List of Probabilities for California
California Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Ignatius Prep 19 2 3 42 2 47 23.00
2 St Margarets Epi 19 2 1 18 1 20 20.00
3 Marin Catholic 17 5 4 2 4 10 15.00
4 Torrey Pines 15 3 2 5 3 10 12.00
5 La Costa Canyon 12 5 8 37 13 58 5.00
6 Sacred Heart Pre 16 6 13 59 9 81 4.00
7 Loyola Los Ange 17 6 6 20 11 37 4.00
8 Mater Dei Santa 15 4 5 11 5 21 4.00
9 Monte Vista Danv 16 4 17 6 10 33 3.00
10 Santa Margarita 14 5 15 106 17 138 3.00
11 Santa Fe Christi 13 5 11 40 15 66 3.00
12 Cathedral Cathol 12 8 22 16 40 78 2.00
13 De LaSalle 17 6 20 14 14 48 0.00
14 Marin Academy 14 7 24 3 49 76 0.00
15 Acalanes 3 12 210 143 247 600 0.00
16 Alhambra 3 11 247 224 238 709 0.00
17 Amador Valley 7 8 123 100 157 380 0.00
18 Archie Williams 0 5 274 274 125 673 0.00
19 Bear River 4 10 248 252 218 718 0.00
20 Bella Vista 9 9 136 136 170 442 0.00
21 Berkeley 16 7 122 149 95 366 0.00
22 Bishop ODowd 8 8 117 130 158 405 0.00
23 Branson 2 7 265 272 165 702 0.00
24 California 4 11 182 122 229 533 0.00
25 Campolindo 11 6 76 77 92 245 0.00
26 Cardinal Newman 14 4 98 191 55 344 0.00
27 Casa Grande 11 7 92 55 96 243 0.00
28 Christian Brothe 14 4 58 104 56 218 0.00
29 Clayton Valley C 6 12 155 63 239 457 0.00
30 College Park 4 11 236 219 234 689 0.00
31 Davis 10 8 67 29 126 222 0.00
32 Del Oro 6 10 166 99 202 467 0.00
33 Dougherty Valley 4 15 226 117 275 618 0.00
34 Dublin 1 13 229 147 261 637 0.00
35 Folsom 2 14 162 33 262 457 0.00
36 Foothill Pleasa 9 9 101 39 176 316 0.00
37 Granada 8 9 150 83 182 415 0.00
38 Granite Bay 14 6 27 9 61 97 0.00
39 Grant Union 5 12 240 222 244 706 0.00
40 Jesuit Sacramen 8 8 64 30 130 224 0.00
41 Justin Siena 19 4 30 51 21 102 0.00
42 Las Lomas 8 11 185 166 220 571 0.00
43 Lick Wilmerding 3 7 184 227 159 570 0.00
44 Lincoln Stockto 8 8 208 249 160 617 0.00
45 Lincoln Sacramen 0 14 270 260 276 806 0.00
46 Livermore 14 6 84 71 81 236 0.00
47 Miramonte 11 6 112 124 93 329 0.00
48 Moreau Catholic 1 10 269 270 226 765 0.00
49 Napa 0 9 260 262 213 735 0.00
50 Nevada Union 9 6 118 156 105 379 0.00
51 Northgate 17 2 45 134 18 197 0.00
52 Novato 7 11 138 62 207 407 0.00
53 Oak Ridge 18 5 19 54 51 124 0.00
54 Oakmont 5 11 238 242 230 710 0.00
55 Petaluma 5 9 163 113 193 469 0.00
56 Piedmont 8 6 172 228 111 511 0.00
57 Rancho Cotate 8 10 144 93 203 440 0.00
58 Redwood 12 9 18 148 25 191 0.00
59 Rio Americano 5 10 173 179 208 560 0.00
60 Rocklin 8 8 81 48 144 273 0.00
61 Roseville 8 7 145 183 135 463 0.00
62 San Marin 9 6 120 187 84 391 0.00
63 San Rafael 6 9 195 163 171 529 0.00
64 San Ramon Valley 13 7 42 21 97 160 0.00
65 Sonoma Academy 8 6 175 259 112 546 0.00
66 Sonoma Valley 3 10 231 209 221 661 0.00
67 St Marys Stockto 7 6 148 229 106 483 0.00
68 St Vincent de Pa 0 2 275 275 67 617 0.00
69 Stuart Hall 6 8 180 186 172 538 0.00
70 Tamalpais 8 13 70 12 199 281 0.00
71 Terra Linda 8 7 113 161 113 387 0.00
72 University SF 12 7 90 172 116 378 0.00
73 Urban School 4 8 237 265 150 652 0.00
74 Vintage 4 11 187 146 235 568 0.00
