List of Probabilities for Maryland
Maryland Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Boys Latin 13 2 7 58 14 79 21.00
2 McDonogh 12 3 15 87 27 129 12.00
3 Archbishop Spald 13 4 22 45 55 122 9.00
4 Gilman 11 6 29 86 67 182 8.00
5 Landon 16 2 27 145 17 189 8.00
6 Urbana 15 0 2 1 2 5 6.00
7 Calvert Hall 10 6 25 24 61 110 5.00
8 Gonzaga 13 6 24 78 90 192 5.00
9 Severn School 7 11 85 33 148 266 4.00
10 St Johns College 11 4 18 19 35 72 4.00
11 Bullis 13 5 55 62 106 223 3.00
12 Georgetown Prep 11 4 26 76 77 179 2.00
13 Loyola-Blakefiel 8 8 58 80 119 257 2.00
14 Broadneck 11 4 4 12 6 22 2.00
15 Severna Park 13 1 1 25 1 27 2.00
16 DeMatha 9 7 71 123 122 316 0.00
17 Good Counsel 16 3 76 183 78 337 0.00
18 John Carroll 3 12 107 32 186 325 0.00
19 Mount St Joseph 8 9 103 97 162 362 0.00
20 Huntingtown 14 1 9 6 5 20 0.00
21 South River 13 2 3 2 3 8 0.00
22 Towson 11 2 6 7 4 17 0.00
23 Annapolis Area C 7 5 128 142 114 384 0.00
24 Archbishop Curle 10 6 84 127 89 300 0.00
25 Beth TFiloh 3 7 175 181 161 517 0.00
26 Bishop McNamara 4 12 99 23 190 312 0.00
27 Chapelgate Chris 1 9 201 190 203 594 0.00
28 Concordia Prep 11 2 81 143 28 252 0.00
29 Cristo Rey Jesui 0 8 194 140 185 519 0.00
30 FCA LC 2 3 180 204 96 480 0.00
31 Friends 6 4 115 175 97 387 0.00
32 Georgetown Day 2 3 65 202 56 323 0.00
33 Gerstell Academy 5 8 132 110 175 417 0.00
34 Glenelg Country 6 3 82 141 79 302 0.00
35 Gunston School 3 10 212 205 141 558 0.00
36 Heights 8 10 126 77 178 381 0.00
37 Indian Creek Sch 4 10 138 63 206 407 0.00
38 Key School 4 8 176 162 179 517 0.00
39 Maret 4 13 151 170 110 431 0.00
40 Mercersburg Acad 0 10 185 213 82 480 0.00
41 Mount Carmel 1 8 191 174 184 549 0.00
42 Park School 4 10 153 79 207 439 0.00
43 Sandy Spring Fri 2 5 211 207 115 533 0.00
44 Sidwell Friends 8 6 156 184 86 426 0.00
45 St Albans 6 13 163 135 183 481 0.00
46 St Andrews Episc 6 7 140 156 140 436 0.00
47 St James 11 5 86 130 91 307 0.00
48 St Johns Catholi 12 0 41 137 8 186 0.00
49 St Marys Annapol 5 13 87 26 191 304 0.00
50 St Marys Ryken 7 11 104 72 166 342 0.00
51 St Pauls 7 8 68 96 139 303 0.00
52 St Vincent Pallo 5 8 123 74 176 373 0.00
53 Sts Peter & Paul 13 4 48 167 53 268 0.00
54 Tome School 3 6 197 188 142 527 0.00
55 West Nottingham 0 1 213 211 64 488 0.00
56 Worcester Prep 7 5 142 138 107 387 0.00
57 Aberdeen 3 10 157 43 192 392 0.00
58 Academy for Coll 8 3 74 147 74 295 0.00
59 Annapolis 8 2 40 115 37 192 0.00
60 Arundel 2 10 97 16 149 262 0.00
61 Atholton 5 7 152 124 150 426 0.00
62 Baltimore Polyte 8 1 63 173 24 260 0.00
63 Bel Air 10 5 43 119 62 224 0.00
64 Bethesda-Chevy C 9 4 31 39 68 138 0.00
65 Bladensburg 4 7 144 117 156 417 0.00
66 Blair 4 8 91 22 157 270 0.00
67 Blake 10 4 46 53 75 174 0.00
68 Bohemia Manor 7 6 155 166 128 449 0.00
69 Boonsboro 6 7 168 185 146 499 0.00
70 Bowie 9 3 47 73 69 189 0.00
71 Brunswick 5 8 135 84 167 386 0.00
72 Calvert 9 3 77 111 65 253 0.00
73 Cambridge SD 1 9 186 158 198 542 0.00
74 Carver A&T 0 10 210 194 214 618 0.00
75 Catoctin 6 6 143 169 132 444 0.00
76 Catonsville 8 7 34 10 83 127 0.00
