List of Probabilities for Massachusetts
Massachusetts Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Johns Prep Da 12 2 3 26 2 31 15.00
2 Acton Boxborough 13 2 6 4 3 13 10.00
3 Xaverian Brother 8 7 34 6 61 101 10.00
4 Duxbury 14 1 1 30 1 32 8.00
5 Hingham 11 2 8 13 6 27 8.00
6 Boston College H 10 4 33 41 28 102 7.00
7 Medfield 10 2 14 16 15 45 6.00
8 Franklin 11 1 10 52 11 73 3.00
9 Lincoln-Sudbury 7 5 2 2 13 17 3.00
10 Marshfield 11 3 4 1 8 13 3.00
11 Needham 11 4 16 8 20 44 3.00
12 Walpole 11 3 22 31 38 91 3.00
13 Westwood 11 4 31 15 64 110 3.00
14 Andover HS 6 3 19 45 23 87 2.00
15 Billerica Memori 9 4 26 22 39 87 2.00
16 Milton HS 10 3 68 115 43 226 2.00
17 Catholic Memoria 9 4 21 7 29 57 0.00
18 Cohasset 9 5 62 42 70 174 0.00
19 Concord-Carlisle 7 5 71 53 56 180 0.00
20 Longmeadow 13 1 5 11 5 21 0.00
21 Mansfield 11 1 7 17 12 36 0.00
22 Newburyport 7 3 27 166 26 219 0.00
23 Reading Memorial 12 2 18 33 9 60 0.00
24 Sandwich 11 2 37 98 16 151 0.00
25 Scituate 10 4 24 12 35 71 0.00
26 Wellesley 8 5 29 14 74 117 0.00
27 Westfield 13 0 13 93 7 113 0.00
28 Winchester 13 1 11 29 4 44 0.00
29 Abington 10 4 95 154 68 317 0.00
30 Academy of Notre 5 3 75 127 51 253 0.00
31 Agawam 8 5 60 51 82 193 0.00
32 Algonquin 8 5 50 24 77 151 0.00
33 Amesbury 2 11 166 96 197 459 0.00
34 Amherst-Pelham R 4 10 150 80 174 404 0.00
35 AMSA Charter 10 2 41 89 32 162 0.00
36 Apponequet Regio 10 2 38 116 27 181 0.00
37 Archbishop Willi 7 8 130 124 147 401 0.00
38 Arlington Cathol 8 5 90 99 92 281 0.00
39 Arlington HS 7 6 89 62 104 255 0.00
40 Ashland 6 6 93 68 113 274 0.00
41 Assabet Valley R 4 9 163 114 169 446 0.00
42 Attleboro 6 8 127 107 143 377 0.00
43 Auburn 7 6 159 187 111 457 0.00
44 Barnstable 3 10 138 59 184 381 0.00
45 Bay Path RVT 0 13 212 198 212 622 0.00
46 Bedford 1 10 193 167 177 537 0.00
47 Belchertown 6 6 65 27 114 206 0.00
48 Bellingham 4 10 151 69 181 401 0.00
49 Belmont 5 6 141 170 120 431 0.00
50 Beverly 6 6 108 120 115 343 0.00
51 Bishop Connolly 4 3 172 206 54 432 0.00
52 Bishop Feehan 8 7 70 25 108 203 0.00
53 Bishop Fenwick 10 3 109 196 47 352 0.00
54 Bishop Stang 9 4 64 84 75 223 0.00
55 Blackstone Valle 9 3 47 110 52 209 0.00
56 Blue Hills RVT 6 9 128 34 164 326 0.00
57 Boston Latin Sch 2 11 175 85 186 446 0.00
58 Bourne 8 5 118 138 93 349 0.00
59 Braintree 1 11 164 77 193 434 0.00
60 Bridgewater-Rayn 8 5 15 10 55 80 0.00
61 Bristol-Plymouth 9 5 114 131 87 332 0.00
62 Brookline 3 8 165 160 152 477 0.00
63 Burlington 11 4 42 38 40 120 0.00
64 Cambridge Rindge 2 11 198 169 198 565 0.00
65 Canton 10 3 67 71 41 179 0.00
66 Cape Cod Academy 8 2 78 193 42 313 0.00
67 Cape Cod Tech 1 13 202 149 209 560 0.00
68 Cardinal Spellma 2 11 173 123 199 495 0.00
69 Central Catholic 8 5 77 136 69 282 0.00
70 Chelmsford 2 8 132 112 130 374 0.00
71 Chicopee Compreh 4 8 105 39 148 292 0.00
72 Danvers 2 11 170 119 200 489 0.00