75 Vista del Lago 17 3 10 23 16 49 0.00
76 Washington Frem 1 18 272 236 286 794 0.00
77 West Park 11 4 69 129 58 256 0.00
78 Whitney 14 4 29 25 42 96 0.00
79 Windsor 3 11 249 213 240 702 0.00
80 Woodcreek 6 8 164 173 173 510 0.00
81 Aptos 6 6 159 200 122 481 0.00
82 Aragon 0 10 239 218 231 688 0.00
83 Archbishop Mitty 3 10 158 91 183 432 0.00
84 Archbishop Riord 10 7 189 238 127 554 0.00
85 Bellarmine Prep 8 11 48 7 161 216 0.00
86 Burlingame 4 9 171 135 194 500 0.00
87 Carlmont 11 7 97 90 114 301 0.00
88 Carmel 14 3 54 82 43 179 0.00
89 Christopher 13 2 104 230 22 356 0.00
90 Gunn 13 5 131 197 72 400 0.00
91 Harbor 0 7 261 263 177 701 0.00
92 Hillsdale 11 6 100 154 98 352 0.00
93 Hollister-San Be 0 13 220 126 264 610 0.00
94 Latino College P 8 8 213 226 162 601 0.00
95 Leland 2 9 218 234 209 661 0.00
96 Live Oak 10 4 65 144 68 277 0.00
97 Los Altos 0 15 250 189 282 721 0.00
98 Los Gatos 10 9 61 38 145 244 0.00
99 Menlo School 5 11 71 34 131 236 0.00
100 Menlo-Atherton 20 1 16 76 6 98 0.00
101 Monte Vista Chri 2 8 255 271 190 716 0.00
102 Monterey 7 6 132 168 117 417 0.00
103 Mountain View 9 10 165 89 195 449 0.00
104 Pacific Collegia 3 8 216 241 186 643 0.00
105 Pacific Grove 1 10 217 192 227 636 0.00
106 Palma 7 5 151 221 94 466 0.00
107 Palo Alto 13 5 80 112 69 261 0.00
108 Pioneer 4 7 190 244 151 585 0.00
109 Priory 9 3 78 185 57 320 0.00
110 Sacred Heart Cat 7 12 134 79 201 414 0.00
111 Salinas 4 5 169 250 107 526 0.00
112 Saratoga 0 9 252 245 214 711 0.00
113 Sequoia 6 9 156 94 196 446 0.00
114 Serra San Mateo 10 9 53 10 99 162 0.00
115 Sobrato 2 7 191 220 166 577 0.00
116 Soquel 12 3 128 239 50 417 0.00
117 St Francis-Mtn V 13 5 28 32 44 104 0.00
118 Stevenson School 11 8 55 142 87 284 0.00
119 Valley Christian 5 4 183 266 82 531 0.00
120 Woodside 6 9 193 182 197 572 0.00
121 Agoura 15 4 21 19 45 85 0.00
122 Aliso Niguel 15 4 32 28 46 106 0.00
123 Beckman 14 7 79 35 100 214 0.00
124 Beverly Hills 0 7 271 269 178 718 0.00
125 Birmingham Chart 6 14 228 165 263 656 0.00
126 Brentwood School 10 7 115 110 128 353 0.00
127 Cabrillo 0 9 273 273 215 761 0.00
128 Calabasas 4 15 211 80 269 560 0.00
129 Canyon 14 6 49 158 78 285 0.00
130 Capistrano Valle 2 12 245 208 253 706 0.00
131 Castaic 5 13 233 223 256 712 0.00
132 Cate School 7 4 137 246 76 459 0.00
133 Centennial 20 4 121 212 36 369 0.00
134 Chaminade Prep 9 9 135 114 167 416 0.00
135 Chaparral 8 10 147 86 204 437 0.00
136 Compton 12 7 197 251 118 566 0.00
137 Corona 17 5 143 207 62 412 0.00
138 Corona Del Mar 11 10 33 1 70 104 0.00
139 Crean Lutheran 14 8 62 45 119 226 0.00
140 Crescenta Valley 6 12 186 138 243 567 0.00
141 Crespi 11 8 39 78 123 240 0.00
142 Culver City 3 9 262 268 205 735 0.00
143 Damien 7 11 209 201 223 633 0.00
144 Dana Hills 7 11 188 190 224 602 0.00
145 Dos Pueblos 13 3 75 140 48 263 0.00
146 Downey 5 9 246 258 200 704 0.00
147 Edison 9 7 85 84 132 301 0.00
148 El Camino Real C 5 10 202 181 216 599 0.00
149 El Dorado 10 6 124 160 88 372 0.00
150 El Modena 6 11 206 167 219 592 0.00