77 Centennial 9 4 49 50 70 169 0.00
78 Century 7 8 89 31 133 253 0.00
79 CH Flowers 7 4 94 132 94 320 0.00
80 Chesapeake AA 11 3 32 41 18 91 0.00
81 Chesapeake BC 4 7 117 91 158 366 0.00
82 Chopticon 10 2 37 70 25 132 0.00
83 City College 8 3 83 139 76 298 0.00
84 Clarksburg 4 9 133 67 193 393 0.00
85 CM Wright 9 3 12 14 21 47 0.00
86 Crofton 9 4 14 11 29 54 0.00
87 Damascus 7 5 67 64 95 226 0.00
88 Digital Harbor 3 5 173 192 126 491 0.00
89 Dr Henry Wise 4 5 130 176 123 429 0.00
90 Dulaney 8 7 56 20 101 177 0.00
91 Dunbar 0 2 207 209 84 500 0.00
92 Dundalk 3 8 160 108 171 439 0.00
93 DuVal 2 10 183 114 210 507 0.00
94 Eastern Tech 8 4 64 83 92 239 0.00
95 Easton 10 2 21 148 19 188 0.00
96 Edgewood 1 12 205 160 221 586 0.00
97 Edmondson-Westsi 1 7 162 95 172 429 0.00
98 Einstein 10 1 72 177 15 264 0.00
99 Eleanor Roosevel 10 1 53 154 20 227 0.00
100 Elkton 2 10 177 186 199 562 0.00
101 Fairmont Heights 1 6 199 187 147 533 0.00
102 Fallston 10 4 11 30 11 52 0.00
103 Forest Park 5 3 101 165 85 351 0.00
104 Francis Scott Ke 5 9 170 149 187 506 0.00
105 Franklin 6 6 54 28 111 193 0.00
106 Frederick 2 10 179 120 195 494 0.00
107 Frederick Dougla 0 1 75 208 66 349 0.00
108 Frederick Dougla 1 2 92 66 80 238 0.00
109 Gaithersburg 5 8 124 51 177 352 0.00
110 Glen Burnie 7 5 119 116 116 351 0.00
111 Glenelg HS 11 3 10 3 13 26 0.00
112 Gov Thomas Johns 1 14 188 152 220 560 0.00
113 Great Mills 2 12 158 94 215 467 0.00
114 Gwynn Park 5 4 110 150 102 362 0.00
115 Hammond 1 11 203 153 216 572 0.00
116 Harford Tech 6 7 105 69 129 303 0.00
117 Havre De Grace 8 4 44 47 71 162 0.00
118 Hereford 11 3 5 5 9 19 0.00
119 Howard 10 3 28 59 40 127 0.00
120 JM Bennett 4 8 139 101 180 420 0.00
121 Joppatowne 1 12 192 99 222 513 0.00
122 Kennedy 0 13 208 134 223 565 0.00
123 Kent County 7 5 113 129 112 354 0.00
124 Kent Island 8 5 35 36 57 128 0.00
125 Kenwood 5 7 148 113 151 412 0.00
126 La Plata 6 5 79 68 108 255 0.00
127 Lackey 4 8 146 85 168 399 0.00
128 Lake Clifton/Rea 2 6 172 180 143 495 0.00
129 Lansdowne 10 2 52 109 41 202 0.00
130 Laurel 7 6 121 105 130 356 0.00
131 Leonardtown 11 3 42 35 51 128 0.00
132 Liberty 5 9 131 104 188 423 0.00
133 Linganore 11 2 16 29 12 57 0.00
134 Loch Raven 6 7 95 48 124 267 0.00
135 Long Reach 3 9 182 133 196 511 0.00
136 Magruder 11 1 70 164 16 250 0.00
137 Manchester Valle 7 6 69 52 113 234 0.00
138 Marriotts Ridge 7 5 38 18 58 114 0.00
139 Meade 0 9 209 191 205 605 0.00
140 Mergenthaler 1 5 169 168 134 471 0.00
141 Middletown 7 5 51 44 93 188 0.00
142 MJ McDonough 3 8 141 92 173 406 0.00
143 Mount Hebron 8 6 30 4 59 93 0.00
144 National Academy 0 5 150 193 137 480 0.00
145 New Town 3 7 198 199 163 560 0.00
146 North Caroline 5 5 122 157 120 399 0.00
147 North County 5 8 120 103 138 361 0.00
148 North East Cecil 3 9 190 178 197 565 0.00
149 North Hagerstown 4 7 184 196 159 539 0.00
150 North Harford 5 10 90 15 181 286 0.00
151 North Point 4 8 137 71 169 377 0.00
152 Northeast AA 6 4 125 182 98 405 0.00
153 Northern Calvert 9 3 17 106 26 149 0.00
154 Northwest 6 6 96 75 135 306 0.00
155 Northwestern PG 1 10 196 151 212 559 0.00
