List of Probabilities for Connecticut
Connecticut Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 New Canaan 12 2 2 8 2 12 28.00
2 Darien 9 5 4 1 4 9 12.00
3 Fairfield Prep 11 1 1 21 1 23 12.00
4 Ridgefield 10 3 8 24 9 41 10.00
5 Greenwich HS 8 6 10 3 16 29 8.00
6 Cheshire HS 10 3 3 4 3 10 7.00
7 Wilton 8 5 11 28 5 44 7.00
8 Staples 10 4 7 17 12 36 6.00
9 Notre Dame-West 11 3 5 10 8 23 3.00
10 Daniel Hand 5 8 33 2 47 82 2.00
11 Joel Barlow 12 2 9 16 10 35 0.00
12 New Milford 11 3 32 22 13 67 0.00
13 Simsbury 7 5 14 39 25 78 0.00
14 St Joseph Trumbu 9 4 18 60 19 97 0.00
15 Xavier 7 7 21 6 41 68 0.00
16 Amity Regional 3 10 52 7 72 131 0.00
17 Avon HS 0 10 73 27 85 185 0.00
18 Bacon Academy 9 3 24 33 26 83 0.00
19 Berlin 4 6 83 96 64 243 0.00
20 Bethel 8 6 42 34 55 131 0.00
21 Branford 2 11 67 15 92 174 0.00
22 Brien McMahon 2 10 69 46 66 181 0.00
23 Bristol Co-Op 10 3 27 30 30 87 0.00
24 Brookfield 10 5 51 43 42 136 0.00
25 Bunnell-Stratfor 0 14 85 32 98 215 0.00
26 Canton 7 5 45 48 52 145 0.00
27 Capital-Classica 1 6 93 95 68 256 0.00
28 Conard 7 5 41 59 44 144 0.00
29 Cromwell 0 11 95 86 95 276 0.00
30 Danbury 1 11 92 78 91 261 0.00
31 East Catholic 6 6 56 61 56 173 0.00
32 East Lyme 7 4 31 45 28 104 0.00
33 Ellington 6 6 54 54 59 167 0.00
34 Enfield 7 5 59 67 53 179 0.00
35 EO Smith 9 2 36 73 27 136 0.00
36 Fairfield Ludlow 7 5 30 71 23 124 0.00
37 Fairfield Warde 8 5 29 11 32 72 0.00
38 Farmington 7 4 34 47 31 112 0.00
39 Fitch Groton 12 2 13 25 14 52 0.00
40 Foran 9 4 37 40 37 114 0.00
41 Glastonbury 7 5 6 5 15 26 0.00
42 Granby Memorial 10 0 19 83 6 108 0.00
43 Guilford 10 3 12 9 7 28 0.00
44 Haddam-Killingwo 10 2 28 50 24 102 0.00
45 Hall 6 5 39 57 38 134 0.00
46 Hamden 8 6 66 64 57 187 0.00
47 Holy Cross 8 5 74 94 49 217 0.00
48 Immaculate Danb 3 10 76 36 86 198 0.00
49 Jonathan Law 5 8 71 55 75 201 0.00
50 Ledyard-Griswold 2 10 91 81 89 261 0.00
51 Lewis Mills 4 8 64 29 73 166 0.00
52 Lyman Hall 9 4 40 53 39 132 0.00
53 Maloney-Platt 7 6 79 93 62 234 0.00
54 Masuk 7 7 46 18 63 127 0.00
55 Middletown 5 8 78 76 76 230 0.00
56 Montville 3 10 89 79 84 252 0.00
57 Morgan School 2 12 84 42 96 222 0.00
58 New Fairfield 10 4 25 70 21 116 0.00
59 Newington 7 5 49 68 43 160 0.00
60 Newtown 7 7 68 56 65 189 0.00
61 North Branford 8 6 44 20 60 124 0.00
62 North Haven 8 4 26 26 35 87 0.00
63 Northwest Cathol 10 2 15 41 11 67 0.00
64 Northwest United 1 9 90 92 87 269 0.00
65 Norwalk 1 13 80 12 94 186 0.00
66 Norwich Free Aca 5 8 70 52 70 192 0.00
67 Norwich Tech 3 8 94 97 78 269 0.00
68 Notre Dame-Fairf 1 12 97 91 97 285 0.00
69 Old Lyme 7 5 60 77 48 185 0.00
70 Old Saybrook 11 2 20 23 18 61 0.00
71 Pomperaug 7 6 47 31 58 136 0.00
72 Prince-Cheney Te 0 7 99 98 77 274 0.00
73 RHAM 8 3 22 38 29 89 0.00
74 Rockville Co-op 2 8 86 90 79 255 0.00
75 Rocky Hill 2 11 81 49 93 223 0.00
76 Sheehan 10 2 17 37 17 71 0.00
77 Shelton 8 5 57 63 50 170 0.00
78 Somers 9 2 23 58 20 101 0.00
79 South Windsor 6 6 55 62 61 178 0.00
80 Southington 7 5 16 14 33 63 0.00
81 St Bernard-Wheel 8 4 35 44 34 113 0.00
82 St Paul Catholic 7 4 38 85 36 159 0.00
83 Stamford 9 3 48 82 22 152 0.00
84 Stonington 7 6 50 74 46 170 0.00
85 Suffield-Windsor 3 10 61 19 82 162 0.00
86 Tolland 2 9 72 51 81 204 0.00
87 Trumbull 4 9 53 13 71 137 0.00
88 Valley Regional 3 9 82 69 83 234 0.00
89 Vinal/Goodwin Te 4 3 96 99 40 235 0.00
90 Waterford 5 8 58 35 67 160 0.00
91 Watertown 7 5 65 87 54 206 0.00
92 West Haven 3 8 77 80 80 237 0.00
93 Westhill 6 6 63 66 51 180 0.00
94 Weston 4 10 62 65 74 201 0.00
95 Wethersfield 6 4 43 75 45 163 0.00
96 Wilbur Cross 3 10 87 72 90 249 0.00
97 Windsor 0 14 98 84 99 281 0.00
98 Wolcott 0 9 88 88 88 264 0.00
99 Woodstock Academ 4 7 75 89 69 233 0.00