List of Probabilities for Virginia
Virginia Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Paul VI 11 6 2 2 6 10 23.00
2 St Annes-Belfiel 9 8 4 7 11 22 15.00
3 Blue Ridge Schoo 12 7 8 56 4 68 9.00
4 Collegiate Schoo 14 2 3 32 2 37 8.00
5 Episcopal 7 9 55 52 55 162 7.00
6 Christchurch 12 4 12 35 8 55 6.00
7 Robinson 15 0 1 10 1 12 6.00
8 Riverside 12 2 5 23 3 31 5.00
9 Madison 10 5 7 12 18 37 3.00
10 Potomac School 10 8 41 38 54 133 3.00
11 Norfolk Academy 14 5 19 92 20 131 2.00
12 St Christophers 8 9 43 36 65 144 2.00
13 St Stephen-St Ag 6 14 60 4 71 135 2.00
14 Yorktown 11 4 30 40 24 94 2.00
15 Atlee 9 4 10 3 15 28 0.00
16 Battlefield 14 1 6 9 7 22 0.00
17 Briar Woods 10 4 25 11 40 76 0.00
18 Freedom South R 14 2 13 6 5 24 0.00
19 Langley 12 3 17 99 14 130 0.00
20 North Cross Scho 8 7 29 28 57 114 0.00
21 Salem 12 0 9 30 10 49 0.00
22 Albemarle 8 5 40 22 66 128 0.00
23 Alexandria City 4 11 107 51 156 314 0.00
24 Annandale 3 9 150 149 146 445 0.00
25 Bayside 3 5 118 145 92 355 0.00
26 Benedictine 10 8 88 84 108 280 0.00
27 Bishop Ireton 8 11 90 158 61 309 0.00
28 Bishop OConnell 3 13 82 33 85 200 0.00
29 Blacksburg 6 6 110 125 93 328 0.00
30 Brentsville 11 2 28 43 27 98 0.00
31 Broad Run 11 3 53 82 43 178 0.00
32 Brooke Point 8 7 75 34 111 220 0.00
33 Cape Henry Colle 7 9 76 37 136 249 0.00
34 Catholic HS 12 7 24 55 49 128 0.00
35 Cave Spring 6 5 104 139 86 329 0.00
36 Centreville 2 11 116 39 158 313 0.00
37 Chantilly 11 4 33 59 51 143 0.00
38 Charlottesville 2 10 154 146 159 459 0.00
39 Christiansburg 0 9 164 155 153 472 0.00
40 Clover Hill 4 10 133 110 149 392 0.00
41 Colgan 9 5 65 53 72 190 0.00
42 Colonial Forge 13 3 27 14 32 73 0.00
43 Cosby 9 3 14 13 25 52 0.00
44 Covenant School 5 6 62 64 87 213 0.00
45 Cox 12 1 38 98 16 152 0.00
46 Culpeper County 2 10 146 120 160 426 0.00
47 Deep Run 8 5 35 18 42 95 0.00
48 Dominion 7 6 49 15 75 139 0.00
49 Douglas Freeman 10 3 11 8 26 45 0.00
50 Eastern View 2 10 156 147 161 464 0.00
51 EC Glass 10 3 42 46 33 121 0.00
52 Edison 8 7 92 62 109 263 0.00
53 Fairfax 5 8 108 81 120 309 0.00
54 Falls Church 6 8 105 86 129 320 0.00
55 Fauquier 6 7 72 24 94 190 0.00
56 First Colonial 6 7 102 89 117 308 0.00
57 Fishburne Milita 0 4 171 169 69 409 0.00
58 Flint Hill 7 9 98 134 91 323 0.00
59 Fluvanna County 6 6 113 132 101 346 0.00
60 Forest Park 14 2 44 58 17 119 0.00
61 Fork Union Milit 0 8 166 160 142 468 0.00
62 Franklin County 2 9 127 138 144 409 0.00
63 Fredericksburg A 3 8 157 162 137 456 0.00
64 Fredericksburg C 7 7 129 152 113 394 0.00
65 Freedom Woodbri 0 5 170 168 105 443 0.00
66 Gainesville 8 7 67 17 90 174 0.00
67 Gar-field 3 12 142 91 171 404 0.00
68 Glen Allen 6 6 66 42 73 181 0.00
69 Goochland 5 7 134 153 118 405 0.00
70 Grafton LC 4 7 91 68 112 271 0.00
71 Grassfield LC 1 8 148 150 138 436 0.00
72 Green Run 1 9 151 144 150 445 0.00
73 Handley 10 4 70 156 74 300 0.00
74 Hanover 7 4 63 95 52 210 0.00
75 Hayfield 13 0 36 112 9 157 0.00
76 Heritage Leesbu 3 10 123 77 157 357 0.00
77 Herndon 5 7 95 72 114 281 0.00
78 Hickory LC 6 4 80 131 62 273 0.00
79 Hidden Valley 1 11 141 87 165 393 0.00
80 Highland School 7 4 120 164 67 351 0.00
81 Highland Springs 1 9 160 161 151 472 0.00
82 Hylton 7 7 100 71 115 286 0.00
83 Independence 8 4 32 29 46 107 0.00
84 James Monroe 9 5 101 137 76 314 0.00
85 James River 3 8 85 57 121 263 0.00
86 Jamestown LC 9 1 23 105 22 150 0.00
87 Jefferson Forest 8 5 59 41 70 170 0.00
88 John Champe 9 5 64 49 56 169 0.00
89 Justice 10 3 99 151 47 297 0.00
90 Kellam 12 1 48 159 12 219 0.00
91 Kempsville 5 6 103 114 106 323 0.00
92 Kettle Run 4 6 61 93 107 261 0.00