156 Northwood 5 7 159 125 144 428 0.00
157 Oakdale 8 4 59 61 72 192 0.00
158 Oakland Mills 3 11 174 93 213 480 0.00
159 Old Mill 2 9 178 121 200 499 0.00
160 Overlea 3 8 193 189 182 564 0.00
161 Owings Mills 2 9 165 100 201 466 0.00
162 Oxon Hill 9 1 60 159 22 241 0.00
163 Paint Branch 4 8 154 102 174 430 0.00
164 Parkdale 5 4 112 163 103 378 0.00
165 Parkside 5 6 106 81 136 323 0.00
166 Parkville 4 9 181 171 194 546 0.00
167 Patapsco 9 4 98 107 87 292 0.00
168 Patterson HS 9 3 161 203 73 437 0.00
169 Patterson Mill 10 3 23 37 30 90 0.00
170 Patuxent 7 5 100 88 109 297 0.00
171 Perry Hall 4 8 111 56 170 337 0.00
172 Perryville 11 2 88 197 43 328 0.00
173 Pikesville 8 3 45 122 54 221 0.00
174 Poolesville 7 6 118 90 127 335 0.00
175 Queen Annes Coun 8 6 62 131 88 281 0.00
176 Quince Orchard 5 8 61 9 152 222 0.00
177 Randallstown 6 4 167 200 99 466 0.00
178 Reservoir 4 10 147 46 202 395 0.00
179 Richard Montgome 9 2 66 144 31 241 0.00
180 Rising Sun 7 5 134 172 117 423 0.00
181 River Hill 7 8 80 38 153 271 0.00
182 Rockville 4 8 127 55 164 346 0.00
183 Seneca Valley 5 7 166 136 154 456 0.00
184 Sherwood 12 1 8 17 7 32 0.00
185 Smithsburg 12 0 36 155 10 201 0.00
186 South Carroll 4 8 116 60 160 336 0.00
187 South Hagerstown 2 10 206 198 211 615 0.00
188 Southern AA 4 8 78 13 100 191 0.00
189 Sparrows Point 7 4 39 54 81 174 0.00
190 Springbrook 3 10 164 49 208 421 0.00
191 St Charles 1 0 171 210 32 413 0.00
192 Stephen Decatur 9 2 33 82 44 159 0.00
193 Suitland 3 7 149 126 155 430 0.00
194 Surrattsville 2 6 202 201 145 548 0.00
195 Thomas Stone 0 11 195 112 219 526 0.00
196 Tuscarora 8 7 102 40 125 267 0.00
197 Walkersville 6 8 109 65 165 339 0.00
198 Walt Whitman 10 2 19 34 23 76 0.00
199 Walter Johnson 9 3 13 21 60 94 0.00
200 Watkins Mill 2 10 204 179 209 592 0.00
201 Western STES 5 5 108 128 121 357 0.00
202 Westlake 1 11 189 98 217 504 0.00
203 Westminster 7 8 50 8 104 162 0.00
204 Wheaton 2 11 200 146 218 564 0.00
205 Wicomico 0 9 187 118 204 509 0.00
206 Wilde Lake 7 6 93 57 131 281 0.00
207 Winston Churchil 10 3 20 27 45 92 0.00
208 Winters Mill 7 5 73 89 118 280 0.00
209 Woodlawn 9 2 114 195 52 361 0.00
210 Wootton 3 9 136 42 189 367 0.00
211 DC International 3 9 129 161 105 395 0.00
212 Jackson Reed 2 3 145 206 63 414 0.00
213 Jemicy School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
214 Salisbury School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
215 St Maria Goretti 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
216 Friendly 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
217 High Point 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
218 Milford Mill 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
219 Archbishop Carro 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
220 Capital City PCS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
221 KIPP College Pre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
222 Lab School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
223 School Without W 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00