73 Dartmouth 7 2 111 200 44 355 0.00
74 Dedham 2 10 187 151 185 523 0.00
75 Dennis-Yarmouth 2 9 185 180 175 540 0.00
76 Dighton-Rehoboth 4 9 181 188 170 539 0.00
77 Doherty Memorial 2 11 207 186 201 594 0.00
78 Dover-Sherborn 8 6 80 36 94 210 0.00
79 Dracut 7 7 55 54 105 214 0.00
80 East Bridgewater 1 10 200 183 187 570 0.00
81 East Longmeadow 5 4 54 74 65 193 0.00
82 Essex Tech 8 4 61 90 78 229 0.00
83 Fairhaven 11 4 43 19 66 128 0.00
84 Falmouth Academy 2 6 190 197 131 518 0.00
85 Falmouth HS 11 3 9 5 36 50 0.00
86 Foxborough 7 7 79 18 109 206 0.00
87 Framingham 8 6 97 189 88 374 0.00
88 Gloucester 4 8 162 162 158 482 0.00
89 Grafton 6 7 72 44 112 228 0.00
90 Granby 8 5 140 171 95 406 0.00
91 Greater Lowell R 4 6 147 152 116 415 0.00
92 Greater New Bedf 2 11 206 168 202 576 0.00
93 Groton-Dunstable 5 7 156 175 137 468 0.00
94 Hamilton-Wenham 1 10 135 32 188 355 0.00
95 Hanover 4 9 104 35 149 288 0.00
96 Haverhill 9 3 84 165 53 302 0.00
97 Holliston 5 6 134 161 121 416 0.00
98 Hoosac Valley 10 4 100 125 71 296 0.00
99 Hopkinton 11 1 30 108 18 156 0.00
100 Hudson 2 9 210 207 176 593 0.00
101 Hull 3 11 177 148 195 520 0.00
102 Ipswich 8 3 44 102 57 203 0.00
103 King Philip Regi 9 5 23 9 72 104 0.00
104 Lenox/Lee 10 3 48 61 48 157 0.00
105 Leominster 2 10 167 81 182 430 0.00
106 Lexington 6 7 92 135 98 325 0.00
107 Littleton 6 8 129 75 153 357 0.00
108 Lowell 2 11 205 172 203 580 0.00
109 Lowell Catholic 7 4 59 106 67 232 0.00
110 Lunenburg 1 10 194 178 189 561 0.00
111 Lynn Classical-E 5 10 209 210 178 597 0.00
112 Lynnfield 10 2 36 111 33 180 0.00
113 Malden 6 7 204 209 134 547 0.00
114 Malden Catholic 1 13 139 21 205 365 0.00
115 Manchester-Essex 8 3 46 104 58 208 0.00
116 Marblehead 9 3 51 144 24 219 0.00
117 Marthas Vineyard 3 8 103 140 125 368 0.00
118 Masconomet 7 7 110 97 124 331 0.00
119 Mashpee 4 10 133 55 183 371 0.00
120 McCann Technical 1 11 186 122 206 514 0.00
121 Medford 10 3 107 190 49 346 0.00
122 Medway 6 6 123 143 117 383 0.00
123 Melrose 6 8 82 67 118 267 0.00
124 Methuen 8 3 113 202 59 374 0.00
125 Middleborough 4 8 174 184 159 517 0.00
126 Milford 7 6 81 64 99 244 0.00
127 Minnechaug Regio 5 8 69 40 96 205 0.00
128 Minuteman Region 8 3 101 194 50 345 0.00
129 Monomoy Regional 12 2 73 173 25 271 0.00
130 Monson 7 5 137 174 100 411 0.00
131 Montachusett RVT 7 5 160 208 101 469 0.00
132 Mystic Valley Ch 0 11 201 163 194 558 0.00
133 Nantucket 10 1 12 76 19 107 0.00
134 Nashoba Regional 9 3 25 37 37 99 0.00
135 Nashoba Valley T 3 10 183 155 179 517 0.00
136 Natick 8 6 86 91 106 283 0.00
137 Nauset 6 7 32 3 110 145 0.00
138 New Bedford 1 8 211 211 165 587 0.00
139 Newton North 6 8 98 43 126 267 0.00
140 Newton South 5 8 143 87 138 368 0.00
141 Nipmuc Regional 6 4 88 164 83 335 0.00
142 North Andover 4 9 83 28 132 243 0.00
143 North Attleboro 7 4 56 70 62 188 0.00
144 North Middlesex 5 9 122 63 166 351 0.00
