 7 8 177 182 180 539 0.00
172 Priory 3 11 164 81 254 499 0.00
173 Sacred Heart Cat 12 5 98 155 88 341 0.00
174 Salinas 3 10 185 124 240 549 0.00
175 Santa Catalina S 1 7 192 186 187 565 0.00
176 Santa Cruz 1 5 276 278 128 682 0.00
177 Saratoga 4 8 214 233 201 648 0.00
178 Scotts Valley 11 2 50 207 27 284 0.00
179 Sequoia 11 5 62 84 95 241 0.00
180 Sobrato 2 12 240 235 266 741 0.00
181 Soquel 3 6 204 249 153 606 0.00
182 St Francis Mtn V 8 7 42 6 96 144 0.00
183 Stevenson School 11 3 41 77 61 179 0.00
184 Wilcox 0 12 265 238 275 778 0.00
185 Willow Glen 4 7 162 210 172 544 0.00
186 Woodside 12 3 48 109 54 211 0.00
187 York School 0 5 273 260 135 668 0.00
188 Agoura 4 14 187 55 283 525 0.00
189 Alexander Hamilt 2 3 241 276 89 606 0.00
190 Aliso Niguel 8 12 172 100 234 506 0.00
191 Beckman 9 10 160 148 216 524 0.00
192 Beverly Hills 0 7 277 265 193 735 0.00
193 Birmingham Chart 5 14 221 175 287 683 0.00
194 Calabasas 1 18 239 101 302 642 0.00
195 California Whitt 4 11 267 266 252 785 0.00
196 Canyon 10 9 64 39 154 257 0.00
197 Capistrano Valle 5 11 251 253 247 751 0.00
198 Cate School 12 6 71 92 108 271 0.00
199 Centennial 2 12 263 242 267 772 0.00
200 Chadwick School 9 8 170 192 173 535 0.00
201 Chaminade Prep 12 7 31 10 71 112 0.00
202 Chaparral 14 7 33 12 90 135 0.00
203 Compton 5 8 247 263 194 704 0.00
204 Corona 1 15 272 223 293 788 0.00
205 Corona Del Mar 9 10 73 76 206 355 0.00
206 Crescenta Valley 13 8 38 22 79 139 0.00
207 Culver City 10 7 134 135 113 382 0.00
208 Dana Hills 6 12 235 239 259 733 0.00
209 Dos Pueblos 7 8 158 154 181 493 0.00
210 Downey 11 11 146 117 232 495 0.00
211 Edison 10 9 26 9 100 135 0.00
212 El Camino Real 7 7 215 256 157 628 0.00
213 El Dorado 15 6 77 111 81 269 0.00
214 El Modena 5 14 246 183 277 706 0.00
215 El Segundo 5 13 189 112 260 561 0.00
216 El Toro 7 10 115 61 195 371 0.00
217 Eleanor Roosevel 16 9 81 67 155 303 0.00
218 Esperanza 5 10 194 178 222 594 0.00
219 GALA 0 4 285 285 115 685 0.00
220 Glendale 17 5 72 166 36 274 0.00
221 Great Oak 6 12 116 60 248 424 0.00
222 Hart 6 14 208 219 284 711 0.00
223 Hemet 1 12 250 214 272 736 0.00
224 Heritage 10 10 142 123 207 472 0.00
225 Heritage Christi 0 14 261 226 291 778 0.00
226 Huntington Beach 15 4 30 49 28 107 0.00
227 Irvine 3 13 230 202 280 712 0.00
228 JSerra Catholic 15 8 39 38 109 186 0.00
229 King 15 10 88 64 182 334 0.00
230 La Canada 6 12 222 216 261 699 0.00
231 Laguna Beach 12 6 121 172 110 403 0.00
232 Lakewood 2 12 281 267 268 816 0.00
233 Liberty 4 9 231 245 223 699 0.00
234 Long Beach Poly 1 8 270 269 209 748 0.00
235 Los Alamitos 10 9 90 133 188 411 0.00
236 Lynwood 0 12 271 251 276 798 0.00
237 Mater Dei Santa 12 6 16 20 53 89 0.00
238 Millikan 8 11 207 209 241 657 0.00
239 Mira Costa 17 5 10 15 11 36 0.00
240 Mission Viejo 2 18 254 185 300 739 0.00
241 Murrieta Mesa 20 2 11 23 9 43 0.00
242 Murrieta Valley 11 11 78 37 217 332 0.00
243 Newbury Park 12 2 59 137 19 215 0.00
244 Newport Harbor 9 10 111 138 224 473 0.00
245 Norco 9 10 148 134 218 500 0.00
246 Nordhoff 0 11 244 230 263 737 0.00
247 Northwood 13 6 80 91 85 256 0.00
248 Notre Dame Sherm 10 8 68 69 122 259 0.00
249 Oak Park 14 3 61 87 38 186 0.00
250 Oaks Christian 11 6 93 78 114 285 0.00
251 Orange Lutheran 15 9 75 71 141 287 0.00
252 Palisades Charte 12 9 178 237 183 598 0.00
253 Paloma Valley 9 7 213 248 142 603 0.00
254 Palos Verdes 12 7 25 17 55 97 0.00
255 Peninsula 9 9 102 58 129 289 0.00
256 Portola 10 9 176 197 196 569 0.00
257 Riverside Poly 12 7 181 213 124 518 0.00
258 Rosary Academy 8 9 180 152 189 521 0.00
259 Royal 12 10 89 25 174 288 0.00
260 Sage Hill 0 17 259 208 299 766 0.00
261 San Clemente 18 3 9 7 7 23 0.00
262 San Juan Hills 17 5 19 21 18 58 0.00
263 San Marcos SB 17 3 63 131 22 216 0.00
264 Santa Barbara 5 11 188 163 249 600 0.00
265 Santa Margarita 13 5 13 14 20 47 0.00
266 Santa Monica 6 11 183 119 236 538 0.00
267 Santiago 11 9 51 30 136 217 0.00
268 Saugus 12 7 144 194 125 463 0.00
269 Segerstrom 13 6 206 255 103 564 0.00
270 Simi Valley 2 16 226 120 294 640 0.00
271 Temecula Valley 17 6 44 45 76 165 0.00
272 Tesoro 11 9 157 160 184 501 0.00
273 Thacher School 9 8 133 252 143 528 0.00
274 Trabuco Hills 12 7 55 41 101 197 0.00
275 Tustin 6 9 255 272 210 737 0.00
276 University HS LA 2 6 283 284 158 725 0.00
277 University Irvin 7 13 198 169 269 636 0.00
278 Valencia Placent 2 14 257 236 289 782 0.00
279 Valencia Santa C 9 8 138 156 175 469 0.00
280 Village Christia 10 11 83 42 202 327 0.00
281 Vista Murrieta 13 7 37 27 104 168 0.00
282 West Ranch 7 10 101 88 219 408 0.00
283 Westridge School 10 9 163 181 197 541 0.00
284 Woodbridge 12 5 110 187 91 388 0.00
285 Woodrow Wilson 12 6 167 225 111 503 0.00
286 Yorba Linda 11 10 95 62 177 334 0.00
287 Concord 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
288 Drew 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
289 George Washingto 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
290 San Domenico 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
291 El Rancho 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
292 Laguna Hills 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
293 Thousand Oaks 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
294 Westlake 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
295 Bullard 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
296 Edison Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
297 Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
298 Hoover Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
299 McLane 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
300 Roosevelt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
301 San Joaquin Memo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
302 Sanger 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
303 Sunnyside 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00