151 El Segundo 10 9 116 43 152 311 0.00
152 Eleanor Roosevel 8 11 140 95 222 457 0.00
153 Esperanza 3 15 222 125 273 620 0.00
154 Foothill Santa 14 8 9 26 7 42 0.00
155 Glendale 4 11 242 211 236 689 0.00
156 Grace Brethren 8 8 198 257 163 618 0.00
157 Great Oak 13 6 77 74 89 240 0.00
158 Hart 15 4 60 131 52 243 0.00
159 Harvard-Westlake 4 7 103 103 133 339 0.00
160 Heritage Christi 7 13 203 157 254 614 0.00
161 Heritage HS 0 13 268 253 265 786 0.00
162 Huntington Beach 15 9 43 87 129 259 0.00
163 Irvine 2 16 235 101 283 619 0.00
164 JSerra Catholic 17 3 14 13 12 39 0.00
165 King 6 12 107 36 241 384 0.00
166 La Canada 1 14 232 169 274 675 0.00
167 Laguna Hills 1 18 266 174 287 727 0.00
168 Lakewood 4 8 221 235 184 640 0.00
169 Liberty 6 8 227 255 174 656 0.00
170 Linfield Christi 15 7 146 150 102 398 0.00
171 Long Beach Poly 2 8 224 248 191 663 0.00
172 Los Alamitos 9 10 40 8 115 163 0.00
173 Lynwood 0 13 267 261 266 794 0.00
174 Millikan 8 3 105 231 59 395 0.00
175 Mira Costa 16 7 26 98 47 171 0.00
176 Mission Viejo 10 9 149 132 179 460 0.00
177 Murrieta Mesa 4 12 179 58 248 485 0.00
178 Murrieta Valley 2 16 225 73 284 582 0.00
179 Newbury Park 10 8 142 92 134 368 0.00
180 Newport Harbor 3 13 196 145 259 600 0.00
181 Norco 3 15 230 180 279 689 0.00
182 Northwood 12 8 133 102 137 372 0.00
183 Notre Dame Sher 14 9 59 121 139 319 0.00
184 Oak Park 11 8 82 194 146 422 0.00
185 Oaks Christian 14 6 25 15 73 113 0.00
186 Orange Lutheran 8 9 129 97 140 366 0.00
187 Palisades Charte 15 3 86 170 39 295 0.00
188 Paloma Valley 2 14 263 232 270 765 0.00
189 Palos Verdes 10 10 57 31 141 229 0.00
190 Peninsula 5 11 154 107 217 478 0.00
191 Portola 4 14 243 204 268 715 0.00
192 Redondo Union 4 11 167 116 237 520 0.00
193 Riverside Poly 9 8 177 184 153 514 0.00
194 San Clemente 14 6 35 50 85 170 0.00
195 San Juan Hills 7 13 125 27 249 401 0.00
196 San Marcos SB 2 14 256 214 271 741 0.00
197 Santa Barbara 5 11 205 195 232 632 0.00
198 Santa Monica 12 7 99 47 120 266 0.00
199 Santiago 14 6 44 85 86 215 0.00
200 Saugus 10 9 95 44 180 319 0.00
201 Segerstrom 9 9 194 210 185 589 0.00
202 Servite 9 11 51 52 147 250 0.00
203 Sierra Canyon 11 8 50 49 108 207 0.00
204 Simi Royal 5 12 234 225 245 704 0.00
205 Simi Valley 12 4 119 217 63 399 0.00
206 St Francis-La Ca 14 8 41 22 77 140 0.00
207 St John Bosco 2 14 174 72 257 503 0.00
208 Temecula Valley 13 6 68 61 90 219 0.00
209 Tesoro 14 5 36 57 71 164 0.00
210 Thacher School 1 10 251 243 228 722 0.00
211 Trabuco Hills 11 8 31 24 103 158 0.00
212 University Irvin 17 5 87 75 64 226 0.00
213 University Los A 0 7 254 256 181 691 0.00
214 Valencia Santa C 6 10 176 152 211 539 0.00
215 Viewpoint School 10 6 139 188 104 431 0.00
216 Village Christia 19 3 52 171 23 246 0.00
217 Vista Murrieta 17 3 37 68 24 129 0.00
218 West Ranch 6 10 152 88 212 452 0.00
219 Westlake 16 5 12 4 19 35 0.00
220 Woodbridge 9 8 157 123 154 434 0.00
221 Woodrow Wilson 9 6 153 203 109 465 0.00
222 Yorba Linda 10 10 108 69 187 364 0.00
