All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
Nickname = Coach =GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 73.0199966 home-field advantage = -0.47 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 H Freedom South Riding (14- 2, 79.3) 3-13 404 A Woodgrove (10- 4, 73.3) 8-10 409 H Heritage Leesburg ( 3-10, 67.6) 13- 6 412 H Loudoun Valley ( 8- 6, 69.3) 11- 1 416 H Loudoun County ( 8- 6, 71.9) 13- 2 420 N Robinson (15- 0, 84.9) 7-11 423 A Broad Run (11- 3, 75.4) 5-10 426 H Lightridge ( 4-10, 68.2) 8- 7 430 A Briar Woods (10- 4, 78.5) 6-10 501 H Battlefield (14- 1, 80.3) 1- 8 503 A Independence ( 8- 4, 77.6) 0-14 507 A Potomac Falls ( 3-11, 62.9) 11-10 509 H Riverside (12- 2, 84.4) 3-16 514 H Lightridge ( 4-10, 68.2)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Freedom South Riding 3-13 -10 -5 -1.20 404 A Woodgrove 8-10 -2 0 -1.25 409 H Heritage Leesburg 13- 6 7 5 1.08 412 H Loudoun Valley 11- 1 10 4 + 2.82 416 H Loudoun County 13- 2 11 1 ++ 5.46 420 N Robinson 7-11 -4 -11 + 3.00 423 A Broad Run 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.18 426 H Lightridge 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.28 430 A Briar Woods 6-10 -4 -5 1.98 501 H Battlefield 1- 8 -7 -6 -0.23 503 A Independence 0-14 -14 -5 -1.92 507 A Potomac Falls 11-10 1 9 --- -6.00 509 H Riverside 3-16 -13 -10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 507 A Potomac Falls 11-10 1 9 --- -6.00 426 H Lightridge 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.28 423 A Broad Run 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.18OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 H Loudoun County 13- 2 11 1 ++ 5.46 412 H Loudoun Valley 11- 1 10 4 + 2.82 420 N Robinson 7-11 -4 -11 + 3.00
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 73.02 Power Rank................. 48 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 49.22 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 20 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6972 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 5 RPI Rating............... .5572 RPI Rank................... 50 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 148 Selection sum ........... 154 Selection Rank ............ 47 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -125. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 109 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -110. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 99 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 6.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -8.7