93 Lafayette LC 11 1 21 116 13 150 0.00
94 Lake Braddock 9 7 71 75 95 241 0.00
95 Landstown 3 8 124 117 139 380 0.00
96 Lewis 2 10 153 135 162 450 0.00
97 Liberty Bealeto 8 4 69 97 63 229 0.00
98 Lightridge 4 10 87 19 143 249 0.00
99 Loudoun County 8 6 84 73 96 253 0.00
100 Loudoun Valley 8 6 94 96 97 287 0.00
101 Manchester 9 2 52 115 28 195 0.00
102 Marshall 2 10 126 80 154 360 0.00
103 Massaponax 2 12 144 78 172 394 0.00
104 Matoaca 0 11 165 154 170 489 0.00
105 Maury LC 1 9 114 66 145 325 0.00
106 McLean 11 4 31 26 41 98 0.00
107 Mechanicsville 7 5 125 157 79 361 0.00
108 Menchville LC 7 4 77 119 60 256 0.00
109 Meridian 11 2 20 44 29 93 0.00
110 Midlothian 9 3 16 20 30 66 0.00
111 Mills Godwin 4 8 117 111 122 350 0.00
112 Monacan 7 5 93 103 80 276 0.00
113 Monticello 7 4 68 104 64 236 0.00
114 Mount Vernon 1 11 155 124 168 447 0.00
115 Mountain View 15 2 34 31 23 88 0.00
116 Nansemond-Suffol 11 5 37 94 44 175 0.00
117 New Covenant Sch 5 5 135 163 77 375 0.00
118 Norfolk Christia 5 13 132 126 169 427 0.00
119 Norfolk Collegia 6 8 96 70 128 294 0.00
120 North Stafford 2 12 149 101 173 423 0.00
121 Oakton 8 6 46 21 68 135 0.00
122 Ocean Lakes 4 7 112 106 125 343 0.00
123 Orange County 5 8 106 88 130 324 0.00
124 Osbourn 2 12 163 136 166 465 0.00
125 Osbourn Park 2 12 143 63 167 373 0.00
126 Park View 4 10 147 122 155 424 0.00
127 Patrick Henry A 3 8 119 129 131 379 0.00
128 Patrick Henry R 9 1 26 107 19 152 0.00
129 Patriot 9 6 22 1 58 81 0.00
130 Potomac Falls 3 11 139 83 163 385 0.00
131 Potomac-Dumfries 2 13 161 121 175 457 0.00
132 Powhatan 5 6 109 133 98 340 0.00
133 Princess Anne 7 3 73 140 53 266 0.00
134 Riverbend 5 8 111 90 133 334 0.00
135 Roanoke Catholic 1 0 168 172 31 371 0.00
136 Rock Ridge 0 15 159 100 176 435 0.00
137 Rockbridge Count 4 6 78 79 102 259 0.00
138 Rockingham LC 4 6 169 167 88 424 0.00
139 Salem Virginia B 2 5 130 143 103 376 0.00
140 Seton School 12 3 39 67 48 154 0.00
141 South County 9 7 51 45 81 177 0.00
142 South Lakes 6 9 79 25 132 236 0.00
143 St John Paul the 2 12 137 113 174 424 0.00
144 Stafford 3 9 136 108 147 391 0.00
145 Steward School 4 8 122 109 134 365 0.00
146 Stone Bridge 5 8 50 5 99 154 0.00
147 Strasburg LC 3 4 140 173 45 358 0.00
148 Tabb LC 6 4 47 76 59 182 0.00
149 Tallwood 1 9 152 148 152 452 0.00
150 Tandem Friends 1 5 167 166 104 437 0.00
151 Thomas Dale 2 4 162 165 82 409 0.00
152 Thomas Jefferson 5 7 131 141 123 395 0.00
153 Trinity Christia 8 5 81 128 83 292 0.00
154 Trinity Episcopa 8 10 97 47 127 271 0.00
155 Trinity Meadow V 9 6 56 130 78 264 0.00
156 Tuscarora 3 11 128 60 164 352 0.00
157 Unity Reed 7 8 138 127 116 381 0.00
158 Virginia Academy 0 7 158 142 135 435 0.00
159 Virginia Episcop 5 7 54 48 110 212 0.00
160 Wakefield HS 5 10 121 102 140 363 0.00
161 Washington-Liber 6 8 74 74 124 272 0.00
162 West Potomac 10 4 18 61 21 100 0.00
163 West Springfield 4 8 83 54 126 263 0.00
164 Western Albemarl 10 3 15 16 38 69 0.00
165 Westfield 8 7 57 27 89 173 0.00
166 William Byrd 6 6 86 85 100 271 0.00
167 Woodberry Forest 4 13 89 118 119 326 0.00
168 Woodbridge 8 10 115 50 148 313 0.00
169 Woodgrove 10 4 58 65 50 173 0.00
170 Woodson 9 7 45 69 84 198 0.00
171 York LC 0 8 145 123 141 409 0.00
172 Eukarya Christia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
173 Lloyd C Bird 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
174 Wakefield Countr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
175 Wakefield School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
176 William Fleming 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00