223 Army-Navy Academ 3 15 212 105 280 597 0.00
224 Bishops School 13 5 7 17 8 32 0.00
225 Bonita Vista 15 4 106 118 53 277 0.00
226 Canyon Crest 4 12 214 193 250 657 0.00
227 Canyon Hills 1 16 264 206 285 755 0.00
228 Carlsbad 12 7 34 53 60 147 0.00
229 Clairemont 12 7 207 264 121 592 0.00
230 Classical Academ 11 10 160 81 198 439 0.00
231 Coronado 12 6 38 60 65 163 0.00
232 Del Lago Academy 5 11 199 155 233 587 0.00
233 Del Norte 11 6 66 198 79 343 0.00
234 Eastlake 16 6 114 65 80 259 0.00
235 El Camino 3 11 192 162 242 596 0.00
236 El Capitan 7 9 181 205 192 578 0.00
237 Fallbrook 15 6 56 41 83 180 0.00
238 Foothills Christ 15 4 93 153 54 300 0.00
239 Francis Parker 15 3 23 67 20 110 0.00
240 Granite Hills 11 9 102 108 175 385 0.00
241 Grossmont 9 8 91 109 155 355 0.00
242 Helix Charter 8 7 110 119 136 365 0.00
243 Hilltop 5 15 241 127 277 645 0.00
244 La Jolla CDS 3 14 168 177 252 597 0.00
245 La Jolla HS 7 12 141 115 188 444 0.00
246 Mar Vista 0 13 258 202 267 727 0.00
247 Mater Dei Chula 12 9 161 164 168 493 0.00
248 Mira Mesa 8 8 223 254 164 641 0.00
249 Mission Bay 3 15 253 237 281 771 0.00
250 Mission Hills 8 10 130 56 206 392 0.00
251 Monte Vista Spri 4 15 200 133 278 611 0.00
252 Morse 3 13 257 247 260 764 0.00
253 Mt Carmel 2 14 204 175 272 651 0.00
254 Olympian 12 9 127 70 169 366 0.00
255 Otay Ranch 2 12 244 196 255 695 0.00
256 Pacific Ridge 12 4 73 141 66 280 0.00
257 Patrick Henry 9 10 96 66 189 351 0.00
258 Point Loma 15 3 46 128 41 215 0.00
259 Poway 7 12 94 46 148 288 0.00
260 Preuss School 9 8 201 233 156 590 0.00
261 Rancho Bernardo 11 6 111 139 101 351 0.00
262 Rancho Buena Vis 5 12 215 216 246 677 0.00
263 Sage Creek 4 13 219 178 258 655 0.00
264 San Diego 13 6 109 240 74 423 0.00
265 San Dieguito 11 8 72 64 142 278 0.00
266 San Marcos SD 9 9 63 96 110 269 0.00
267 San Ysidro 2 9 259 267 210 736 0.00
268 Santana 12 9 89 120 143 352 0.00
269 Scripps Ranch 8 12 88 176 138 402 0.00
270 St Augustine 9 10 83 215 91 389 0.00
271 University City 7 11 178 137 225 540 0.00
272 Valhalla 10 8 126 159 149 434 0.00
273 Valley Center 11 7 74 111 124 309 0.00
274 West Hills 13 6 47 199 75 321 0.00
275 Westview 4 12 170 151 251 572 0.00
276 Bay School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
277 Bentley School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
278 Berean Christian 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
279 Casa Roble 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
280 Drew 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
281 George Washingto 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
282 Head-Royce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
283 Newark Memorial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
284 Scotts Valley 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
285 Watsonville 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
286 Hemet 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
287 North Valley Mil 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00