145 North Quincy Co- 4 8 158 145 119 422 0.00
146 North Reading 5 8 131 66 156 353 0.00
147 Northampton 11 1 17 92 21 130 0.00
148 Northeast Metro 2 9 180 128 171 479 0.00
149 Norton 1 13 203 118 210 531 0.00
150 Norwell 9 5 49 23 63 135 0.00
151 Norwood 2 7 168 181 150 499 0.00
152 Oakmont Regional 10 4 66 109 73 248 0.00
153 Old Colony RVT 10 2 52 117 34 203 0.00
154 Old Rochester Re 7 5 102 129 97 328 0.00
155 Oliver Ames 4 9 136 65 167 368 0.00
156 Peabody Vets Mem 5 9 149 94 168 411 0.00
157 Pembroke 7 6 116 141 89 346 0.00
158 Pentucket Region 8 4 40 113 79 232 0.00
159 Pittsfield 2 11 171 121 204 496 0.00
160 Plymouth North 3 10 126 46 160 332 0.00
161 Plymouth South 7 6 58 20 84 162 0.00
162 Pope Francis Pre 3 10 142 72 161 375 0.00
163 Revere 0 13 213 212 213 638 0.00
164 Rockland 7 8 148 133 151 432 0.00
165 Salem 3 11 188 146 196 530 0.00
166 Saugus 3 7 197 204 144 545 0.00
167 Seekonk 9 5 124 150 90 364 0.00
168 Sharon 7 4 35 48 60 143 0.00
169 Shawsheen Valley 12 0 20 88 10 118 0.00
170 Shepherd Hill 6 8 169 179 154 502 0.00
171 Shrewsbury 5 8 106 57 139 302 0.00
172 Silver Lake 4 8 157 159 142 458 0.00
173 Smith VoTech 6 2 146 205 46 397 0.00
174 Somerset Berkley 0 9 196 177 180 553 0.00
175 Somerville 6 7 192 203 135 530 0.00
176 South Hadley 5 8 117 79 133 329 0.00
177 South Shore RVT 13 1 39 95 14 148 0.00
178 Southeastern RVT 6 4 154 201 85 440 0.00
179 Springfield Cent 0 11 208 191 208 607 0.00
180 St Bernards 9 6 94 49 107 250 0.00
181 St John Paul II 6 7 152 158 136 446 0.00
182 St Johns Shrewsb 5 9 96 83 145 324 0.00
183 St Marys Lynn 2 8 179 147 162 488 0.00
184 St Marys Westfie 3 6 184 199 127 510 0.00
185 Stoneham 2 11 189 157 191 537 0.00
186 Stoughton 1 12 199 137 207 543 0.00
187 Sturgis Charter 1 7 195 195 155 545 0.00
188 Swampscott 12 1 28 105 17 150 0.00
189 Tantasqua Region 7 5 87 101 86 274 0.00
190 Taunton 3 9 191 185 172 548 0.00
191 Tech Boston Acad 1 0 53 213 30 296 0.00
192 Tewksbury Memori 5 7 161 182 140 483 0.00
193 Tri-County RVT 3 9 120 47 173 340 0.00
194 Triton Regional 2 8 155 100 163 418 0.00
195 Tyngsborough 11 2 63 126 31 220 0.00
196 Upper Cape Cod R 8 7 121 86 128 335 0.00
197 Wachusett Region 11 3 45 78 45 168 0.00
198 Wahconah 9 5 76 139 81 296 0.00
199 Wakefield Memori 5 8 112 56 129 297 0.00
200 Waltham 6 7 119 82 122 323 0.00
201 Watertown 2 11 178 103 192 473 0.00
202 Wayland 5 5 145 192 91 428 0.00
203 West Springfield 7 5 74 58 76 208 0.00
204 Westborough 3 7 153 156 146 455 0.00
205 Westford Academy 6 7 85 60 102 247 0.00
206 Weston 9 2 57 153 22 232 0.00
207 Westport 1 13 182 73 211 466 0.00
208 Weymouth 7 8 125 132 141 398 0.00
209 Whitman-Hanson 4 9 115 50 157 322 0.00
210 Whittier RVT 6 4 99 176 80 355 0.00
211 Wilmington 5 7 144 134 123 401 0.00
212 Winthrop 7 5 91 142 103 336 0.00
213 Woburn Memorial 3 11 176 130 190 496 0.00